Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction & Tips | Europa League - League phase | FootballTips.app

Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 2 - 1
Thursday 15 October
Ar

Ararat-Armenia

Away
JagielloniaTimelineArarat-Armenia
1st Half
Banjaqui Z. (Carlier M.)
sports_soccer
11'
Jozwiak K.
sports_soccer
13'
Shaghoyan Z.Out: Banjaqui Z.
sync_alt
17'
Romanczuk T.
20'
Wilson Valdez B. R.
30'
Conceicao R.Assist: Klynge A.
sports_soccer
38'
2nd Half
Tulipa
50'
Sow O. (Imaz J.)
sports_soccer
51'
Tera A.
57'
Agbonifo J.Out: Sow O.
sync_alt
66'
BennyOut: Tera A.
sync_alt
68'
Kozlowski E.Out: Imaz J.
sync_alt
68'
Stojinovic D.Out: Jozwiak K.
sync_alt
69'
Muradyan K.Out: Luis Felipe
sync_alt
69'
Franca CarlosOut: Serobyan A.
sync_alt
76'
Eloyan A.Out: Sandro Lima
sync_alt
76'
Cirkovic A.Out: Szmyt K.
sync_alt
79'
Lozano S.Out: Romanczuk T.
sync_alt
79'
Stojinovic D.
83'
Kozlowski E.
84'
No statistics available for this match
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.40
X4.88
26.80

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
47
Best near-miss

Key Factors

⚠️ Using limited statistical data
SofaScore scoring form: Home 1.44 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG
SofaScore goals: Home 1.44 GPG vs Away 2.00 GPG
SofaScore defense: Home 1.78 conc vs Away 1.00 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

27%
23%
50%
Jagiellonia
Draw
Ararat-Armenia
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.521.81-15.8%
Home Win1.403.77-62.8%
Draw4.884.29+13.9%
Away Win6.805.95+14.2%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Jagiellonia

Starting 11
-Slawomir Abramowicz
GK6.62
-Guilherme Montóia
DL6.64
-Apostolos Konstantopoulos
DC6.80
-Bernardo Vital
DC6.78
-Norbert Wojtuszek
DR6.76
-Jesús Imaz
MC6.00
-Taras Romanczuk
MC6.82
-Anders Klynge
MC6.77
-Kajetan Szmyt
FWL7.61
-Nik Prelec
FW7.74
-Rodrigo Conceição
FWR6.40

Ararat-Armenia

Starting 11
-João Bravim
GK5.96
-Edgar Grigoryan
DL5.89
-Alexandros Malis
DC6.33
-Bruno Wilson
DC7.06
-Junior Julio
DR6.66
-Benny
MC6.02
-Karen Muradyan
MC5.78
-Hugo Oliveira
MC6.41
-Zidane Banjaqui
FWL6.19
-Sandro Lima
FW7.09
-Artur Serobyan
FWR7.69
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Jagiellonia Białystok and FC Ararat-Armenia meet at the Chorten Arena with both sides still searching for their first points of the Europa League league phase. Jagiellonia opened with a 2-1 defeat away to Olympiacos, while Ararat-Armenia were beaten 4-1 at home by Sparta Prague.

The Polish side arrive in poor form, having lost four consecutive matches in all competitions. Their latest setback was a 3-1 home defeat to Górnik Zabrze, where they controlled 56% possession but were repeatedly exposed in transition after the interval.

Jagiellonia’s European opener told a similar story. They managed only four shots against Olympiacos, the fewest of any team on matchday one, while facing 26 at the other end. Kajetan Szmyt did at least get on the scoresheet and remains one of their main attacking outlets.

Ararat-Armenia have been more competitive recently, drawing 1-1 with Alashkert in their latest domestic outing and losing only two of their last six matches in all competitions. Their attacking threat has also been more consistent, with goals in each of their last 10 games.

They were still heavily tested on matchday one, however, facing 23 shots in the defeat to Sparta Prague. Artur Serobyan stood out despite the result, leading the team for chances created, dribbles, duels won and tackles.

Neither side has shown much defensive security, which should make this a more open contest than their positions suggest. Jagiellonia’s home advantage gives them a slight edge, but Ararat-Armenia’s better recent form means this is far from straightforward.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 matches
JagielloniavsArarat-Armenia
1.44Goals / Match2.00
1.78Conceded / Match1.00
1Clean Sheets3
57.1%Possession %62.2%
83.7%Pass Accuracy %87.4%

radarTeam Profile

Jagiellonia
Ararat-Armenia
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
39Attack56
shield
33Defense55
swap_horiz
62Possession82
gps_fixed
63Efficiency44
auto_fix_high
40Creativity40
gavel
51Discipline45

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

13Goals Scored18
16Goals Conceded9
1Clean Sheets3
3Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

116Total Shots154

swap_horizPassing & Possession

57.1%Avg Possession62.2%
4,291Total Passes4,366
83.7%Pass Accuracy87.4%

shieldDefending

69Interceptions257
29Saves17
50.4%Duels Won50.6%

gavelDiscipline

124Fouls103
14Yellow Cards23
17Offsides14

analyticsOther

33Corners44
60Successful Dribbles101

Statistical Comparison

JagielloniaMetricArarat-Armenia
1
Goals
1
1
Assists
1
6.6
Average Ratings
6.3
26.4
Average Age
28.6
182.2
Average Height (cm)
184
1
Shots pg
1.3
52%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
1.5
Dribbles pg
1.4
2
Tackles pg
2

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