Italy vs Belgium Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League A | FootballTips.app

Italy
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Belgium
AwayRecommended Bet
Key Factors
donut_small Win Probabilities
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.80 | 1.66 | 1.89 | +8.6% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.03 | 2.52 | 2.13 | -19.5% |
| Italy Win | 2.55 | 3.27 | 2.60 | -22.1% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 4.48 | 3.47 | -24.0% |
| Belgium Win | 3.00 | 2.80 | 3.06 | +7.0% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.62 | 1.70 | 1.75 | -4.7% |
| BTTS - No | 2.17 | 2.43 | 2.34 | -10.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Italy head into the Nations League fresh from the disappointment of missing the 2026 World Cup following a penalty shootout defeat to Bosnia and Herzegovina in qualifying. Since then, the Azzurri have sealed narrow 1-0 wins against Luxembourg and Greece.
Belgium topped their group at the World Cup earlier this summer and eventually reached the quarter-finals after beating Senegal and the USA, only to lose to eventual champions Spain 2-1. Mark van Bommel's side have lost just one of their last 19 international matches.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Italy
Starting 11
Belgium
Starting 11
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 8 / 6 matchesradarTeam Profile
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
history Recent Form
group Head to Head
Head-to-Head Detailed
Recent Matches
Current Form Comparison
Italy is +19% better in terms of Points Per Game
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