Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Sunday 1 March
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Away
Hamburger SVTimelineRB Leipzig
1st Half
Omari W.Out: Capaldo N.
sync_alt
20'
Vieira F. (Mikelbrencis W.)
sports_soccer
22'
Orban W.
31'
Romulo Cardoso (Baku R.)
sports_soccer
36'
Otele P.
45+3'
2nd Half
Diomande Y.Assist: Romulo Cardoso
sports_soccer
50'
Romulo Cardoso (Penalty missed)
close
62'
Romulo Cardoso
63'
Lokonga A. S.Out: Konigsdorffer R.
sync_alt
67'
Dompe J.Out: Otele P.
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67'
Poulsen Y.Out: Downs D.
sync_alt
67'
Banzuzi E.Out: Nusa A.
sync_alt
72'
Gomis T.Out: Gruda B.
sync_alt
72'
Muheim M.
81'
Poulsen Y.
82'
Philippe R.Out: Vieira F.
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87'
Henrichs B.Out: Diomande Y.
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90+1'
Harder C.Out: Romulo Cardoso
sync_alt
90+5'

Top stats

0.55Expected goals (xG)2.71
42%Ball possession58%
7Total shots13
3Shots on target5
1Big chances3
4Corner kicks9
80% (289/362)Passes87% (433/499)
3Yellow cards2

Shots

0.55Expected goals (xG)2.71
0.69xG on target (xGOT)2.95
7Total shots13
3Shots on target5
3Shots off target4
1Blocked shots4
3Shots inside the box10
4Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances3
4Corner kicks9
11Touches in opposition box43
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides0
12Free kicks8

Passes

80% (289/362)Passes87% (433/499)
51% (28/55)Long passes40% (17/43)
51% (40/79)Passes in final third72% (109/151)
11% (2/18)Crosses32% (8/25)
0.43Expected assists (xA)1.78
21Throw ins17

Defense

8Fouls12
64% (9/14)Tackles90% (9/10)
41Duels won41
32Clearances32
5Interceptions7
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves2
2.95xGOT faced0.69
0.95Goals prevented-0.31
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.65
X3.77
22.04

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.18 PPG vs Away 1.78 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 1.25 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.64 GPG vs Away 1.55 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

7%
5%
88%
Hamburger SV
Draw
RB Leipzig

Match Preview

Hamburger SV will host RB Leipzig in a Bundesliga fixture at Volksparkstadion on March 1, 2026.

With Hamburger SV positioned 11th in the standings with 26 points and RB Leipzig occupying the 5th spot with 41 points, the teams will aim for a positive outcome.

Hamburger SV has seen a significant number of draws recently, with draws in 67% of their last 6 matches, while RB Leipzig has displayed strength on the road, securing 7 wins in 14 away matches.

In their previous encounters, Hamburger SV has struggled, losing 5 of the last 7 head-to-head matches against RB Leipzig.

Prediction: RB Leipzig to emerge victorious with a 1-3 scoreline.

Fabio Vieira's second-half strike ruled out Nadiem Amiri's opener last weekend as Hamburg returned from the Mewa Arena with a point following a draw against Mainz 05. Merlin Polzin's side are now unbeaten in six league games and are putting daylight between themselves and the relegation zone.

RB Leipzig were heading for all three points against an in-form Borussia Dortmund side last weekend before Fabio Silva equalised for the visitors five minutes into stoppage time. Ole Werner's men have picked up seven points from the last nine available on the road in the Bundesliga.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Hamburger SV

Starting 11
-Daniel Heuer Fernandes
GK6.57
-Jordan Torunarigha
DC6.93
-Luka Vuskovic
DC7.26
-Nicolás Capaldo
DC6.75
-Miro Muheim
DML6.93
-Nicolai Remberg
MC6.86
-Fábio Vieira
MC6.74
-Bakery Jatta
DMR6.49
-Philip Otele
FWL7.02
-Yussuf Poulsen
FW6.36
-Ransford Königsdörffer
FWR6.42

RB Leipzig

Starting 11
-Maarten Vandevoordt
GK6.54
-David Raum
DL7.41
-Castello Lukeba
DC6.93
-Willi Orbán
DC7.19
-Ridle Baku
DR6.78
-Christoph Baumgartner
MC7.09
-Brajan Gruda
MC7.47
-Nicolas Seiwald
MC6.93
-Antonio Nusa
FWL7.09
-Rômulo
FW7.01
-Yan Diomande
FWR7.47
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 22 / 23 matches
Hamburger SVvsRB Leipzig

radarTeam Profile

Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
34Attack75
shield
45Defense56
swap_horiz
51Possession72
gps_fixed
56Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
32Creativity73
gavel
23Discipline70

