Kilmarnock vs Celtic Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Home
Full Time
2 - 3
HT: 2 - 0
Sunday 15 February
Celtic

Celtic

Away
KilmarnockTimelineCeltic
1st Half
John-Jules T. (Hugill J.)
sports_soccer
21'
Hugill J. (John-Jules T.)
sports_soccer
28'
2nd Half
Oxlade-Chamberlain A.Out: Hatate R.
sync_alt
46'
Tounekti S.Out: Yang Hyun-Jun
sync_alt
46'
Cvancara T.Out: Adamu J.
sync_alt
46'
Tounekti S. (Tierney K.)
sports_soccer
56'
Forrest J.Out: Maeda D.
sync_alt
62'
Tshibola A.Out: Curtis F.
sync_alt
63'
Nygren B.
sports_soccer
64'
Watson D.
67'
Cvancara T.
70'
McGregor C.
74'
Saracchi M.Out: Tierney K.
sync_alt
78'
Polworth L.Out: Watson D.
sync_alt
79'
Thompson J.Out: Kiltie G.
sync_alt
79'
Anderson B.Out: Hugill J.
sync_alt
79'
Dackers M.Out: John-Jules T.
sync_alt
82'
Araujo J. ()
sports_soccer
90+7'
Araujo J.
90+8'

Top stats

0.93Expected goals (xG)2.92
39%Ball possession61%
17Total shots25
7Shots on target10
1Big chances6
6Corner kicks7
67% (198/296)Passes86% (399/462)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

0.93Expected goals (xG)2.92
1.22xG on target (xGOT)4.40
17Total shots25
7Shots on target10
7Shots off target8
3Blocked shots7
12Shots inside the box19
5Shots outside the box6
1Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

1Big chances6
6Corner kicks7
21Touches in opposition box50
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
8Free kicks7

Passes

67% (198/296)Passes86% (399/462)
41% (36/88)Long passes58% (25/43)
56% (53/94)Passes in final third74% (116/157)
37% (7/19)Crosses24% (6/25)
0.82Expected assists (xA)1.43
18Throw ins21

Defense

7Fouls8
76% (13/17)Tackles92% (12/13)
43Duels won49
23Clearances23
9Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

7Goalkeeper saves5
4.40xGOT faced1.22
1.40Goals prevented-0.78
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
17.10
X5.11
21.37

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Away Win
Stake: High (8/10)
83
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #3
Season: Home 0.77 PPG vs Away 2.04 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 2.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.15 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

2%
2%
96%
Kilmarnock
Draw
Celtic

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Kilmarnock

Starting 11
-Kelle Roos
GK6.80
-Michael Schjønning-Larsen
DL6.49
-Robbie Deas
DC6.74
-Ethan Brown
DC6.57
-Findlay Curtis
DR7.44
-Liam Polworth
MC6.49
-David Watson
MC6.58
-Brad Lyons
MC6.63
-Greg Kiltie
AMC6.58
-Tyreece John-Jules
FW6.94
-Bruce Anderson
FW6.27

Celtic

Starting 11
-Kasper Schmeichel
GK6.68
-Marcelo Saracchi
DL6.96
-Liam Scales
DC7.16
-Auston Trusty
DC6.96
-Julián Araujo
DR6.78
-Callum McGregor
DMC6.95
-Alex Oxlade Chamberlain
DMC7.06
-Daizen Maeda
AML6.83
-Benjamin Nygren
AMC7.14
-Sebastian Tounekti
AMR6.76
-Tomás Cvancara
FW6.83
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Kilmarnock is set to face Celtic in a Premiership encounter at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park on February 15, 2026.

In the league standings, Kilmarnock currently holds the 11th spot, while Celtic sits comfortably in 3rd place.

With 20 points to their name, Kilmarnock will aim to improve their home form after suffering 4 losses in their last 6 matches at their home ground.

On the other hand, Celtic boasts 51 points and has been strong on the road, securing victories in 50 percent of their last 6 Premiership away matches.

Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with Kilmarnock witnessing over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3 home matches in the Premiership, and Celtic seeing over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 league encounters.

As they prepare to clash on the field, Celtic is favored to come out on top with a 66% probability of securing the win.

Both Kilmarnock and Celtic picked up crucial victories in their midweek matches, at home to St Mirren and Livingston respectively, before the two teams meet at Rugby Park in the Scottish Premiership.

Kilmarnock's excellent recent record against St Mirren at Rugby Park continued, unbeaten in 14 Scottish Premiership matches against the Buddies (W10 D4) since a 3-1 defeat back in May 2013. Still occupying the relegation playoff place, they are three points behind St Mirren and Dundee despite playing a game more than the two teams directly above them, this is the very definition of a 'free hit' for Killie.

Celtic remain unbeaten in all 23 of their matches against Livingston at Celtic Park (W20 D3), only ever facing Dumbarton more times on home soil without losing (26), but the Bhoys left it late against Livingston thanks to a dramatic late winner from new arrival Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain. Despite battering Killie in Glasgow 4-0 in November, they scraped past Kilmarnock on their last visit to Rugby Park.

