Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim

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Full Time
3 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 14 February
Freiburg

Freiburg

Away
HoffenheimTimelineFreiburg
1st Half
Toure B.
9'
Promel G.
24'
2nd Half
Rosenfelder M.Out: Irie C.
sync_alt
46'
Asllani F.Assist: Coufal V.
sports_soccer
46'
Kabak O. (Coufal V.)
sports_soccer
51'
Kabak O.
53'
Osterhage P.
55'
Jung A.Out: Rosenfelder M.
sync_alt
57'
Matanovic I.Out: Suzuki Y.
sync_alt
58'
Grifo V.Out: Scherhant D.
sync_alt
72'
Prass A.Out: Toure B.
sync_alt
73'
Moerstedt M.Out: Asllani F.
sync_alt
74'
Bebou I.Out: Kramaric A.
sync_alt
86'
Beste J.Out: Treu P.
sync_alt
88'
Gendrey V.Out: Coufal V.
sync_alt
90+4'
Gendrey V. (Prass A.)
sports_soccer
90+5'

Top stats

1.71Expected goals (xG)0.78
61%Ball possession39%
25Total shots13
7Shots on target3
2Big chances0
6Corner kicks6
84% (440/523)Passes71% (235/331)
3Yellow cards1

Shots

1.71Expected goals (xG)0.78
2.63xG on target (xGOT)0.37
25Total shots13
7Shots on target3
9Shots off target6
9Blocked shots4
14Shots inside the box10
11Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork0
2Headed goals0

Attack

2Big chances0
6Corner kicks6
44Touches in opposition box25
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides2
6Free kicks8

Passes

84% (440/523)Passes71% (235/331)
51% (31/61)Long passes43% (29/67)
75% (117/155)Passes in final third53% (53/100)
25% (7/28)Crosses25% (4/16)
1.79Expected assists (xA)0.66
20Throw ins14

Defense

8Fouls6
59% (10/17)Tackles83% (5/6)
50Duels won35
39Clearances40
7Interceptions4
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
0.37xGOT faced2.63
0.37Goals prevented-0.37
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.74
X4.15
24.68

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #7
Season: Home 2.00 PPG vs Away 1.43 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.40 GPG vs Away 1.18 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

83%
9%
8%
Hoffenheim
Draw
Freiburg

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Hoffenheim

Starting 11
-Oliver Baumann
GK6.66
-Albian Hajdari
DL6.96
-Ozan Kabak
DC6.76
-Robin Hranác
DC6.77
-Vladimír Coufal
DR7.06
-Wouter Burger
MC7.23
-Leon Avdullahu
MC6.68
-Grischa Prömel
MC6.74
-Bazoumana Touré
FWL7.02
-Fisnik Asllani
FW6.87
-Andrej Kramaric
FWR6.93

Freiburg

Starting 11
-Noah Atubolu
GK6.63
-Christian Günter
DL6.34
-Max Rosenfelder
DC6.28
-Matthias Ginter
DC6.91
-Philipp Treu
DR6.48
-Maximilian Eggestein
DMC6.82
-Patrick Osterhage
DMC6.42
-Vincenzo Grifo
AML6.60
-Yuito Suzuki
AMC6.69
-Niklas Beste
AMR6.79
-Igor Matanovic
FW6.60
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

At the PreZero Arena on February 14, 2026, Hoffenheim will go head-to-head against Freiburg in a Bundesliga fixture.

Sitting in 3rd place with 42 points, Hoffenheim will aim to extend their success after winning 14 of their last 23 matches.

On the other hand, Freiburg, positioned 7th with 30 points, looks to improve their form following a tough streak with losses in 67% of their recent 6 away matches.

When considering their historical meetings, Hoffenheim has struggled with a 67% loss rate in their last 6 head-to-head encounters against Freiburg.

The upcoming battle between Hoffenheim and Freiburg presents an interesting clash of form and statistics.

With our algorithm predicting over 2.5 goals to be scored, expect an engaging match as both teams strive for a favorable outcome.

Hoffenheim's remarkable run of form came to an end with a heavy away defeat against league leaders Bayern Munich last weekend after Kevin Akpoguma was sent off during the 17th minute. Before that result, Die Kraichgauer had won six and drawn one of their last seven Bundesliga fixtures.

