Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

Home
Full Time
3 - 2
HT: 2 - 1
Saturday 14 February
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

Away
Hamburger SVTimelineUnion Berlin
1st Half
Querfeld L.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
28'
Konigsdorffer R. (Glatzel R.)
sports_soccer
35'
Capaldo N. (Jatta B.)
sports_soccer
45+2'
2nd Half
Vuskovic L.
50'
Skarke T.Out: Ansah I.
sync_alt
61'
Burcu L.Out: Jeong Woo-Yeong
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61'
Capaldo N.
64'
Poulsen Y.Out: Glatzel R.
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72'
Dompe J.Out: Otele P.
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72'
Gocholeishvili G.Out: Jatta B.
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74'
Kral A.Out: Khedira R.
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75'
Konigsdorffer R.Assist: Gocholeishvili G.
sports_soccer
82'
Burke O.Out: Nsoki S.
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83'
Schafer A.Out: Kemlein A.
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83'
Mikelbrencis W.Out: Konigsdorffer R.
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87'
Elfadli D.Out: Capaldo N.
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87'
Ilic A. (Burke O.)
sports_soccer
89'
Mikelbrencis W.
90+7'

Top stats

2.06Expected goals (xG)2.13
56%Ball possession44%
13Total shots12
4Shots on target5
4Big chances3
6Corner kicks3
78% (345/442)Passes71% (240/336)
3Yellow cards0

Shots

2.06Expected goals (xG)2.13
2.02xG on target (xGOT)2.25
13Total shots12
4Shots on target5
5Shots off target5
4Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box10
2Shots outside the box2
0Hit the woodwork1
0Headed goals1

Attack

4Big chances3
6Corner kicks3
32Touches in opposition box27
2Accurate through passes1
2Offsides3
7Free kicks12

Passes

78% (345/442)Passes71% (240/336)
34% (19/56)Long passes33% (23/70)
60% (78/129)Passes in final third52% (69/132)
31% (5/16)Crosses45% (9/20)
1.83Expected assists (xA)1.80
26Throw ins21

Defense

12Fouls7
54% (7/13)Tackles62% (8/13)
54Duels won57
32Clearances34
12Interceptions15
2Errors leading to shot1
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves1
2.25xGOT faced2.02
0.25Goals prevented-0.98
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.54
X3.25
23.06

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #9
Season: Home 1.10 PPG vs Away 1.19 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 0.55 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

65%
20%
15%
Hamburger SV
Draw
Union Berlin

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Hamburger SV

Starting 11
-Daniel Heuer Fernandes
GK6.62
-Warmed Omari
DC6.39
-Luka Vuskovic
DC7.24
-Daniel Elfadli
DC6.50
-Miro Muheim
DML6.98
-Nicolai Remberg
MC6.85
-Fábio Vieira
MC6.66
-Nicolás Capaldo
DMR6.71
-Philip Otele
FWL7.26
-Ransford Königsdörffer
FW6.29
-Bakery Jatta
FWR6.51

Union Berlin

Starting 11
-Frederik Rønnow
GK6.55
-Stanley Nsoki
DC6.30
-Leopold Querfeld
DC6.96
-Danilho Doekhi
DC6.92
-Derrick Köhn
DML6.37
-Aljoscha Kemlein
MC6.52
-Rani Khedira
MC6.80
-Christopher Trimmel
DMR6.71
-Ilyas Ansah
AMC6.50
-Woo-yeong Jeong
AMC6.31
-Andrej Ilic
FW6.53
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Hamburger SV will take on Union Berlin in a Bundesliga fixture at Volksparkstadion on February 14, 2026.

Hamburger SV, with a record of 4 draws in their last 6 matches, will face Union Berlin, who also have 4 draws in their last 6 games across all leagues.

When looking at their head-to-head encounters, Hamburger SV has experienced 67% draws in their last 3 meetings against Union Berlin.

In terms of goals, both teams have seen under 2.5 goals scored in the majority of their recent matches.

A closely contested match is expected between Hamburger SV and Union Berlin based on their recent form and head-to-head stats.

Our algorithm predicts a draw with a probability of 53%.

Goals from Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer and Rayan Philippe proved enough to earn Hamburg all three points against strugglers FC Heidenheim last weekend. HSV are now unbeaten in their last four Bundesliga fixtures and have climbed to 11th in the standings heading into gameweek 22.

