Hibernian vs Hearts Prediction & Tips | Premiership - Championship Group | FootballTips.app

Hibernian

Hibernian

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 26 April
Hearts

Hearts

Away
HibernianTimelineHearts
1st Half
Boyle M. (McGrath J.)
sports_soccer
7'
Sallinger R.
14'
Smith J.Out: Cadden N.
sync_alt
15'
O'Hora W.
45+1'
Kingsley S.
45+2'
Passlack F.
45+3'
2nd Half
Kerjota S.Out: Altena J.
sync_alt
46'
Passlack F.
48'
Megwa K.Out: Elding O.
sync_alt
49'
Kyziridis A.Out: Kabore P.
sync_alt
57'
Spittal B.Out: Steinwender M.
sync_alt
58'
Suto A.Out: Boyle M.
sync_alt
63'
Newell J.Out: Barlaser D.
sync_alt
63'
Campbell J.Out: McGrath J.
sync_alt
63'
O'Hora W.
sports_soccer
65'
Spittal B.Assist: Kerjota S.
sports_soccer
86'
McCart J.Out: Kingsley S.
sync_alt
89'
Leonard M.
90+1'
Newell J.
90+1'
Shankland L.
90+2'
Bushiri R.
90+2'
Chesnokov I.Out: Braga C.
sync_alt
90+3'

Top stats

0.53Expected goals (xG)1.83
24%Ball possession76%
4Total shots23
1Shots on target6
1Big chances1
0Corner kicks11
43% (76/175)Passes81% (413/507)
5Yellow cards3
2Red cards0

Shots

0.53Expected goals (xG)1.83
0.84xG on target (xGOT)1.86
4Total shots23
1Shots on target6
3Shots off target8
0Blocked shots9
1Shots inside the box13
3Shots outside the box10
0Hit the woodwork2

Attack

1Big chances1
0Corner kicks11
3Touches in opposition box57
1Accurate through passes0
0Offsides2
17Free kicks8

Passes

43% (76/175)Passes81% (413/507)
18% (14/79)Long passes45% (19/42)
26% (12/47)Passes in final third76% (149/196)
50% (1/2)Crosses30% (14/47)
0.47Expected assists (xA)2.53
14Throw ins27

Defense

8Fouls17
67% (14/21)Tackles60% (6/10)
65Duels won57
45Clearances7
5Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves0
1.86xGOT faced0.84
0.86Goals prevented-0.16
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
12.79
X3.32
22.46

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Stake: Low (4/10)
36
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.55 PPG vs Away 2.12 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 2.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.88 GPG vs Away 1.63 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.88 conc vs Away 1.13 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

25%
37%
38%
Hibernian
Draw
Hearts

Match Preview

The fourth and final Edinburgh derby of the Scottish Premiership season sees Europe-chasing Hibernian host league leaders Heart of Midlothian at Easter Road on Sunday afternoon.

Hibs will be desperate to win Sunday's showdown for two reasons: firstly, they're still firmly in the hunt for European football and are aiming to leapfrog Motherwell in fourth and secondly, they'll be out to hurt Hearts' title charge. Having lost by a sole goal in both previous Tynecastle meetings, the Hibees battered their rivals for the opening hour in the last Easter Road derby and will be hopeful of repeating the feat this weekend.

Hearts enter the post-split fixtures at the top of the Scottish Premiership table, becoming the first club outside of Glasgow's big two to achieve the feat. The Jambos are seeking a first league victory at Easter Road since December 2023, having drawn one and lost their last two since. With five games to go, the league leaders will be desperate to enter next week's huge title showdown at Tynecastle against Rangers with another win.

Hibs will hope to claim a second Leith derby victory, after Hearts won both derbies in Gorgie, but Sunday could produce a share of the spoils which would do neither side any favours.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Hibernian

Starting 11
-Raphael Sallinger
GK
-Jack Iredale
DC
-Rocky Bushiri
DC
-Warren O'Hora
DC
-Jordan Obita
ML
-Daniel Barlaser
MC
-Miguel Chaiwa
MC
-Felix Passlack
MR
-Jamie McGrath
AMC
-Dane Scarlett
FW
-Owen Elding
FW

Hearts

Starting 11
-Alexander Schwolow
GK
-Stephen Kingsley
DL
-Stuart Findlay
DC
-Craig Halkett
DC
-Michael Steinwender
DR
-Beni Baningime
MC
-Marc Leonard
MC
-Cameron Devlin
MC
-Alexandros Kyziridis
FWL
-Lawrence Shankland
FW
-Cláudio Braga
FWR
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 33 matches
HibernianvsHearts

radarTeam Profile

Hibernian
Hearts
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
47Attack56
shield
49Defense71
swap_horiz
49Possession44
gps_fixed
74Efficiency70
auto_fix_high
39Creativity37
gavel
53Discipline46

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

51Goals Scored58
37Goals Conceded28
11Clean Sheets16
74Big Chances83
42Big Chances Missed52
6Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

419Total Shots473
157Shots on Target167

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.2%Avg Possession53.2%
13,737Total Passes13,827
81.2%Pass Accuracy77.2%

shieldDefending

400Tackles567
274Interceptions283
89Saves70
50.3%Duels Won51.8%

gavelDiscipline

354Fouls363
61Yellow Cards59
2Red Cards5
58Offsides39

analyticsOther

172Corners182
223Successful Dribbles197
4Errors Leading to Goal3
6.88Avg Rating6.91

history Recent Form

HibernianHibernian
1.6 GPG
L
W
D
D
D
HeartsHearts
2.1 GPG
W
D
W
L
W

group Head to Head

PL10 Feb 2026
Hearts
1-0
Hibernian
PL27 Dec 2025
Hibernian
3-2
Hearts
PL4 Oct 2025
Hearts
1-0
Hibernian
PL2 Mar 2025
Hibernian
2-1
Hearts
PL26 Dec 2024
Hearts
1-2
Hibernian
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
69%
29 / 42 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
17 / 42 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
10%
4 / 42 matches
Both Teams to Score
55%
23 / 42 matches
Hibernian CS
26%
Clean Sheets
Hearts CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 Feb 2026
Hearts
1 - 0
Hibernian
27 Dec 2025
Hibernian
3 - 2
Hearts
4 Oct 2025
Hearts
1 - 0
Hibernian
2 Mar 2025
Hibernian
2 - 1
Hearts
26 Dec 2024
Hearts
1 - 2
Hibernian
27 Oct 2024
Hibernian
1 - 1
Hearts
28 Feb 2024
Hearts
1 - 1
Hibernian
27 Dec 2023
Hibernian
0 - 1
Hearts
7 Oct 2023
Hearts
2 - 2
Hibernian
27 May 2023
Hearts
1 - 1
Hibernian
15 Apr 2023
Hibernian
1 - 0
Hearts
22 Jan 2023
Hibernian
0 - 3
Hearts

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Hibernian
1.55
Form (Overall)
Hearts
2.12

Hearts is +37% better in terms of Points Per Game

Aberdeen
2 - 0
Hibernian
Hibernian
3 - 0
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0 - 0
Hibernian
Hibernian
0 - 0
Livingston
Dundee
3 - 3
Hibernian
Hearts
3 - 1
Motherwell
Livingston
2 - 2
Hearts
Hearts
1 - 0
Dundee
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Hearts
Hearts
1 - 0
Aberdeen

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Hibernian vs Hearts Prediction & Tips | Premiership - Championship Group | FootballTips.app