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Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk Prediction & Tips | Super Lig | FootballTips.app

Kasimpasa

Kasimpasa

Home
Full Time
3 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Monday 16 February
Karagumruk

Karagumruk

Away
KasimpasaTimelineKaragumruk
1st Half
Demirbay K. (Ben Ouanes M.)
sports_soccer
19'
Belozoglu E.
30'
Winck C.
34'
Kahveci I. C.
45+1'
2nd Half
Kranevitter M.
60'
Tosun C. (Kahveci I. C.)
sports_soccer
62'
Cukur T.Out: Serginho
sync_alt
66'
Verde D.Out: Babicka S.
sync_alt
67'
Elmaz B.Out: Kranevitter M.
sync_alt
67'
Kahveci I. C.Assist: Benedyczak A.
sports_soccer
71'
Rodrigo Becao
71'
CafuOut: Demirbay K.
sync_alt
76'
Diabate F.Out: Tosun C.
sync_alt
76'
Gueye P.Out: Kahveci I. C.
sync_alt
76'
Ahmed T.Out: Kalayci B.
sync_alt
79'
Mladenovic F. (Larsson S.)
sports_soccer
80'
Larsson S.
81'
Allevinah J.Out: Benedyczak A.
sync_alt
87'
Gueye P.
89'
Ahmed T. (Verde D.)
sports_soccer
90+2'
Tosun C.
90+5'

Top stats

1.64Expected goals (xG)1.21
43%Ball possession57%
12Total shots11
6Shots on target4
6Big chances2
2Corner kicks3
79% (274/347)Passes83% (384/462)
5Yellow cards2

Shots

1.64Expected goals (xG)1.21
2.35xG on target (xGOT)1.07
12Total shots11
6Shots on target4
5Shots off target3
1Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box8
5Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

6Big chances2
2Corner kicks3
13Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides3
8Free kicks20

Passes

79% (274/347)Passes83% (384/462)
46% (29/63)Long passes51% (21/41)
60% (50/83)Passes in final third71% (98/139)
31% (4/13)Crosses21% (3/14)
0.71Expected assists (xA)0.84
13Throw ins18

Defense

20Fouls8
35% (8/23)Tackles78% (7/9)
52Duels won50
28Clearances17
9Interceptions3
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves2
1.07xGOT faced2.35
-0.93Goals prevented-0.65
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Confidence
11.92
X3.20
24.00

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Home Win
Stake: Low (3/10)
30
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #18
Season: Home 0.76 PPG vs Away 0.57 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.90 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.60 GPG vs Away 0.80 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

44%
33%
23%
Kasimpasa
Draw
Karagumruk

Match Preview

Kasımpasa SK and Fatih Karagümrük are set to battle it out in a Süper Lig encounter at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu on February 16, 2026.

Positioned 16th with 16 points, Kasımpasa SK will face 18th-placed Fatih Karagümrük, who have accumulated 12 points in the league standings.

Kasımpasa SK has struggled at home with 5 losses in 10 matches, while Fatih Karagümrük has faced significant challenges throughout the season, suffering 16 losses in 25 games.

The District derby between these two teams is anticipated to be a hard-fought battle with both sides eager to secure points.

With differing forms and the intensity of a derby matchup looming, the clash at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu promises to be an intriguing affair.

Algorithm Prediction: Kasımpasa SK to win by 2-1.

League Standings Context

For Kasimpasa

PosTeamPWDLPts
16Kayserispor222101016
17Kasımpasa SK21371116
18Fatih Karagümrük21331512

For Karagumruk

PosTeamPWDLPts
17Kasımpasa SK21371116
18Fatih Karagümrük21331512

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

40.4/ 86.3
Dangerous Attacks
39.2/ 87.6
26.0%
Shots on Target
31.0%
10.4
Total Shots
10.3
46.0%
Possession
48.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

0.8
Goals Scored / Match
1.0
1.4
Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

Head-to-Head Summary

2
Kasimpasa Wins
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Karagumruk Wins
33%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketKasimpasaKaragumruk
Over 1.5 Goals
68%15/22
95%21/22
Over 2.5 Goals
45%10/22
59%13/22
Both Teams to Score
55%12/22
59%13/22
* Based on last 22 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Kasimpasa