Union Berlin, meanwhile, travel to the Volksparkstadion looking to end a six-match winless streak. Die Eisernen scored four minutes after falling behind to rescue a point against a 10-man Eintracht Frankfurt side last time out, but they are still seeking another league victory.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 20 / 21 matches
Hamburger SVvsUnion Berlin
1.05Goals / Match1.24
1.45Conceded / Match1.62
6Clean Sheets4
4.85Shots on Target / Match3.57
46.6%Possession %39.0%
82.3%Pass Accuracy %71.9%

radarTeam Profile

Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
31Attack38
shield
47Defense39
swap_horiz
50Possession16
gps_fixed
54Efficiency47
auto_fix_high
28Creativity19
gavel
21Discipline37

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

21Goals Scored26
29Goals Conceded34
6Clean Sheets4
35Big Chances48
24Big Chances Missed33
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

263Total Shots273
97Shots on Target75

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.6%Avg Possession39.0%
8,241Total Passes6,782
82.3%Pass Accuracy71.9%

shieldDefending

287Tackles327
161Interceptions176
62Saves56
52.2%Duels Won48.6%

gavelDiscipline

250Fouls276
44Yellow Cards45
6Red Cards2
44Offsides31

analyticsOther

77Corners116
147Successful Dribbles98
5Errors Leading to Goal3
6.79Avg Rating6.72

Statistical Comparison

Hamburger SVMetricUnion Berlin
21
Goals
26
14
Assists
14
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
25.9
Average Age
27.1
183.4
Average Height (cm)
186.9
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
53%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.7
Dribbles pg
0.3
1.2
Tackles pg
1.1

League Standings Context

For Hamburger SV

PosTeamPWDLPts
10Köln21651023
11Hamburger SV2057822
12Borussia M'gladbach2157922

For Union Berlin

PosTeamPWDLPts
8Eintracht Frankfurt2177728
9Union Berlin2167825
10Köln21651023

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

44.2/ 88.5
Dangerous Attacks
45.0/ 92.8
37.0%
Shots on Target
30.0%
13.8
Total Shots
13.9
49.0%
Possession
40.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Hamburger SV Wins
0%
2
Draws
67%
1
Union Berlin Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 3

Recent Form Stats

MarketHamburger SVUnion Berlin
Over 1.5 Goals
65%15/23
83%19/23
Over 2.5 Goals
43%10/23
61%14/23
Both Teams to Score
48%11/23
65%15/23
* Based on last 23 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Hamburger SV

De1
Heidenheim
0 - 2
Hamburger SV
De1
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern Munich
De1
St Pauli
0 - 0
Hamburger SV
De1
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Borussia M'gladbach
De1
Freiburg
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
De1
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt

Home Games: Hamburger SV

De1
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern Munich
De1
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Borussia M'gladbach
De1
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
De1
Hamburger SV
3 - 2
Werder Bremen
DFB
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Holstein Kiel
De1
Hamburger SV
2 - 1
Stuttgart

Last 6: Union Berlin

De1
Union Berlin
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
De1
Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Union Berlin
De1
Union Berlin
0 - 3
Borussia Dortmund
De1
Stuttgart
1 - 1
Union Berlin
De1
Augsburg
1 - 1
Union Berlin
De1
Union Berlin
2 - 2
Mainz

Away Games: Union Berlin

De1
Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Union Berlin
De1
Stuttgart
1 - 1
Union Berlin
De1
Augsburg
1 - 1
Union Berlin
De1
Köln
0 - 1
Union Berlin
De1
Wolfsburg
3 - 1
Union Berlin
De1
St Pauli
0 - 1
Union Berlin

history Recent Form

Hamburger SVHamburger SV
1.1 GPG
W
D
D
D
L
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
1.2 GPG
D
L
L
D
D

group Head to Head

PL28 Sept 2025
Union Berlin
0-0
Hamburger SV
PL28 Apr 2019
Union Berlin
2-0
Hamburger SV
PL26 Nov 2018
Hamburger SV
2-2
Union Berlin
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2 / 3 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1 / 3 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
1 / 3 matches
Hamburger SV CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Union Berlin CS
67%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

28 Sept 2025
Union Berlin
0 - 0
Hamburger SV
28 Apr 2019
Union Berlin
2 - 0
Hamburger SV
26 Nov 2018
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Union Berlin

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Hamburger SV
1.10
Form (Overall)
Union Berlin
1.19

Union Berlin is +8% better in terms of Points Per Game

Heidenheim
0 - 2
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
2 - 2
Bayern München
St. Pauli
0 - 0
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
0 - 0
Borussia M'gladbach
Freiburg
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
0 - 3
Borussia Dortmund
Stuttgart
1 - 1
Union Berlin
Augsburg
1 - 1
Union Berlin

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