Hull vs Derby Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Hull

Hull

Home
Full Time
4 - 2
HT: 2 - 2
Tuesday 24 February
Derby

Derby

Away
HullTimelineDerby
1st Half
Agyemang P.
2'
Elder C.
sports_soccer
9'
Forsyth C.
sports_soccer
17'
McBurnie O. (Gelhardt J.)
sports_soccer
39'
Szmodics S.
sports_soccer
42'
2nd Half
Ward J.Out: Elder C.
sync_alt
46'
Drameh C.Out: Giles R.
sync_alt
53'
Coyle L.
60'
Ward J.
60'
Egan J.Assist: McBurnie O.
sports_soccer
75'
Brewster R.Out: Ozoh D.
sync_alt
79'
Morris C.Out: Brereton Diaz B.
sync_alt
79'
McNair P.Out: Millar L.
sync_alt
82'
Koumas L.Out: Gelhardt J.
sync_alt
82'
Koumas L. (Joseph K.)
sports_soccer
84'
Dowell K.Out: McBurnie O.
sync_alt
89'
Joseph K.
90+5'

Top stats

0.58Expected goals (xG)3.27
50%Ball possession50%
9Total shots18
3Shots on target6
2Big chances8
7Corner kicks3
58% (164/282)Passes59% (173/292)
2Yellow cards2

Shots

0.58Expected goals (xG)3.27
1.12xG on target (xGOT)2.75
9Total shots18
3Shots on target6
3Shots off target10
3Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box14
3Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

2Big chances8
7Corner kicks3
22Touches in opposition box35
0Accurate through passes1
0Offsides0
9Free kicks19

Passes

58% (164/282)Passes59% (173/292)
35% (23/66)Long passes28% (21/76)
54% (80/148)Passes in final third52% (59/114)
15% (4/26)Crosses33% (4/12)
0.77Expected assists (xA)1.89
24Throw ins21

Defense

19Fouls9
80% (12/15)Tackles88% (7/8)
57Duels won68
48Clearances44
4Interceptions16
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal2

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves0
2.75xGOT faced1.12
0.75Goals prevented-1.88
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.49
X3.22
22.99

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Medium (8/10)
75
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #8
Season: Home 1.69 PPG vs Away 1.45 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.95 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.41 GPG vs Away 1.63 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

48%
30%
23%
Hull
Draw
Derby

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Hull

Starting 11
-Ivor Pandur
GK6.64
-Charlie Hughes
DC7.17
-John Egan
DC6.77
-Paddy McNair
DC5.87
-Ryan Giles
ML6.68
-John Lundstram
MC6.38
-Regan Slater
MC6.71
-Lewie Coyle
MR6.73
-Joe Gelhardt
AMC7.12
-Kyle Joseph
FW6.64
-Oliver McBurnie
FW7.19

Derby

Starting 11
-Josh Vickers
GK7.06
-Derry John Murkin
DL6.60
-Matt Clarke
DC7.03
-Dion Sanderson
DC6.71
-Joe Ward
DR6.95
-Lewis Travis
DMC6.32
-Bobby Clark
DMC6.53
-Rhian Brewster
AML6.57
-Sam Szmodics
AMC6.32
-Ben Brereton
AMR6.54
-Patrick Agyemang
FW6.82
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

At The MKM Stadium on February 24, 2026, Hull City will face Derby County in a Championship showdown.

Hull City occupies the 5th spot in the standings with 54 points, while Derby County follows closely behind in 8th place with 48 points.

Hull City has struggled in recent matches, losing 3 out of their last 6 games across all competitions.

On the other hand, Derby County has been in good form away from home, securing 3 wins in their last 6 away matches.

In their head-to-head history, Hull City has suffered defeat in 5 out of the last 6 encounters against Derby County.

With Derby County expected to continue their strong away performances, the algorithm predicts Derby County to secure a 1-2 victory in this matchup.

Hull crumbled during the closing stages of Saturday's contest with QPR, conceding twice in the final 10 minutes as they suffered a 3-1 home defeat. The Tigers' play-off hopes have taken a hit after securing just one point from the last nine available, but they remain firmly in contention.