Tr1
Gaziantep
2 - 1
Kasımpasa SK
Tr1
Kasımpasa SK
0 - 1
Samsunspor
Tr1
Trabzonspor
2 - 1
Kasımpasa SK
Tr1
Kasımpasa SK
0 - 0
Antalyaspor
Tr1
Galatasaray
3 - 0
Kasımpasa SK
Tr1
Kasımpasa SK
0 - 0
Genclerbirligi

Home Games: Kasimpasa

Tr1
Kasımpasa SK
0 - 1
Samsunspor
Tr1
Kasımpasa SK
0 - 0
Antalyaspor
Tr1
Kasımpasa SK
0 - 0
Genclerbirligi
Tr1
Kasımpasa SK
1 - 3
Basaksehir
Tr1
Kasımpasa SK
0 - 2
Göztepe Izmir
Tr1
Kasımpasa SK
1 - 1
Besiktas

Last 6: Karagumruk

Tr1
Fatih Karagümrük
1 - 0
Antalyaspor
TrC
Fatih Karagümrük
1 - 4
Basaksehir
Tr1
Göztepe Izmir
2 - 1
Fatih Karagümrük
Tr1
Fatih Karagümrük
1 - 3
Galatasaray
Tr1
Basaksehir
2 - 1
Fatih Karagümrük
TrC
Alanyaspor
2 - 2
Fatih Karagümrük

Away Games: Karagumruk

Tr1
Göztepe Izmir
2 - 1
Fatih Karagümrük
Tr1
Basaksehir
2 - 1
Fatih Karagümrük
TrC
Alanyaspor
2 - 2
Fatih Karagümrük
Tr1
Alanyaspor
2 - 0
Fatih Karagümrük
Tr1
Genclerbirligi
3 - 0
Fatih Karagümrük
TrC
Erokspor
2 - 5
Fatih Karagümrük

history Recent Form

KasimpasaKasimpasa
0.8 GPG
L
W
L
D
L
KaragumrukKaragumruk
0.6 GPG
W
L
L
L
L

group Head to Head

PL13 Sept 2025
Fatih Karagümrük
0-1
Kasımpaşa
PL16 Feb 2024
Kasımpaşa
1-1
Fatih Karagümrük
PL1 Oct 2023
Fatih Karagümrük
2-3
Kasımpaşa
PL6 Jun 2023
Fatih Karagümrük
3-0
Kasımpaşa
PL15 Jan 2023
Kasımpaşa
2-2
Fatih Karagümrük
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
89%
8 / 9 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
6 / 9 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
5 / 9 matches
Both Teams to Score
78%
7 / 9 matches
Kasimpasa CS
11%
Clean Sheets
Karagumruk CS
11%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

13 Sept 2025
Fatih Karagümrük
0 - 1
Kasımpaşa
16 Feb 2024
Kasımpaşa
1 - 1
Fatih Karagümrük
1 Oct 2023
Fatih Karagümrük
2 - 3
Kasımpaşa
6 Jun 2023
Fatih Karagümrük
3 - 0
Kasımpaşa
15 Jan 2023
Kasımpaşa
2 - 2
Fatih Karagümrük
9 Apr 2022
Fatih Karagümrük
3 - 2
Kasımpaşa
21 Nov 2021
Kasımpaşa
1 - 3
Fatih Karagümrük
20 Feb 2021
Kasımpaşa
3 - 2
Fatih Karagümrük
18 Oct 2020
Fatih Karagümrük
1 - 1
Kasımpaşa

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Kasimpasa
0.76
Form (Overall)
Karagumruk
0.57

Kasimpasa is +33% better in terms of Points Per Game

Gaziantep FK
2 - 1
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
0 - 1
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
2 - 1
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
0 - 0
Antalyaspor
Galatasaray
3 - 0
Kasımpaşa
Fatih Karagümrük
1 - 0
Antalyaspor
Göztepe
2 - 1
Fatih Karagümrük
Fatih Karagümrük
1 - 3
Galatasaray
İstanbul Başakşehir
2 - 1
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
2 - 0
Fatih Karagümrük

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