Helmond vs Venlo Prediction & Tips | Eerste Divisie | FootballTips.app
Helmond
HomeFull Time
4 - 2
HT: 2 - 0
Friday 4 September
Venlo
AwayHelmondTimelineVenlo
1st Half
Cicero L.
sports_soccer
17'
Tsigkas M.Out: Schalk A.
sync_alt
36'
Bajrami L. (Dekkers S.)
sports_soccer
44'
2nd Half
Clancy E. (de Blok L.)
sports_soccer
47'
Joosten T.Out: Vullers R.
sync_alt
59'
M'hand I.Out: Blancquart G.
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59'
van der Velde X.
61'
Golic L.Out: Poll T.
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67'
de Blok L.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
69'
Lenaerts M.Out: van der Sluijs J.
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71'
Ekoli K.Out: Ingason H.
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72'
Essakkati T.Out: Bajrami L.
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72'
Landheer T.
73'
Janssen T.Out: Odriss M.
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75'
Rais A.Out: Ait Mouhou N.
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75'
Llonch P.Out: Ludwig M.
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79'
Lenaerts M.Assist: Essakkati T.
sports_soccer
85'
Essakkati T.
87'
Llonch P.
88'
Lenaerts M. (Essakkati T.)
sports_soccer
90+1'
Lenaerts M.
90+2'
Top stats
3.46Expected goals (xG)2.52
51%Ball possession49%
19Total shots19
6Shots on target10
3Big chances5
2Corner kicks8
87% (363/416)Passes83% (320/386)
5Yellow cards0
Shots
3.46Expected goals (xG)2.52
4.28xG on target (xGOT)2.79
19Total shots19
6Shots on target10
7Shots off target7
6Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box14
8Shots outside the box5
1Hit the woodwork1
Attack
3Big chances5
2Corner kicks8
26Touches in opposition box26
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
5Free kicks18
Passes
87% (363/416)Passes83% (320/386)
56% (24/43)Long passes38% (17/45)
69% (60/87)Passes in final third63% (59/94)
25% (5/20)Crosses35% (12/34)
1.80Expected assists (xA)0.94
13Throw ins11
Defense
18Fouls5
64% (9/14)Tackles45% (5/11)
56Duels won50
39Clearances16
8Interceptions10
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
8Goalkeeper saves2
2.79xGOT faced4.28
0.79Goals prevented0.28
10Goal kicks7
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.46
X3.42
22.44
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 2.46Stake: Low (4/10)
38
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
👎 LOW OPPORTUNITY (38)
⚠️ Low Confidence: 39.09071475721463% probability
🚀 Great Odds: 2.46 (Good risk/reward)
donut_small Win Probabilities
39%
Helmond Win
31%
Draw
30%
Venlo Win
Helmond
Draw
Venlo
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 2.46 | 2.56 | 2.73 | -3.8% |
| Draw | 3.42 | 3.27 | 3.79 | +4.5% |
| Away Win | 2.44 | 3.29 | 2.71 | -25.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 4 matchesHelmondvsVenlo
1.25Goals / Match2.75
1.75Conceded / Match1.25
0Clean Sheets2
2.50Shots on Target / Match3.75
37.3%Possession %42.5%
77.1%Pass Accuracy %76.2%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
5Goals Scored11
7Goals Conceded5
0Clean Sheets2
5Big Chances12
2Big Chances Missed3
gps_fixedShooting
30Total Shots40
10Shots on Target15
swap_horizPassing & Possession
37.3%Avg Possession42.5%
1,272Total Passes1,313
77.1%Pass Accuracy76.2%
shieldDefending
70Tackles61
56Interceptions33
15Saves16
48.4%Duels Won47.7%
gavelDiscipline
59Fouls47
9Yellow Cards9
3Offsides4
analyticsOther
20Corners13
35Successful Dribbles17
0Errors Leading to Goal1
6.95Avg Rating7.70
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