A 96th minute winner saw Celtic leave Rugby Park with all three points in September, and the Hoops will hope to beat Kilmarnock by hook or by crook on Sunday afternoon in Ayrshire again.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 26 / 25 matches
KilmarnockvsCeltic
1.08Goals / Match1.80
1.96Conceded / Match0.96
5Clean Sheets12
3.81Shots on Target / Match5.64
40.1%Possession %68.4%
72.2%Pass Accuracy %87.8%

radarTeam Profile

Kilmarnock
Celtic
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
27Attack75
shield
37Defense59
swap_horiz
18Possession82
gps_fixed
61Efficiency60
auto_fix_high
16Creativity61
gavel
30Discipline52

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

28Goals Scored45
51Goals Conceded24
5Clean Sheets12
51Big Chances93
31Big Chances Missed63
0Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

284Total Shots419
99Shots on Target141

swap_horizPassing & Possession

40.1%Avg Possession68.4%
8,396Total Passes15,897
72.2%Pass Accuracy87.8%

shieldDefending

403Tackles339
217Interceptions171
95Saves55
48.7%Duels Won49.8%

gavelDiscipline

341Fouls302
59Yellow Cards42
4Red Cards1
48Offsides41

analyticsOther

115Corners171
124Successful Dribbles167
4Errors Leading to Goal5
6.72Avg Rating6.97

Statistical Comparison

KilmarnockMetricCeltic
28
Goals
45
15
Assists
30
6.5
Average Ratings
6.8
25.7
Average Age
28
182.9
Average Height (cm)
182.6
0.9
Shots pg
1.2
50%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.3
Tackles pg
0.9

League Standings Context

For Kilmarnock

PosTeamPWDLPts
10St Mirren26581323
11Kilmarnock26481420
12Livingston27191712

For Celtic

PosTeamPWDLPts
2Rangers261410252
3Celtic25163651
4Motherwell251111344

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

44.6/ 84.1
Dangerous Attacks
63.0/ 105.3
37.0%
Shots on Target
37.0%
10.2
Total Shots
13.5
42.0%
Possession
64.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.2
Goals Scored / Match
1.7
1.7
Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

Head-to-Head Summary

0
Kilmarnock Wins
0%
0
Draws
0%
6
Celtic Wins
100%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketKilmarnockCeltic
Over 1.5 Goals
82%27/33
100%33/33
Over 2.5 Goals
64%21/33
73%24/33
Both Teams to Score
55%18/33
64%21/33
* Based on last 33 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Kilmarnock

Sc1
Kilmarnock
4 - 3
St Mirren
Sc1
Rangers
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
Sc1
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Aberdeen
Sc1
Motherwell
4 - 0
Kilmarnock
FA
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Dundee
Sc1
Livingston
1 - 1
Kilmarnock

Home Games: Kilmarnock

Sc1
Kilmarnock
4 - 3
St Mirren
Sc1
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Aberdeen
FA
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Dundee
Sc1
Kilmarnock
1 - 3
Hibernian
Sc1
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Falkirk FC
Sc1
Kilmarnock
0 - 3
Rangers

Last 6: Celtic

Sc1
Celtic
2 - 1
Livingston
FA
Celtic
1 - 1
Dundee
Sc1
Celtic
2 - 0
Falkirk FC
UEL
Celtic
4 - 2
Utrecht
Sc1
Hearts
2 - 2
Celtic
UEL
Bologna
2 - 2
Celtic

Away Games: Celtic

Sc1
Hearts
2 - 2
Celtic
UEL
Bologna
2 - 2
Celtic
FA
Auchinleck Talbot
0 - 2
Celtic
Sc1
Falkirk FC
0 - 1
Celtic
Sc1
Motherwell
2 - 0
Celtic
Sc1
Livingston
2 - 4
Celtic

history Recent Form

KilmarnockKilmarnock
0.8 GPG
W
L
W
L
D
CelticCeltic
2.0 GPG
W
W
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL9 Nov 2025
Celtic
4-0
Kilmarnock
PL14 Sept 2025
Kilmarnock
1-2
Celtic
PL12 Apr 2025
Celtic
5-1
Kilmarnock
PL18 Jan 2025
Celtic
2-1
Kilmarnock
PL10 Nov 2024
Kilmarnock
0-2
Celtic
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
82%
37 / 45 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
26 / 45 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
21 / 45 matches
Both Teams to Score
47%
21 / 45 matches
Kilmarnock CS
11%
Clean Sheets
Celtic CS
47%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

9 Nov 2025
Celtic
4 - 0
Kilmarnock
14 Sept 2025
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Celtic
12 Apr 2025
Celtic
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
18 Jan 2025
Celtic
2 - 1
Kilmarnock
10 Nov 2024
Kilmarnock
0 - 2
Celtic
4 Aug 2024
Celtic
4 - 0
Kilmarnock
15 May 2024
Kilmarnock
0 - 5
Celtic
17 Feb 2024
Celtic
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
10 Dec 2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Celtic
7 Oct 2023
Celtic
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
20 Aug 2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Celtic
16 Apr 2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 4
Celtic

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Kilmarnock
0.77
Form (Overall)
Celtic
2.04

Celtic is +165% better in terms of Points Per Game

Kilmarnock
4 - 3
St. Mirren
Rangers
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
Aberdeen
Motherwell
4 - 0
Kilmarnock
Livingston
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2 - 1
Livingston
Celtic
2 - 0
Falkirk
Hearts
2 - 2
Celtic
Falkirk
0 - 1
Celtic
Celtic
4 - 0
Dundee United

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