Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim

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16h
14:30
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

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Who wins?

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AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
12.80
X4.00
22.29

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #14 vs Away #4
Season: Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 2.17 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.20 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 2.67 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

33%
24%
44%
Hoffenheim
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.371.61-15.0%
Under 2.5 Goals3.022.63+14.7%
Hoffenheim Win2.653.04-12.8%
Draw4.004.24-5.7%
Bayer Leverkusen Win2.312.30+0.5%
BTTS - Yes1.361.67-18.4%
BTTS - No3.202.50+28.0%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Hoffenheim

Starting 11
-Oliver Baumann
GK6.31
-Mats Rots
DL6.57
-Ozan Kabak
DC6.90
-Koki Machida
DC6.74
-Vladimír Coufal
DR6.93
-Adam Daghim
ML7.16
-Alexander Prass
MC7.38
-Leon Avdullahu
MC6.52
-Bambasé Conté
MR7.32
-Tim Lemperle
FW6.64
-Fisnik Asllani
FW6.51

Bayer Leverkusen

Starting 11
-Mark Flekken
GK6.44
-Miguel Gutiérrez
DL7.26
-Edmond Tapsoba
DC6.67
-Facundo Medina
DC6.76
-Jarell Quansah
DR6.83
-Equi Fernández
DMC6.94
-Aleix García
DMC7.08
-Afonso Moreira
AML6.62
-Ibrahim Maza
AMC7.31
-Moussa Diaby
AMR6.69
-Patrik Schick
FW7.80
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

After a miserable start to the Bundesliga campaign, Hoffenheim head into gameweek seven chasing a third consecutive win in all competitions. Die Kraichgauer followed up a 2-1 win against a struggling Borussia Mönchengladbach side with a 3-0 home win against Lyon in the Europa League.

Bayer Leverkusen's recent form has been even more impressive than that of their hosts. After beating Freiburg and OFI Crete in their last two outings, Die Werkself are now chasing a seventh straight win in all competitions.

Statistical Comparison

HoffenheimMetricBayer Leverkusen
10
Goals
16
10
Assists
12
6.6
Average Ratings
6.7
25.8
Average Age
26
185.4
Average Height (cm)
182.6
1.3
Shots pg
1.4
57%
Aerial Duel Success
38%
0.8
Dribbles pg
0.7
1.1
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

HoffenheimHoffenheim
1.0 GPG
W
L
L
L
W
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1.3 GPG
W
W
W
D
L

group Head to Head

PL17 Jan 2026
Hoffenheim
1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
PL23 Aug 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
Hoffenheim
PL2 Feb 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
3-1
Hoffenheim
PL14 Sept 2024
Hoffenheim
1-4
Bayer Leverkusen
PL30 Mar 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
Hoffenheim
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
81%
29 / 36 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
26 / 36 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
16 / 36 matches
Both Teams to Score
64%
23 / 36 matches
Hoffenheim CS
17%
Clean Sheets
Bayer Leverkusen CS
25%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

17 Jan 2026
Hoffenheim
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
23 Aug 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 2
Hoffenheim
2 Feb 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 1
Hoffenheim
14 Sept 2024
Hoffenheim
1 - 4
Bayer Leverkusen
30 Mar 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 1
Hoffenheim
4 Nov 2023
Hoffenheim
2 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
11 Feb 2023
Hoffenheim
1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen
20 Aug 2022
Bayer Leverkusen
0 - 3
Hoffenheim
7 May 2022
Hoffenheim
2 - 4
Bayer Leverkusen
15 Dec 2021
Bayer Leverkusen
2 - 2
Hoffenheim
12 Apr 2021
Hoffenheim
0 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
13 Dec 2020
Bayer Leverkusen
4 - 1
Hoffenheim

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Hoffenheim
1.00
Form (Overall)
Bayer Leverkusen
1.33

Bayer Leverkusen is +33% better in terms of Points Per Game

Hoffenheim
3 - 0
Olympique Lyonnais
Hoffenheim
2 - 3
Beşiktaş
Hoffenheim
2 - 3
Hamburger SV
Hoffenheim
2 - 3
Elversberg
Hoffenheim
2 - 1
Stuttgart
OFI
0 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
Lech Poznań
0 - 4
Bayer Leverkusen
Mainz 05
3 - 4
Bayer Leverkusen
Augsburg
2 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen
Elversberg
3 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen

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