Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Prediction & Tips | USL Championship

arrow_back Back/USL Championship/Indy Eleven vs Birmingham

Indy Eleven

Home

Full Time

2 - 2

HT: 1 - 1

Saturday 5 September

Birmingham

Away

Indy ElevenTimelineBirmingham

1st Half

Hafferty J.

sports_soccer

20'

Williams R.

32'

Pasher T. (Diarbian G.)

sports_soccer

40'

2nd Half

Mesanvi L.Out: O'Brien J.

sync_alt

52'

Williams R. (Vassell P.)

sports_soccer

66'

McCartney D.Out: Tregarthen S.

sync_alt

67'

Damus R.Out: Williams R.

sync_alt

67'

Ngoma S.Out: Pasher T.

sync_alt

67'

Sharp C.Out: Mitrano A.

sync_alt

76'

Sing D.Out: Kizza E.

sync_alt

76'

Rasheed M.Out: Craig P.

sync_alt

77'

Paterson AJOut: Diop H.

sync_alt

77'

Daley A.Out: Diarbian G.

sync_alt

85'

Cole K.

87'

Sing D.

sports_soccer

90+8'

Top stats

1.82Expected goals (xG)1.14

51%Ball possession49%

18Total shots8

9Shots on target4

2Big chances3

9Corner kicks3

83% (346/418)Passes88% (381/435)

0Yellow cards2

Shots

1.82Expected goals (xG)1.14

2.44xG on target (xGOT)1.97

18Total shots8

9Shots on target4

4Shots off target2

5Blocked shots2

12Shots inside the box5

6Shots outside the box3

1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances3

9Corner kicks3

39Touches in opposition box16

0Accurate through passes1

2Offsides0

8Free kicks14

Passes

83% (346/418)Passes88% (381/435)

55% (32/58)Long passes35% (15/43)

71% (129/182)Passes in final third78% (94/121)

19% (7/36)Crosses0% (0/7)

2.64Expected assists (xA)0.70

18Throw ins11

Defense

14Fouls8

88% (14/16)Tackles63% (5/8)

37Duels won41

12Clearances56

3Interceptions17

0Errors leading to shot1

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves7

1.97xGOT faced2.44

-0.03Goals prevented0.44

3Goal kicks10

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.70

X3.71

23.92

Recommended Bet

cancel

Away Win

Odds: 4.50Stake: Medium (7/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #18 vs Away #22

Season: Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 0.85 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 0.25 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.70 GPG vs Away 1.56 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

50%

22%

28%

Indy Eleven

Draw

Birmingham

payments

Value Comparison

Outcome	Market Odds	True Odds (AI)	Fair Odds	Value
Over 2.5 Goals	1.44	1.89	1.59	-23.6%
Under 2.5 Goals	2.45	2.13	2.70	+15.0%
Indy Eleven Win	1.50	2.00	1.69	-25.0%
Draw	4.20	4.51	4.73	-6.8%
Birmingham Legion Win	4.50	3.60	5.07	+25.1%
BTTS - Yes	2.50	1.80	2.67	+39.1%
BTTS - No	1.50	2.25	1.60	-33.5%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Indy Eleven welcome Birmingham Legion to Nordjyske Bank Arena for a USL Championship elimination phase clash on September 6, 2026.

Indy Eleven have shown strong home form recently, winning eight out of their last twelve matches at this ground.

Birmingham Legion have found it difficult on their travels, suffering defeats in five of their previous nine away fixtures.

Looking at recent encounters, Indy Eleven hold an advantage with five victories from their last six meetings against Birmingham Legion.

Prediction: Indy Eleven to win by 2-1.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 20 / 38 matches

