Hearts vs Aberdeen Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Hearts

Hearts

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 28 February
Aberdeen

Aberdeen

Away
HeartsTimelineAberdeen
1st Half
Halkett C.
2'
McCart J.
17'
Braga C.Assist: Kabore P.
sports_soccer
28'
Shinnie G.
44'
2nd Half
Nilsen S.Out: Shinnie G.
sync_alt
46'
Frame M.Out: Keskinen T.
sync_alt
46'
Geiger D.
64'
Spittal B.
64'
Armstrong S.Out: Cameron L.
sync_alt
66'
Devlin N.
70'
Lobban D.Out: Devlin N.
sync_alt
71'
Lazetic M.Out: Olusanya T.
sync_alt
79'
Kent F.Out: Kyziridis A.
sync_alt
84'
Milne J.
87'
Baningime B.Out: Spittal B.
sync_alt
87'
Chesnokov I.Out: Braga C.
sync_alt
88'
Frame M.
90+4'

Top stats

1.64Expected goals (xG)0.36
53%Ball possession47%
21Total shots5
7Shots on target0
4Big chances0
7Corner kicks4
71% (255/358)Passes66% (212/321)
3Yellow cards5

Shots

1.64Expected goals (xG)0.36
1.27xG on target (xGOT)0.00
21Total shots5
7Shots on target0
8Shots off target2
6Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box4
10Shots outside the box1
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

4Big chances0
7Corner kicks4
30Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides3
16Free kicks7

Passes

71% (255/358)Passes66% (212/321)
49% (34/70)Long passes28% (18/64)
62% (92/148)Passes in final third51% (36/71)
18% (6/33)Crosses29% (5/17)
1.97Expected assists (xA)0.63
28Throw ins25

Defense

7Fouls16
60% (9/15)Tackles53% (9/17)
73Duels won57
18Clearances49
8Interceptions21
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves6
0.00xGOT faced1.27
0.00Goals prevented0.27
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.41
X4.60
27.41

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
83
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.9 vs Away 6.5
Model Consensus: 2-0 (Home)
More Goals: Home 48 vs 28

donut_small Win Probabilities

98%
1%
1%
Hearts
Draw
Aberdeen

Match Preview

On February 28th, 2026, Hearts will take on Aberdeen in a Scottish Premiership clash at Tynecastle Park.

The league leaders, Hearts, will face Aberdeen, who are positioned 8th in the standings.

Hearts have been in exceptional form this season, securing 60 points from 28 matches with 18 wins.

On the other hand, Aberdeen has struggled, experiencing 20 defeats in 38 matches so far in the campaign.

Goal-wise, Hearts have seen under 2.5 goals in 70 percent of their last 10 matches, while Aberdeen has witnessed this outcome in 4 of their last 6 away matches in the Premiership.

The upcoming match between Hearts and Aberdeen is set to be a test of contrasting fortunes as Hearts aim to maintain their position at the top, while Aberdeen looks to improve their standing.

Our algorithm predicts a narrow 1-0 victory for Hearts in this encounter.

League leaders Hearts take on Aberdeen for the third, and possibly final, time of the 2025/26 Scottish Premiership campaign as the Dons aim to gatecrash the top half of the league table.

Heart of Midlothian remain the only unbeaten team at home in the Scottish Premiership this season (P14 W10 D4), with no side picking up more points on home soil than the league leaders this season (34). The Jambos have managed to respond to each of their four league losses in the current campaign so far by not conceding a goal in the following game, winning three and drawing the other.

Aberdeen are one of the four teams to have beaten the league leaders so far this season, by a sole goal at Pittodrie in November, but don't travel to Tynecastle in the best of shape. They avoided losing four successive trips to Tannadice for the first time since November 2008, after their goalless draw against Dundee United on Tuesday, but have lost six of their last eight away league games.

