Hoffenheim vs Mainz Prediction & Tips | Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 4 April
Mainz

Mainz

Away
HoffenheimTimelineMainz
1st Half
Kohr D.
7'
Tietz P. (Mwene P.)
sports_soccer
13'
Asllani F. (Toure B.)
sports_soccer
23'
Potulski K.Out: Kohr D.
sync_alt
37'
Kabak O.
45'
2nd Half
Veratschnig N.Out: Widmer S.
sync_alt
46'
Coufal V.
47'
Avdullahu L.Out: Coufal V.
sync_alt
61'
Kramaric A.Out: Asllani F.
sync_alt
61'
Sieb A.Out: Becker S.
sync_alt
75'
Kawasaki S.Out: Lee Jae-Sung
sync_alt
75'
Tietz P. ()
sports_soccer
79'
Burger W.
79'
Baumann O.
80'
Bebou I.Out: Prass A.
sync_alt
84'
Moerstedt M.Out: Lemperle T.
sync_alt
87'
Maloney L.Out: Nebel P.
sync_alt
87'

Top stats

1.16Expected goals (xG)2.20
60%Ball possession40%
16Total shots9
5Shots on target5
1Big chances4
7Corner kicks3
79% (389/491)Passes70% (218/310)
4Yellow cards1

Shots

1.16Expected goals (xG)2.20
1.17xG on target (xGOT)2.04
16Total shots9
5Shots on target5
4Shots off target2
7Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box9
7Shots outside the box0
1Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances4
7Corner kicks3
37Touches in opposition box18
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides4
5Free kicks11

Passes

79% (389/491)Passes70% (218/310)
49% (33/67)Long passes37% (31/83)
64% (112/174)Passes in final third60% (56/93)
18% (4/22)Crosses32% (7/22)
0.95Expected assists (xA)1.10
25Throw ins27

Defense

11Fouls5
47% (7/15)Tackles50% (7/14)
55Duels won43
30Clearances44
8Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot2
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
2.04xGOT faced1.17
0.04Goals prevented0.17
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.71
X4.31
24.72

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
82
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #12
Season: Home 1.85 PPG vs Away 1.11 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.95 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.15 GPG vs Away 1.23 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

75%
12%
12%
Hoffenheim
Draw
Mainz

Match Preview

Hoffenheim went into the international break off the back of their worst performance of the season, in which they conceded four times during the first half against RB Leipzig. Die Kraichgauer have won just one of their last five Bundesliga fixtures and have dropped to fifth in the standings.

Mainz 05 had plenty more to celebrate before the break after beating Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 with help from a Paul Nebel brace. Urs Fischer's side have won back-to-back league games and are now six points clear of 16th-placed St. Pauli with seven gameweeks remaining.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Hoffenheim

Starting 11
-Oliver Baumann
GK6.56
-Bernardo
DL7.01
-Ozan Kabak
DC7.00
-Albian Hajdari
DC6.93
-Vladimír Coufal
DR7.11
-Wouter Burger
MC7.12
-Andrej Kramaric
MC6.90
-Grischa Prömel
MC6.71
-Bazoumana Touré
FWL6.98
-Fisnik Asllani
FW6.87
-Alexander Prass
FWR6.59

Mainz

Starting 11
-Daniel Batz
GK6.91
-Dominik Kohr
DC6.65
-Stefan Posch
DC6.85
-Danny da Costa
DC6.70
-Phillipp Mwene
DML6.37
-Lee Jae-Sung
MC6.65
-Kaishu Sano
MC6.91
-Paul Nebel
MC6.57
-Silvan Widmer
DMR6.51
-Phillip Tietz
FW6.77
-Sheraldo Becker
FW6.69
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 27 matches
HoffenheimvsMainz

radarTeam Profile

Hoffenheim
Mainz
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
66Attack40
shield
44Defense42
swap_horiz
51Possession27
gps_fixed
83Efficiency60
auto_fix_high
53Creativity34
gavel
40Discipline35

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

54Goals Scored33
39Goals Conceded42
6Clean Sheets3
79Big Chances78
44Big Chances Missed51
4Penalty Goals7

gps_fixedShooting

375Total Shots307
141Shots on Target100

swap_horizPassing & Possession

54.6%Avg Possession43.1%
12,685Total Passes9,799
80.4%Pass Accuracy74.3%

shieldDefending

430Tackles407
212Interceptions285
79Saves93
48.8%Duels Won48.7%

gavelDiscipline

376Fouls305
50Yellow Cards60
2Red Cards5
48Offsides62

analyticsOther

152Corners136
153Successful Dribbles145
5Errors Leading to Goal2
6.84Avg Rating6.77

Statistical Comparison

HoffenheimMetricMainz
50
Goals
33
37
Assists
20
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.5
Average Age
30.2
183.2
Average Height (cm)
181.7
0.9
Shots pg
0.8
53%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.4
Tackles pg
1.5

history Recent Form

HoffenheimHoffenheim
1.9 GPG
L
D
W
L
D
MainzMainz
1.1 GPG
W
W
D
D
D

group Head to Head

PL21 Nov 2025
Mainz 05
1-1
Hoffenheim
PL12 Apr 2025
Hoffenheim
2-0
Mainz 05
PL1 Dec 2024
Mainz 05
2-0
Hoffenheim
PL13 Apr 2024
Mainz 05
4-1
Hoffenheim
PL26 Nov 2023
Hoffenheim
1-1
Mainz 05
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
85%
28 / 33 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
18 / 33 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
14 / 33 matches
Both Teams to Score
61%
20 / 33 matches
Hoffenheim CS
21%
Clean Sheets
Mainz CS
24%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

21 Nov 2025
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hoffenheim
12 Apr 2025
Hoffenheim
2 - 0
Mainz 05
1 Dec 2024
Mainz 05
2 - 0
Hoffenheim
13 Apr 2024
Mainz 05
4 - 1
Hoffenheim
26 Nov 2023
Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Mainz 05
4 Mar 2023
Mainz 05
1 - 0
Hoffenheim
10 Sept 2022
Hoffenheim
4 - 1
Mainz 05
5 Feb 2022
Mainz 05
2 - 0
Hoffenheim
11 Sept 2021
Hoffenheim
0 - 2
Mainz 05
21 Mar 2021
Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Mainz 05
29 Nov 2020
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hoffenheim
30 May 2020
Mainz 05
0 - 1
Hoffenheim

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Hoffenheim
1.85
Form (Overall)
Mainz
1.11

Hoffenheim is +67% better in terms of Points Per Game

RB Leipzig
5 - 0
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Wolfsburg
Heidenheim
2 - 4
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim
0 - 1
St. Pauli
Köln
2 - 2
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
2 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Werder Bremen
0 - 2
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
2 - 2
Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen
1 - 1
Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hamburger SV

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