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Hull vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Tips | Championship - Play Offs | FootballTips.app

Hull

Hull

Home
Full Time
1 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 23 May
Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Away
HullTimelineMiddlesbrough
2nd Half
Gelhardt J.Out: Millar L.
sync_alt
63'
Hackney H.Out: Strelec D.
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70'
Hansen S.Out: McGree R.
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76'
Hirakawa Y.Out: Giles R.
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76'
Drameh C.Out: Belloumi M.
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77'
McBurnie O. ()
sports_soccer
90+5'
McBurnie O.
90+6'
Ibeh C.Out: Targett M.
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90+7'
Sarmiento J.Out: Browne A.
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90+7'
McNair P.Out: Coyle L.
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90+8'
Lundstram J.Out: Slater R.
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90+8'

Top stats

0.88Expected goals (xG)0.87
32%Ball possession68%
9Total shots13
2Shots on target0
2Big chances2
1Corner kicks3
71% (210/294)Passes87% (526/608)
1Yellow cards0

Shots

0.88Expected goals (xG)0.87
1.02xG on target (xGOT)0.00
9Total shots13
2Shots on target0
6Shots off target8
1Blocked shots5
6Shots inside the box8
3Shots outside the box5
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances2
1Corner kicks3
11Touches in opposition box28
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides3
2Free kicks6

Passes

71% (210/294)Passes87% (526/608)
30% (19/63)Long passes33% (14/43)
57% (56/98)Passes in final third74% (137/184)
36% (4/11)Crosses19% (5/27)
0.45Expected assists (xA)1.42
14Throw ins29

Defense

6Fouls2
72% (13/18)Tackles70% (7/10)
37Duels won40
34Clearances10
8Interceptions7
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal1

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves1
0.00xGOT faced1.02
0.00Goals prevented0.02
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
14.31
X3.47
21.92

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
88
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #5
Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.69 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.85 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.46 GPG vs Away 1.63 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

63%
15%
21%
Hull
Draw
Middlesbrough

Match Preview

Hull kicked on in the final 30 minutes of their second-leg clash with Millwall in the semi-finals as two late goals sent the Tigers to Wembley and broke the Lions' hearts. Since then, uncertainty surrounding Sunday's opposition has plagued Sergej Jakirovic's preparation, but it remains to be seen how that will influence Saturday's proceedings.

Kim Hellberg's Middlesbrough side have been granted a lifeline after the EFL decided to boot Southampton out of the play-offs. That outcome avenged a 2-1 aggregate defeat that was settled in extra-time at St. Mary's Stadium.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Hull

Starting 11
-Ivor Pandur
GK7.32
-Charlie Hughes
DC7.29
-John Egan
DC7.32
-Semi Ajayi
DC6.85
-Ryan Giles
DML7.12
-Amir Hadziahmetovic
MC
-Regan Slater
MC7.38
-Lewie Coyle
DMR6.54
-Liam Millar
AMC6.39
-Mohamed Belloumi
AMC7.70
-Oliver McBurnie
FW7.01

Middlesbrough

Starting 11
-Sol Brynn
GK6.63
-Adilson Malanda
DC7.24
-Dael Fry
DC7.36
-Luke Ayling
DC6.62
-Matt Targett
DML6.99
-Hayden Hackney
MC
-Aidan Morris
MC7.22
-Callum Brittain
DMR7.69
-Riley McGree
AMC7.08
-Morgan Whittaker
AMC6.41
-David Strelec
FW6.30
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 48 / 21 matches
HullvsMiddlesbrough

radarTeam Profile

Hull
Middlesbrough
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
42Attack31
shield
54Defense18
swap_horiz
31Possession24
gps_fixed
78Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
40Creativity26
gavel
43Discipline49

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

72Goals Scored37
66Goals Conceded29
13Clean Sheets3
4Penalty Goals0

gavelDiscipline

120Yellow Cards50
2Red Cards1

Statistical Comparison

HullMetricMiddlesbrough
2
Goals
1
2
Assists
1
6.8
Average Ratings
6.7
27.5
Average Age
26.6
181.4
Average Height (cm)
182.3
1.2
Shots pg
1.6
49%
Aerial Duel Success
55%
1.7
Dribbles pg
1
0.9
Tackles pg
1.7

history Recent Form

HullHull
1.6 GPG
W
D
W
L
D
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
1.7 GPG
L
D
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL29 Dec 2025
Middlesbrough
0-1
Hull City
PL5 Dec 2025
Hull City
1-4
Middlesbrough
PL1 Jan 2025
Hull City
0-1
Middlesbrough
PL30 Nov 2024
Middlesbrough
3-1
Hull City
PL10 Apr 2024
Hull City
2-2
Middlesbrough
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
72%
21 / 29 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
17 / 29 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
12 / 29 matches
Both Teams to Score
59%
17 / 29 matches
Hull CS
21%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough CS
21%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Dec 2025
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Hull City
5 Dec 2025
Hull City
1 - 4
Middlesbrough
1 Jan 2025
Hull City
0 - 1
Middlesbrough
30 Nov 2024
Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Hull City
10 Apr 2024
Hull City
2 - 2
Middlesbrough
13 Dec 2023
Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Hull City
19 Apr 2023
Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Hull City
1 Nov 2022
Hull City
1 - 3
Middlesbrough
9 Apr 2022
Middlesbrough
0 - 1
Hull City
2 Oct 2021
Hull City
2 - 0
Middlesbrough
2 Jul 2020
Hull City
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
24 Nov 2019
Middlesbrough
2 - 2
Hull City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Hull
1.60
Form (Overall)
Middlesbrough
1.69

Middlesbrough is +6% better in terms of Points Per Game

Millwall
0 - 2
Hull City
Hull City
0 - 0
Millwall
Hull City
2 - 1
Norwich City
Charlton Athletic
2 - 1
Hull City
Leicester City
2 - 2
Hull City
Southampton
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Southampton
Wrexham
2 - 2
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
5 - 1
Watford
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday

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