Independiente vs Instituto Prediction & Tips | Liga Profesional - Clausura | FootballTips.app
Independiente
HomeFull Time
1 - 4
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 3 October
Instituto
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Model Confidence
12.53
X2.70
23.12
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.52 PPG vs Away 1.65 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.85 PPG vs Away 0.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.31 GPG vs Away 0.77 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.08 conc vs Away 1.00 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
50%
26%
24%
Independiente
Draw
Instituto
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.60 | 1.91 | — | +36.2% |
| Independiente Win | 2.25 | 1.99 | 2.43 | +13.0% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.82 | 3.29 | -20.2% |
| Instituto Win | 3.25 | 4.24 | 3.51 | -23.3% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.00 | 1.80 | — | +11.0% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Independiente
Starting 11
-Chimy Ávila
CF
7Santiago Gabriel Montiel
RW6.95
8Maximiliano Eduardo Meza
RW6.57
16Mateo Curci
CAM6.55
23Iván José Marcone
CDM6.87
-Josias Palais
13Juan Manuel Fedorco
CB6.46
22Facundo Zavala
LB6.45
29Leonardo Godoy
RB6.68
-Juan Miguel Arrayago
33Rodrigo Francisco Jesús Rey
GK6.78
Substitutes
30Iván Andrés Morales Bravo
CF6.59
19Matías Ezequiel Abaldo Menyou
LW6.69
34Felipe Tempone
CF2.73
10Luciano Javier Cabral
CAM5.12
8Giovanni Lautaro Millán
CAM6.81
-Tomás Parmo
CAM
32Rubén David Martínez
CDM6.49
-Franco Calderón
CB
4Santiago Arias
RB6.71
36Sebastián Valdez
CB6.37
-Ramiro Martino
-Santiago Andrés Mele Castanero
GK
Instituto
Starting 11
17Matías Tissera
CF6.66
10Alex Nahuel Luna
CAM7.07
15Matías Gallardo
CAM6.36
21Jeremías Ezequiel Lázaro
CAM6.84
55Gustavo Abregú
CDM6.82
3Diego Sosa
LB7.01
6Fernando Rubén Alarcón
CB6.99
26Leonel Mosevich
CB6.82
30Jonathan Galván
CB6.77
44Giuliano Cerato
RB6.96
29Marcos Ledesma
GK6.86
Substitutes
7Nicolás Guerra
CF6.50
8Héctor Jonás Acevedo
LW5.75
9Facundo Suárez
CF6.80
11Matias Fonseca
CF5.39
-Lucas Sanseviero
RW
20Jhon Emerson Córdoba Mosquera
RW6.79
13Juan Ignacio Méndez
CDM6.21
2Hernán De La Fuente
RB3.20
22Agustín Nicolás Massaccesi
CB6.75
-Juan Andrés Meli
LB
32Agustín Antonio Bravo
CB6.37
-Emanuel Omar Sittaro Miranda
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
history Recent Form
IndependienteW
D
W
L
D
Institutogroup Head to Head
PL17 Mar 2026
2-1
PL30 Aug 2025
0-0
PL22 Feb 2025
2-0
PL19 Jul 2024
3-1
PL24 Sept 2023
0-0
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
4 / 6 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
3 / 6 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2 / 6 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
3 / 6 matches
Independiente CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Instituto CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
17 Mar 2026
Instituto
2 - 1
Independiente
30 Aug 2025
Instituto
0 - 0
Independiente
22 Feb 2025
Independiente
2 - 0
Instituto
19 Jul 2024
Instituto
3 - 1
Independiente
24 Sept 2023
Independiente
0 - 0
Instituto
5 Mar 2023
Independiente
2 - 2
Instituto
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.52
Form (Overall)
1.65
Instituto is +9% better in terms of Points Per Game
Unión Santa Fe
1 - 2
Independiente
Independiente
1 - 1
San Lorenzo
Central Córdoba SdE
0 - 1
Independiente
Independiente
0 - 3
Gimnasia Mendoza
Independiente
0 - 0
Independiente Rivadavia
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