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

25Goals Scored44
32Goals Conceded32
6Clean Sheets9
41Big Chances80
28Big Chances Missed53
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

290Total Shots373
106Shots on Target131

swap_horizPassing & Possession

47.4%Avg Possession53.6%
9,089Total Passes11,745
82.1%Pass Accuracy84.8%

shieldDefending

312Tackles347
180Interceptions209
67Saves57
51.9%Duels Won51.0%

gavelDiscipline

275Fouls211
49Yellow Cards34
6Red Cards0
47Offsides33

analyticsOther

85Corners123
165Successful Dribbles262
5Errors Leading to Goal5
6.79Avg Rating6.97

Statistical Comparison

Hamburger SVMetricRB Leipzig
25
Goals
43
17
Assists
33
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
26.5
Average Age
24.4
184
Average Height (cm)
182.6
0.8
Shots pg
1.1
52%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.6
Dribbles pg
1.1
1.2
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Hamburger SV

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Union Berlin24771028
11Hamburger SV2268826
12Borussia M'gladbach24671125

For RB Leipzig

PosTeamPWDLPts
4Stuttgart23134643
5RB Leipzig23125641
6Bayer Leverkusen23124740

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

43.7/ 89.2
Dangerous Attacks
50.7/ 102.8
37.0%
Shots on Target
35.0%
13.8
Total Shots
16.3
49.0%
Possession
54.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.1
Goals Scored / Match
2.0
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Hamburger SV Wins
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
RB Leipzig Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketHamburger SVRB Leipzig
Over 1.5 Goals
68%17/25
96%24/25
Over 2.5 Goals
44%11/25
72%18/25
Both Teams to Score
52%13/25
64%16/25
* Based on last 25 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Hamburger SV

De1
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Union Berlin
De1
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern Munich
De1
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Borussia M'gladbach
De1
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
De1
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Werder Bremen
DFB
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Holstein Kiel

Home Games: Hamburger SV

De1
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Union Berlin
De1
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern Munich
De1
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Borussia M'gladbach
De1
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
De1
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Werder Bremen
DFB
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Holstein Kiel

Last 6: RB Leipzig

DFB
Bayern Munich
2 - 0
RB Leipzig
De1
Köln
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
De1
St Pauli
1 - 1
RB Leipzig
De1
Heidenheim
0 - 3
RB Leipzig
De1
Union Berlin
3 - 1
RB Leipzig
De1
Borussia M'gladbach
0 - 0
RB Leipzig

Away Games: RB Leipzig

DFB
Bayern Munich
2 - 0
RB Leipzig
De1
Köln
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
De1
St Pauli
1 - 1
RB Leipzig
De1
Heidenheim
0 - 3
RB Leipzig
De1
Union Berlin
3 - 1
RB Leipzig
De1
Borussia M'gladbach
0 - 0
RB Leipzig

history Recent Form

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
1.2 GPG
D
W
W
D
D
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1.8 GPG
D
D
W
L
D

group Head to Head

PL18 Oct 2025
RB Leipzig
2-1
Hamburger SV
PL18 Oct 2022
RB Leipzig
4-0
Hamburger SV
PL23 Apr 2019
Hamburger SV
1-3
RB Leipzig
PL27 Jan 2018
RB Leipzig
1-1
Hamburger SV
PL8 Sept 2017
Hamburger SV
0-2
RB Leipzig
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
7 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
5 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
3 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
43%
3 / 7 matches
Hamburger SV CS
14%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig CS
43%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

18 Oct 2025
RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
18 Oct 2022
RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Hamburger SV
23 Apr 2019
Hamburger SV
1 - 3
RB Leipzig
27 Jan 2018
RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Hamburger SV
8 Sept 2017
Hamburger SV
0 - 2
RB Leipzig
11 Feb 2017
RB Leipzig
0 - 3
Hamburger SV
17 Sept 2016
Hamburger SV
0 - 4
RB Leipzig

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Hamburger SV
1.18
Form (Overall)
RB Leipzig
1.78

RB Leipzig is +51% better in terms of Points Per Game

Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Union Berlin
Heidenheim
0 - 2
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern München
St. Pauli
0 - 0
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Wolfsburg
Köln
1 - 2
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1 - 2
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

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Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app