Italy vs Northern Ireland Prediction & Tips | World Cup - Qualification - Promotion | FootballTips.app

Italy

Italy

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Thursday 26 March
Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland

Away
ItalyTimelineNorthern Ireland
2nd Half
Tonali S. ()
sports_soccer
56'
Bastoni A.
58'
Gatti F.Out: Bastoni A.
sync_alt
63'
Esposito F.Out: Retegui M.
sync_alt
64'
Smyth P.Out: Devlin T.
sync_alt
68'
Reid J.Out: Spencer B.
sync_alt
79'
Magennis J.Out: Donley J.
sync_alt
79'
Kean M. (Tonali S.)
sports_soccer
80'
Pisilli N.Out: Tonali S.
sync_alt
83'
Palestra M.Out: Politano M.
sync_alt
83'
Raspadori G.Out: Kean M.
sync_alt
88'

Top stats

1.40Expected goals (xG)0.41
63%Ball possession37%
19Total shots8
8Shots on target1
2Big chances0
12Corner kicks3
84% (423/503)Passes76% (236/310)
1Yellow cards0

Shots

1.40Expected goals (xG)0.41
1.65xG on target (xGOT)0.11
19Total shots8
8Shots on target1
6Shots off target4
5Blocked shots3
14Shots inside the box4
5Shots outside the box4
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances0
12Corner kicks3
37Touches in opposition box13
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
8Free kicks11

Passes

84% (423/503)Passes76% (236/310)
53% (26/49)Long passes42% (22/52)
70% (93/133)Passes in final third55% (56/101)
32% (11/34)Crosses20% (2/10)
1.07Expected assists (xA)0.37
24Throw ins16

Defense

11Fouls8
90% (9/10)Tackles44% (7/16)
37Duels won48
24Clearances38
8Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves5
0.11xGOT faced1.65
0.11Goals prevented-0.35
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.25
X5.70
213.30

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Medium (7/10)
67
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 1.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.40 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.20 conc vs Away 2.40 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

88%
6%
5%
Italy
Draw
Northern Ireland

Match Preview

For the third consecutive World Cup cycle, Italy find themselves navigating the perilous terrain of the play-offs. The memory of past failures still lingers, but under Gennaro Gattuso, there is a renewed sense of intensity and attacking conviction.

Northern Ireland arrive as clear underdogs, yet not without purpose. Michael O’Neill has built a side rooted in discipline and defensive organisation, one that sees this tie less as a mismatch and more as an opportunity.

The contrast in styles is stark. Italy dominate possession and territory, while Northern Ireland compress space and look to survive, frustrate, and counter.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Italy

Starting 11
-Gianluigi Donnarumma
GK
-Riccardo Calafiori
DL
-Alessandro Bastoni
DC
-Gianluca Mancini
DC
-Andrea Cambiaso
DR
-Nicolò Barella
DMC
-Sandro Tonali
DMC
-Federico Dimarco
AML
-Moise Kean
AMC
-Matteo Politano
AMR
-Mateo Retegui
FW

Northern Ireland

Starting 11
-Bailey Peacock-Farrell
GK
-Brodie Spencer
DL
-Ciaron Brown
DC
-Eoin Toal
DC
-Paddy McNair
DC
-Trai Hume
DR
-Justin Devenny
ML
-Ethan Galbraith
MC
-Shea Charles
MC
-Isaac Price
MR
-Dion Charles
FW
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 6 matches
ItalyvsNorthern Ireland

radarTeam Profile

Italy
Northern Ireland
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
38Attack6
shield
39Defense5
swap_horiz
24Possession24
gps_fixed
50Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
0Creativity0
gavel
81Discipline81

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

17Goals Scored5
5Goals Conceded13
2Clean Sheets0
3Penalty Goals0

history Recent Form

ItalyItaly
1.9 GPG
L
W
W
W
W
Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
1.3 GPG
W
L
L
W
L

group Head to Head

PL15 Nov 2021
Northern Ireland
0-0
Italy
PL25 Mar 2021
Italy
2-0
Northern Ireland
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
0%
0 / 2 matches
Italy CS
100%
Clean Sheets
Northern Ireland CS
50%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

15 Nov 2021
Northern Ireland
0 - 0
Italy
25 Mar 2021
Italy
2 - 0
Northern Ireland

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Italy
1.90
Form (Overall)
Northern Ireland
1.30

Italy is +46% better in terms of Points Per Game

Italy
1 - 4
Norway
Moldova
0 - 2
Italy
Italy
3 - 0
Israel
Estonia
1 - 3
Italy
Israel
4 - 5
Italy
Northern Ireland
1 - 0
Luxembourg
Slovakia
1 - 0
Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
0 - 1
Germany
Northern Ireland
2 - 0
Slovakia
Germany
3 - 1
Northern Ireland

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