Inter vs Napoli Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app
Inter
HomeFull Time
3 - 2
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Napoli
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.65
X3.87
25.52
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 1.63Stake: Medium (6/10)
61
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #10
Season: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.90 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 1.36 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 2.50 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
60%
22%
17%
Inter
Draw
Napoli
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.00 | 1.98 | — | +1.2% |
| Inter Milan Win | 1.63 | 1.66 | 1.73 | -1.9% |
| Draw | 3.82 | 4.47 | 4.05 | -14.6% |
| Napoli Win | 5.40 | 5.74 | 5.73 | -5.9% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.85 | 1.83 | — | +1.0% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Inter vs. Napoli is one of the most highly anticipated matches not just of Serie A's matchday three, but of the entire season.
After all, Saturday at San Siro sees last season's champions and runners-up go head-to-head.
It is only natural, then, to expect an action-packed encounter. There will be plenty of star players on the pitch capable of turning the game in an instant for either side, even if Inter appear to hold a slight edge as favorites.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Inter
Starting 11
-Josep Martínez
GK6.64
-Yann Bisseck
DC7.03
-Manuel Akanji
DC7.20
-Alessandro Bastoni
DC7.04
-Federico Dimarco
DML7.42
-Piotr Zielinski
MC6.82
-Hakan Çalhanoglu
MC7.71
-Nicolò Barella
MC7.75
-Andy Diouf
DMR7.57
-Francesco Pio Esposito
FW7.54
-Lautaro Martínez
FW6.72
Napoli
Starting 11
-Alex Meret
GK6.62
-Giovanni Di Lorenzo
DL6.66
-Amir Rrahmani
DC7.21
-Rafa Marín
DC6.68
-Leonardo Spinazzola
DR6.22
-Frank Anguissa
MC6.52
-Stanislav Lobotka
MC6.50
-Kevin De Bruyne
MC7.32
-Matteo Politano
FWL6.50
-Rasmus Højlund
FW6.53
-Alisson Santos
FWR6.06
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 38 matchesIntervsNapoli
2.34Goals / Match1.53
0.92Conceded / Match0.95
18Clean Sheets15
6.03Shots on Target / Match4.71
59.8%Possession %58.9%
87.7%Pass Accuracy %87.2%
radarTeam Profile
Inter
Napoli
sports_soccer
91Attack45
shield
60Defense48
swap_horiz
68Possession70
gps_fixed
75Efficiency70
auto_fix_high
67Creativity34
gavel
52Discipline61
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
89Goals Scored58
35Goals Conceded36
18Clean Sheets15
147Big Chances76
91Big Chances Missed42
5Penalty Goals4
gps_fixedShooting
650Total Shots502
229Shots on Target179
swap_horizPassing & Possession
59.8%Avg Possession58.9%
20,804Total Passes21,153
87.7%Pass Accuracy87.2%
shieldDefending
579Tackles462
243Interceptions233
76Saves77
52.1%Duels Won50.0%
gavelDiscipline
499Fouls425
64Yellow Cards48
0Red Cards2
61Offsides56
analyticsOther
241Corners208
203Successful Dribbles241
2Errors Leading to Goal4
6.98Avg Rating6.86
Statistical Comparison
InterMetricNapoli
5
Goals
3
4
Assists
3
6.9
Average Ratings
6.6
27.7
Average Age
29.6
184
Average Height (cm)
183.1
1.7
Shots pg
1
66%
Aerial Duel Success
60%
1.1
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.1
Tackles pg
1.9
history Recent Form
InterW
W
NapoliL
W
group Head to Head
PL11 Jan 2026
2-2
PL25 Oct 2025
3-1
PL1 Mar 2025
1-1
PL10 Nov 2024
1-1
PL17 Mar 2024
1-1
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
29 / 43 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
18 / 43 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
12 / 43 matches
Both Teams to Score
51%
22 / 43 matches
Inter CS
30%
Clean Sheets
Napoli CS
30%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
11 Jan 2026
Inter Milan
2 - 2
Napoli
25 Oct 2025
Napoli
3 - 1
Inter Milan
1 Mar 2025
Napoli
1 - 1
Inter Milan
10 Nov 2024
Inter Milan
1 - 1
Napoli
17 Mar 2024
Inter Milan
1 - 1
Napoli
22 Jan 2024
Napoli
0 - 1
Inter Milan
3 Dec 2023
Napoli
0 - 3
Inter Milan
21 May 2023
Napoli
3 - 1
Inter Milan
4 Jan 2023
Inter Milan
1 - 0
Napoli
12 Feb 2022
Napoli
1 - 1
Inter Milan
21 Nov 2021
Inter Milan
3 - 2
Napoli
18 Apr 2021
Napoli
1 - 1
Inter Milan
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.20
Form (Overall)
1.90
Inter is +16% better in terms of Points Per Game
Cagliari
0 - 1
Inter Milan
Inter Milan
4 - 1
Monza
Napoli
1 - 2
Como
Genoa
0 - 2
Napoli
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