Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Tips | Eredivisie | FootballTips.app

Heerenveen

Heerenveen

Home
Full Time
2 - 3
HT: 2 - 1
Sunday 6 September
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

Away
HeerenveenTimelineAZ Alkmaar
1st Half
Daal R. (Goes W.)
sports_soccer
7'
Courtens N. (Vente D.)
sports_soccer
21'
Courtens N.
28'
Meerveld R. (Proper D.)
sports_soccer
30'
2nd Half
Stengs C.Out: Weslley Patati
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46'
de Wit M.Out: Chavez Garcia M.
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46'
Daal R.
54'
Byskov V.Out: Clasie J.
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64'
Oyen L.Out: Rivera M.
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68'
Uldrikis R.Out: Vente D.
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68'
Maikuma S.Out: Dijkstra E.
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68'
Meerdink M. (Byskov V.)
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69'
Smans L.Out: Proper D.
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74'
Oufkir A.Out: Daal R.
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82'
Oufkir A.Assist: Meerdink M.
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83'
Petrov H.Out: Courtens N.
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88'
Oufkir A.
90+1'

Top stats

1.52Expected goals (xG)1.51
45%Ball possession55%
14Total shots15
5Shots on target8
3Big chances2
4Corner kicks3
82% (340/415)Passes87% (444/508)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

1.52Expected goals (xG)1.51
2.81xG on target (xGOT)3.61
14Total shots15
5Shots on target8
3Shots off target3
6Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box8
4Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances2
4Corner kicks3
33Touches in opposition box39
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides4
12Free kicks9

Passes

82% (340/415)Passes87% (444/508)
45% (29/64)Long passes50% (21/42)
69% (74/108)Passes in final third81% (158/194)
43% (6/14)Crosses30% (3/10)
0.73Expected assists (xA)1.24
14Throw ins13

Defense

9Fouls12
62% (8/13)Tackles67% (16/24)
51Duels won51
20Clearances28
1Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves3
3.61xGOT faced2.81
0.61Goals prevented0.81
7Goal kicks4
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AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.89
X4.25
21.75

Recommended Bet

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Home Win
Odds: 3.89Stake: Medium (6/10)
60
Opp. Value

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.6 vs Away 7.2
Model Consensus: 1-2 (Away)
More Goals: Away 13 vs 5

donut_small Win Probabilities

27%
23%
50%
Heerenveen
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Home Win3.893.71+4.9%
Draw4.254.36-2.4%
Away Win1.752.00-12.4%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Heerenveen welcome the Eredivisie leaders to the Abe Lenstra Stadion looking to end AZ’s perfect start to the campaign. Robin Veldman’s side sit 11th with five points from four matches, while Lee-Roy Echteld’s visitors have taken a maximum 12 points and already opened up one of the strongest goal differences in the division.

Heerenveen were held to a 2-2 draw away to Willem II last weekend after briefly turning the game around in the second half. Jacob Trenskow cancelled out Uriël van Aalst’s opener before Oliver Braude put the visitors 2-1 ahead, only for Devin Haen to equalise in the 82nd minute. Veldman’s side again showed resilience, but their inability to control the decisive moments prevented them from taking all three points.

Trenskow remains Heerenveen’s most productive attacker, with two goals and one assist, while Dylan Vente, Sam Kersten and Levi Smans have also contributed assists. Their broader form has produced nine goals across the last five matches, although the league return of five from four games suggests there is still room for greater efficiency in the final third.

AZ arrive in exceptional form after beating Go Ahead Eagles 5-2 at the AFAS Stadion. Dave Kwakman’s deflected effort opened the scoring before Ro-Zangelo Daal struck twice, with Lewis Schouten and Mateo Chávez also finding the net. The result extended AZ’s winning sequence to seven matches across all competitions and their unbeaten run to 16.

The leaders have combined attacking variety with defensive control, scoring 13 goals in four Eredivisie matches while conceding only three. Daal leads the team with three goals, while Chávez has already supplied three assists and remains a major attacking influence from left-back. That balance has made Echteld’s side difficult to disrupt whether playing at home or away.

Recent meetings have tended to produce a winner, with none of the last five ending level. Heerenveen have enough attacking quality to make AZ work, especially at home, but the visitors’ form, depth and ability to attack through both central and wide areas give them the stronger platform.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Heerenveen

Starting 11
-Bernt Klaverboer
GK6.30
-Vasilios Zagaritis
DL6.83
-Maas Willemsen
DC6.40
-Sam Kersten
DC6.48
-Oliver Braude
DR6.98
-Dirk Proper
DMC6.55
-Nolhan Courtens
DMC6.12
-Maxence Rivera
AML6.37
-Ringo Meerveld
AMC6.65
-Jacob Trenskow
AMR7.41
-Dylan Vente
FW6.69

AZ Alkmaar

Starting 11
-Jari De Busser
GK6.34
-Mateo Chávez
DL7.33
-Lewis Schouten
DC7.20
-Wouter Goes
DC7.13
-Elijah Dijkstra
DR6.74
-Peer Koopmeiners
DMC7.74
-Dave Kwakman
DMC7.19
-Ro-Zangelo Daal
AML7.98
-Kees Smit
AMC6.83
-Weslley Patati
AMR7.14
-Mexx Meerdink
FW7.16
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches
HeerenveenvsAZ Alkmaar
1.25Goals / Match3.25
1.50Conceded / Match0.75
1Clean Sheets2
5.25Shots on Target / Match8.00
54.0%Possession %57.5%
85.8%Pass Accuracy %85.6%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

5Goals Scored13
6Goals Conceded3
1Clean Sheets2
7Big Chances13
5Big Chances Missed7

gps_fixedShooting

51Total Shots83
21Shots on Target32

swap_horizPassing & Possession

54.0%Avg Possession57.5%
2,061Total Passes2,015
85.8%Pass Accuracy85.6%

shieldDefending

41Tackles59
31Interceptions29
13Saves5
50.3%Duels Won53.0%

gavelDiscipline

28Fouls43
4Yellow Cards3
7Offsides7

analyticsOther

18Corners41
33Successful Dribbles36
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.47Avg Rating7.82

Statistical Comparison

HeerenveenMetricAZ Alkmaar
5
Goals
13
4
Assists
8
6.5
Average Ratings
6.9
23.6
Average Age
22.5
179.8
Average Height (cm)
181.3
1.1
Shots pg
1.8
52%
Aerial Duel Success
57%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.8
0.9
Tackles pg
1.3

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