Indy ElevenvsBirmingham

1.20Goals / Match1.47

1.20Conceded / Match1.29

3Clean Sheets9

4.65Shots on Target / Match4.47

40.1%Possession %53.6%

72.5%Pass Accuracy %85.3%

radarTeam Profile

Indy Eleven

Birmingham

sports_soccer

41Attack45

shield

36Defense42

swap_horiz

17Possession59

gps_fixed

55Efficiency64

auto_fix_high

49Creativity38

gavel

51Discipline64

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

24Goals Scored56

24Goals Conceded49

3Clean Sheets9

47Big Chances87

32Big Chances Missed61

1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

265Total Shots483

93Shots on Target170

swap_horizPassing & Possession

40.1%Avg Possession53.6%

6,142Total Passes17,130

72.5%Pass Accuracy85.3%

shieldDefending

250Tackles587

149Interceptions238

63Saves114

52.2%Duels Won49.6%

gavelDiscipline

258Fouls379

36Yellow Cards58

0Red Cards1

38Offsides42

analyticsOther

96Corners199

88Successful Dribbles238

0Errors Leading to Goal14

6.83Avg Rating6.81

League Standings Context

For Indy Eleven

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
7	Rhode Island	20	8	4	8	28
8	Indy Eleven	20	8	4	8	28
9	Miami FC II	22	5	7	10	22

For Birmingham

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
10	Loudoun United	22	3	11	8	20
11	Birmingham Legion	20	3	8	9	17
12	Brooklyn FC	20	4	4	12	16

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

57.1/ 90.3

Dangerous Attacks

50.1/ 93.0

36.0%

Shots on Target

31.0%

13.4

Total Shots

11.6

39.0%

Possession

49.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.3

Goals Scored / Match

1.2

Goals Conceded / Match

1.5

Head-to-Head Summary

Indy Eleven Wins

83%

Draws

17%

Birmingham Wins

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Indy Eleven	Birmingham
Over 1.5 Goals	73%16/22	68%15/22
Over 2.5 Goals	50%11/22	45%10/22
Both Teams to Score	55%12/22	64%14/22

* Based on last 22 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Indy Eleven

Home Games: Indy Eleven

Last 6: Birmingham

Away Games: Birmingham

history Recent Form

Indy Eleven

2.3 GPG

Birmingham

0.7 GPG

group Head to Head

PL19 Apr 2026

2-2

PL21 Sept 2025

2-1

PL29 Jun 2025

1-1

PL5 Jun 2025

0-1

PL20 Oct 2024

3-2

63%

Over 2.5 Goals

56%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

69%

11 / 16 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

63%

10 / 16 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

38%

6 / 16 matches

Both Teams to Score

56%

9 / 16 matches

Indy Eleven CS

31%

Clean Sheets

Birmingham CS

13%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

19 Apr 2026

Birmingham Legion

2 - 2

Indy Eleven

21 Sept 2025

Indy Eleven

2 - 1

Birmingham Legion

29 Jun 2025

Indy Eleven

1 - 1

Birmingham Legion

5 Jun 2025

Birmingham Legion

0 - 1

Indy Eleven

20 Oct 2024

Indy Eleven

3 - 2

Birmingham Legion

10 Jun 2024

Birmingham Legion

0 - 1

Indy Eleven

10 Aug 2023

Indy Eleven

4 - 0

Birmingham Legion

18 Jun 2023

Birmingham Legion

2 - 1

Indy Eleven

13 Oct 2022

Birmingham Legion

3 - 1

Indy Eleven

11 Sept 2022

Indy Eleven

4 - 3

Birmingham Legion

10 Oct 2021

Birmingham Legion

3 - 1

Indy Eleven

25 Jul 2021

Indy Eleven

1 - 2

Birmingham Legion

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

2.30

Form (Overall)

0.67

Indy Eleven is +243% better in terms of Points Per Game

Indy Eleven

2 - 1

Louisville City

Indy Eleven

1 - 1

Hartford Athletic

Indy Eleven

0 - 1

Loudoun United

Indy Eleven

2 - 0

Charleston Battery

Indy Eleven

2 - 0

Forward Madison

Hartford Athletic

3 - 2

Birmingham Legion

Colorado Springs

3 - 2

Birmingham Legion

Louisville City

2 - 1

Birmingham Legion

Miami FC II

1 - 1

Birmingham Legion

Oakland Roots

1 - 1

Birmingham Legion

Weekly Newsletter

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.

Free Weekly Tips

Value Opportunities

Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Prediction & Tips | USL Championship | FootballTips.app

Indy Eleven

Birmingham

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Value Comparison

Match Preview

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

League Standings Context

For Indy Eleven

For Birmingham

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

Team Performance (Avg)

Head-to-Head Summary

Recent Form Stats

Past Matches

Last 6: Indy Eleven

Home Games: Indy Eleven

Last 6: Birmingham

Away Games: Birmingham

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

Subscribe for Betting Tips