Derby found themselves trailing after just five minutes on Saturday and couldn't produce a response as the Rams were shut out by Edward Still's Watford side. Tuesday's visitors have won three of their last four away league games, though, and have the second-best record in the division on the road.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 32 / 33 matches
HullvsDerby
1.59Goals / Match1.42
1.44Conceded / Match1.24
9Clean Sheets8
4.34Shots on Target / Match3.27
46.0%Possession %42.7%
75.6%Pass Accuracy %74.8%

radarTeam Profile

Hull
Derby
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
46Attack33
shield
53Defense48
swap_horiz
36Possession26
gps_fixed
85Efficiency78
auto_fix_high
46Creativity28
gavel
48Discipline38

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

51Goals Scored47
46Goals Conceded41
9Clean Sheets8
76Big Chances61
40Big Chances Missed33
3Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

359Total Shots327
139Shots on Target108

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.0%Avg Possession42.7%
11,797Total Passes10,938
75.6%Pass Accuracy74.8%

shieldDefending

553Tackles490
280Interceptions284
102Saves100
48.6%Duels Won48.4%

gavelDiscipline

357Fouls405
77Yellow Cards76
0Red Cards3
49Offsides49

analyticsOther

146Corners156
212Successful Dribbles175
6Errors Leading to Goal1
6.81Avg Rating6.76

Statistical Comparison

HullMetricDerby
50
Goals
44
39
Assists
30
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.3
Average Age
26.9
181.2
Average Height (cm)
182.1
0.8
Shots pg
0.6
46%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.1
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Hull

PosTeamPWDLPts
4Ipswich Town31159754
5Hull City321661054
6Wrexham FC331312851

For Derby

PosTeamPWDLPts
7Birmingham City3313101049
8Derby County331391148
9Watford331212948

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

38.9/ 90.9
Dangerous Attacks
40.4/ 88.1
38.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
11.4
Total Shots
9.6
46.0%
Possession
43.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.5
Goals Scored / Match
1.4
1.5
Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Hull Wins
0%
1
Draws
17%
5
Derby Wins
83%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketHullDerby
Over 1.5 Goals
77%27/35
83%29/35
Over 2.5 Goals
66%23/35
51%18/35
Both Teams to Score
60%21/35
71%25/35
* Based on last 35 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Hull

CH
Hull City
1 - 3
QPR
FA
Hull City
0 - 4
Chelsea
CH
Hull City
2 - 3
Bristol City
CH
Hull City
0 - 0
Watford
CH
Hull City
2 - 1
Swansea City
FA
Hull City
0 - 0
Blackburn Rovers

Home Games: Hull

CH
Hull City
1 - 3
QPR
FA
Hull City
0 - 4
Chelsea
CH
Hull City
2 - 3
Bristol City
CH
Hull City
0 - 0
Watford
CH
Hull City
2 - 1
Swansea City
FA
Hull City
0 - 0
Blackburn Rovers

Last 6: Derby

CH
Watford
2 - 0
Derby County
CH
Bristol City
0 - 5
Derby County
CH
Charlton Athletic
1 - 2
Derby County
CH
Preston North End
0 - 1
Derby County
CH
Leicester City
2 - 1
Derby County
CH
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Derby County

Away Games: Derby

CH
Watford
2 - 0
Derby County
CH
Bristol City
0 - 5
Derby County
CH
Charlton Athletic
1 - 2
Derby County
CH
Preston North End
0 - 1
Derby County
CH
Leicester City
2 - 1
Derby County
CH
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Derby County

history Recent Form

HullHull
1.7 GPG
L
L
D
W
W
DerbyDerby
1.4 GPG
L
W
L
W
D

group Head to Head

PL4 Nov 2025
Derby County
2-1
Hull City
PL26 Apr 2025
Hull City
0-1
Derby County
PL26 Oct 2024
Derby County
1-1
Hull City
PL8 Feb 2022
Derby County
3-1
Hull City
PL18 Aug 2021
Hull City
0-1
Derby County
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
73%
16 / 22 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
9 / 22 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
4 / 22 matches
Both Teams to Score
27%
6 / 22 matches
Hull CS
27%
Clean Sheets
Derby CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Nov 2025
Derby County
2 - 1
Hull City
26 Apr 2025
Hull City
0 - 1
Derby County
26 Oct 2024
Derby County
1 - 1
Hull City
8 Feb 2022
Derby County
3 - 1
Hull City
18 Aug 2021
Hull City
0 - 1
Derby County
18 Jan 2020
Derby County
1 - 0
Hull City
26 Oct 2019
Hull City
2 - 0
Derby County
9 Feb 2019
Derby County
2 - 0
Hull City
1 Sept 2018
Hull City
1 - 2
Derby County
28 Aug 2018
Hull City
0 - 4
Derby County
26 Dec 2017
Hull City
0 - 0
Derby County
8 Sept 2017
Derby County
5 - 0
Hull City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Hull
1.69
Form (Overall)
Derby
1.45

Hull is +17% better in terms of Points Per Game

Hull City
1 - 3
Queens Park Rangers
Hull City
2 - 3
Bristol City
Hull City
0 - 0
Watford
Blackburn Rovers
0 - 1
Hull City
Hull City
2 - 1
Swansea City
Watford
2 - 0
Derby County
Derby County
2 - 0
Swansea City
Derby County
1 - 2
Ipswich Town
Bristol City
0 - 5
Derby County
Derby County
1 - 1
West Bromwich Albion

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