Hearts vs Dundee FC Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Hearts

Hearts

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 21 March
Dundee FC

Dundee FC

Away
HeartsTimelineDundee FC
1st Half
Kent F.
45+4'
2nd Half
Spittal B.Out: Altena J.
sync_alt
54'
Shankland L.Out: Kabore P.
sync_alt
54'
Congreve C.
57'
Reilly C.Out: Yogane T.
sync_alt
63'
Cotterill J.Out: Westley J.
sync_alt
63'
Wright S.Out: Congreve C.
sync_alt
71'
Murray S.Out: Hay A.
sync_alt
72'
Reilly C.
76'
Baningime B.Out: Devlin C.
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76'
Jones C.Out: Robertson F.
sync_alt
77'
McEntee O.Assist: Leonard M.
sports_soccer
77'
Leonard M.
80'
Chesnokov I.Out: Braga C.
sync_alt
86'
Forrest A.Out: Kyziridis A.
sync_alt
86'
Kent F.
90+1'

Top stats

1.08Expected goals (xG)0.54
57%Ball possession43%
15Total shots8
6Shots on target1
3Big chances0
4Corner kicks7
82% (371/452)Passes75% (253/338)
3Yellow cards2
1Red cards0

Shots

1.08Expected goals (xG)0.54
1.27xG on target (xGOT)0.03
15Total shots8
6Shots on target1
4Shots off target3
5Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box4
9Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances0
4Corner kicks7
23Touches in opposition box23
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
11Free kicks12

Passes

82% (371/452)Passes75% (253/338)
35% (19/55)Long passes39% (25/64)
67% (83/123)Passes in final third44% (33/75)
23% (5/22)Crosses17% (3/18)
0.57Expected assists (xA)0.45
17Throw ins23

Defense

12Fouls11
90% (18/20)Tackles47% (9/19)
64Duels won68
29Clearances38
7Interceptions9
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves5
0.03xGOT faced1.27
0.03Goals prevented0.27
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.41
X4.59
27.46

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
78
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #1 vs Away #8
Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.07 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.65 PPG vs Away 1.80 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.87 GPG vs Away 0.53 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

89%
6%
5%
Hearts
Draw
Dundee FC

Match Preview

Scottish Premiership leaders Heart of Midlothian were left disappointed by last weekend's result, whereas Dundee felt a late sense of elation after their late leveller in a dramatic derby draw.

Heart of Midlothian fell to just a fifth Scottish Premiership defeat of the 2025/26 campaign, as Kilmarnock beat the league leaders by a sole goal, as the Jambos have now lost their last three league games away from home. However, the men in maroon are the only unbeaten home team in the entire division and are yet to concede a league goal to Dundee in two victories this season.

Dundee missed out on back-to-back top-tier derby wins over Dundee United for the first time since November 2004, but recovered from a two goal-deficit to score twice in added time as the Dundee derby ended in a dramatic draw. Yet to score against Hearts, losing home and away to the Jam Tarts in the 2025/26 campaign, the Dee defeated the Jambos at Tynecastle last season.

Heart of Midlothian have won the following fixture after three of their four previous Scottish Premiership setbacks this season, so will hope to defeat Dundee and return to winning ways this weekend.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Hearts

Starting 11
-Alexander Schwolow
GK6.77
-Harry Milne
DL7.42
-Jamie McCart
DC6.40
-Craig Halkett
DC7.38
-Jordi Altena
DR6.66
-Blair Spittal
MC6.55
-Marc Leonard
MC7.32
-Oisin McEntee
MC6.98
-Alexandros Kyziridis
FWL6.95
-Pierre Landry Kaboré
FW6.65
-Cláudio Braga
FWR7.00

Dundee FC

Starting 11
-Jon McCracken
GK6.54
-Imari Samuels
DL6.37
-Luke Graham
DC7.03
-Ryan Astley
DC6.90
-Drey Wright
DR6.60
-Joel Cotterill
DMC6.53
-Ethan Hamilton
DMC6.69
-Tony Yogane
AML6.48
-Yan Dhanda
AMC6.56
-Cameron Congreve
AMR6.72
-Simon Murray
FW6.30
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 30 matches
HeartsvsDundee FC

radarTeam Profile

Hearts
Dundee FC
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
55Attack19
shield
74Defense37
swap_horiz
43Possession32
gps_fixed
69Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
35Creativity17
gavel
49Discipline64

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

52Goals Scored31
25Goals Conceded48
15Clean Sheets5
75Big Chances40
48Big Chances Missed22
3Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

428Total Shots304
151Shots on Target93

swap_horizPassing & Possession

52.9%Avg Possession43.0%
12,484Total Passes10,479
76.7%Pass Accuracy76.6%

shieldDefending

520Tackles419
267Interceptions241
66Saves114
51.7%Duels Won53.5%

gavelDiscipline

333Fouls275
55Yellow Cards44
3Red Cards2
37Offsides45

analyticsOther

167Corners113
178Successful Dribbles176
3Errors Leading to Goal8
6.91Avg Rating6.77

Statistical Comparison

HeartsMetricDundee FC
49
Goals
28
28
Assists
19
6.7
Average Ratings
6.4
26.9
Average Age
25
181.5
Average Height (cm)
181.9
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
53%
Aerial Duel Success
57%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.2
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

HeartsHearts
2.1 GPG
L
W
W
L
W
Dundee FCDundee FC
1.1 GPG
D
W
D
W
D

group Head to Head

PL11 Jan 2026
Dundee
0-1
Hearts
PL1 Nov 2025
Hearts
4-0
Dundee
PL26 Apr 2025
Hearts
0-1
Dundee
PL7 Mar 2025
Hearts
3-1
Dundee
PL1 Feb 2025
Dundee
0-6
Hearts
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
67%
22 / 33 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
16 / 33 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
9 / 33 matches
Both Teams to Score
45%
15 / 33 matches
Hearts CS
39%
Clean Sheets
Dundee FC CS
15%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

11 Jan 2026
Dundee
0 - 1
Hearts
1 Nov 2025
Hearts
4 - 0
Dundee
26 Apr 2025
Hearts
0 - 1
Dundee
7 Mar 2025
Hearts
3 - 1
Dundee
1 Feb 2025
Dundee
0 - 6
Hearts
7 Dec 2024
Hearts
2 - 0
Dundee
10 Aug 2024
Dundee
3 - 1
Hearts
11 May 2024
Hearts
3 - 0
Dundee
3 Feb 2024
Dundee
2 - 3
Hearts
23 Jan 2024
Hearts
3 - 2
Dundee
27 Aug 2023
Dundee
1 - 0
Hearts
9 Feb 2022
Hearts
1 - 2
Dundee

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Hearts
2.10
Form (Overall)
Dundee FC
1.07

Hearts is +96% better in terms of Points Per Game

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Hearts
Hearts
1 - 0
Aberdeen
Hearts
1 - 0
Falkirk
Rangers
4 - 2
Hearts
Hearts
1 - 0
Hibernian
Dundee
2 - 2
Dundee United
Dundee
2 - 1
Motherwell
Dundee
3 - 3
Hibernian
Aberdeen
2 - 3
Dundee
Dundee
2 - 2
Livingston

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