Hearts kicked off the campaign with a 2-0 victory against Aberdeen at Tynecastle, so will hope to repeat the feat ahead of their title rivals playing one another in the Old Firm on Sunday.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Hearts

Starting 11
-Alexander Schwolow
GK6.78
-Harry Milne
DL7.44
-Jamie McCart
DC6.28
-Craig Halkett
DC7.40
-Michael Steinwender
DR6.61
-Tómas Magnússon
MC6.55
-Blair Spittal
MC6.48
-Marc Leonard
MC7.35
-Alexandros Kyziridis
FWL6.99
-Cláudio Braga
FW6.97
-Islam Chesnokov
FWR6.60

Aberdeen

Starting 11
-Per Kristian Bråtveit
GK6.75
-Graeme Shinnie
DL6.50
-Gavin Molloy
DC6.44
-Liam Morrison
DC5.86
-Jack Milne
DC6.67
-Nicky Devlin
DR6.52
-Kenan Bilalovic
ML6.35
-Dennis Geiger
MC6.44
-Lyall Cameron
MC6.60
-Toyosi Olusanya
MR6.41
-Kevin Nisbet
FW6.56
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 / 27 matches
HeartsvsAberdeen

radarTeam Profile

Hearts
Aberdeen
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
56Attack28
shield
74Defense46
swap_horiz
43Possession50
gps_fixed
73Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
35Creativity24
gavel
49Discipline21

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

51Goals Scored28
24Goals Conceded38
14Clean Sheets7
71Big Chances51
45Big Chances Missed34
3Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

391Total Shots327
141Shots on Target104

swap_horizPassing & Possession

52.6%Avg Possession49.0%
11,624Total Passes10,832
77.0%Pass Accuracy78.9%

shieldDefending

490Tackles427
245Interceptions188
63Saves93
51.8%Duels Won47.9%

gavelDiscipline

312Fouls380
50Yellow Cards67
3Red Cards5
37Offsides52

analyticsOther

151Corners131
165Successful Dribbles223
3Errors Leading to Goal8
6.91Avg Rating6.71

Statistical Comparison

HeartsMetricAberdeen
48
Goals
28
27
Assists
15
6.7
Average Ratings
6.4
27.2
Average Age
26.5
183.2
Average Height (cm)
180.9
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
52%
Aerial Duel Success
46%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.3
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Hearts

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Hearts28186460
2Rangers281511256

For Aberdeen

PosTeamPWDLPts
7Dundee United27612930
8Aberdeen27851429
9Dundee27761427

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

54.0/ 101.9
Dangerous Attacks
39.3/ 81.7
37.0%
Shots on Target
32.0%
13.7
Total Shots
11.2
52.0%
Possession
47.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.0
Goals Scored / Match
1.0
0.8
Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Hearts Wins
17%
3
Draws
50%
2
Aberdeen Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketHeartsAberdeen
Over 1.5 Goals
76%26/34
79%27/34
Over 2.5 Goals
53%18/34
44%15/34
Both Teams to Score
44%15/34
35%12/34
* Based on last 34 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Hearts

Sc1
Hearts
1 - 0
Falkirk FC
Sc1
Hearts
1 - 0
Hibernian
Sc1
Hearts
2 - 2
Celtic
FA
Hearts
1 - 1
Falkirk FC
Sc1
Hearts
2 - 0
St Mirren
Sc1
Hearts
1 - 0
Livingston

Home Games: Hearts

Sc1
Hearts
1 - 0
Falkirk FC
Sc1
Hearts
1 - 0
Hibernian
Sc1
Hearts
2 - 2
Celtic
FA
Hearts
1 - 1
Falkirk FC
Sc1
Hearts
2 - 0
St Mirren
Sc1
Hearts
1 - 0
Livingston

Last 6: Aberdeen

Sc1
Dundee United
0 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Motherwell
2 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Rangers
2 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Falkirk FC
1 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Hibernian
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Away Games: Aberdeen

Sc1
Dundee United
0 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Motherwell
2 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Rangers
2 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Falkirk FC
1 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Hibernian
2 - 0
Aberdeen

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