Freiburg held on to their 1-0 lead against Werder Bremen last weekend to clinch all three points, despite playing over 40 minutes with 10 men after Johan Manzambi's red card. Julian Schuster's men have struggled on the road of late, though, winning just one of their last nine on their travels.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 21 matches
HoffenheimvsFreiburg
2.10Goals / Match1.52
1.33Conceded / Match1.57
5Clean Sheets5
4.86Shots on Target / Match4.05
52.9%Possession %48.9%
80.2%Pass Accuracy %81.3%

radarTeam Profile

Hoffenheim
Freiburg
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
66Attack42
shield
48Defense43
swap_horiz
49Possession45
gps_fixed
87Efficiency68
auto_fix_high
56Creativity27
gavel
34Discipline55

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

44Goals Scored32
28Goals Conceded33
5Clean Sheets5
64Big Chances44
34Big Chances Missed25
4Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

267Total Shots263
102Shots on Target85

swap_horizPassing & Possession

52.9%Avg Possession48.9%
9,698Total Passes8,691
80.2%Pass Accuracy81.3%

shieldDefending

335Tackles300
170Interceptions190
66Saves62
48.1%Duels Won52.7%

gavelDiscipline

302Fouls205
42Yellow Cards32
2Red Cards3
38Offsides41

analyticsOther

104Corners92
116Successful Dribbles118
4Errors Leading to Goal9
6.84Avg Rating6.78

Statistical Comparison

HoffenheimMetricFreiburg
40
Goals
30
29
Assists
17
6.6
Average Ratings
6.5
26.6
Average Age
26.8
184
Average Height (cm)
182.9
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
51%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.2
Tackles pg
1

League Standings Context

For Hoffenheim

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Borussia Dortmund22156151
3Hoffenheim21133542
4RB Leipzig21123639

For Freiburg

PosTeamPWDLPts
6Bayer Leverkusen20113636
7Freiburg2186730
8Eintracht Frankfurt2177728

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

47.1/ 109.5
Dangerous Attacks
45.6/ 93.6
40.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
12.6
Total Shots
13.6
54.0%
Possession
50.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

2.1
Goals Scored / Match
1.5
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Hoffenheim Wins
0%
2
Draws
33%
4
Freiburg Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketHoffenheimFreiburg
Over 1.5 Goals
87%20/23
104%24/23
Over 2.5 Goals
65%15/23
70%16/23
Both Teams to Score
65%15/23
74%17/23
* Based on last 23 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Hoffenheim

De1
Bayern Munich
5 - 1
Hoffenheim
De1
Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Union Berlin
De1
Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Hoffenheim
De1
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
Hoffenheim
De1
Hoffenheim
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Hoffenheim
5 - 1
Borussia M'gladbach

Home Games: Hoffenheim

De1
Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Union Berlin
De1
Hoffenheim
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
De1
Hoffenheim
5 - 1
Borussia M'gladbach
De1
Hoffenheim
4 - 1
Hamburger SV
De1
Hoffenheim
3 - 0
Augsburg
De1
Hoffenheim
3 - 1
RB Leipzig

Last 6: Freiburg

DFB
Hertha
0 - 0
Freiburg
De1
Freiburg
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
De1
Stuttgart
1 - 0
Freiburg
UEL
Lille
1 - 0
Freiburg
De1
Freiburg
2 - 1
Köln
UEL
Freiburg
1 - 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv

Away Games: Freiburg

DFB
Hertha
0 - 0
Freiburg
De1
Stuttgart
1 - 0
Freiburg
UEL
Lille
1 - 0
Freiburg
De1
Augsburg
2 - 2
Freiburg
De1
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Freiburg
De1
Wolfsburg
3 - 4
Freiburg

history Recent Form

HoffenheimHoffenheim
2.0 GPG
L
W
W
W
W
FreiburgFreiburg
1.4 GPG
W
L
W
D
L

group Head to Head

PL28 Sept 2025
Freiburg
1-1
Hoffenheim
PL19 Apr 2025
Freiburg
3-2
Hoffenheim
PL8 Dec 2024
Hoffenheim
1-1
Freiburg
PL20 Jan 2024
Freiburg
3-2
Hoffenheim
PL19 Aug 2023
Hoffenheim
1-2
Freiburg
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
81%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
84%
27 / 32 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
18 / 32 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
12 / 32 matches
Both Teams to Score
81%
26 / 32 matches
Hoffenheim CS
9%
Clean Sheets
Freiburg CS
16%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

28 Sept 2025
Freiburg
1 - 1
Hoffenheim
19 Apr 2025
Freiburg
3 - 2
Hoffenheim
8 Dec 2024
Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Freiburg
20 Jan 2024
Freiburg
3 - 2
Hoffenheim
19 Aug 2023
Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Freiburg
12 Mar 2023
Freiburg
2 - 1
Hoffenheim
18 Sept 2022
Hoffenheim
0 - 0
Freiburg
30 Apr 2022
Hoffenheim
3 - 4
Freiburg
19 Jan 2022
Hoffenheim
1 - 4
Freiburg
11 Dec 2021
Freiburg
1 - 2
Hoffenheim
24 Apr 2021
Freiburg
1 - 1
Hoffenheim
2 Jan 2021
Hoffenheim
1 - 3
Freiburg

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Hoffenheim
2.00
Form (Overall)
Freiburg
1.43

Hoffenheim is +40% better in terms of Points Per Game

Bayern München
5 - 1
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 3
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
1 - 0
Bayer Leverkusen
Freiburg
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
Stuttgart
1 - 0
Freiburg
Freiburg
2 - 1
Köln
Augsburg
2 - 2
Freiburg
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Freiburg

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