Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 2 - 1
Saturday 11 April
Dundee FC

Dundee FC

Away
KilmarnockTimelineDundee FC
1st Half
Halliday B.
8'
Hugill J.
sports_soccer
14'
Murray S. (Yogane T.)
sports_soccer
24'
Schjonning-Larsen M.
sports_soccer
33'
Deas R.
39'
2nd Half
Samuels I.Out: Halliday B.
sync_alt
46'
Hamilton E.
55'
Westley J.Out: Congreve C.
sync_alt
58'
Wright S.Out: Dhanda Y.
sync_alt
58'
Hay A.Out: Murray S.
sync_alt
59'
Reilly C.Out: Yogane T.
sync_alt
70'
Thompson D.Out: Schjonning-Larsen M.
sync_alt
72'
Tshibola A.
75'
McKenzie R.Out: Anderson B.
sync_alt
77'
Wright D. (Samuels I.)
sports_soccer
81'
Watson D.Out: Lowery T.
sync_alt
86'
Lyons B.Out: Tshibola A.
sync_alt
86'
Brandon J.
90+4'
Westley J. (Penalty missed)
close
90+13'

Top stats

1.23Expected goals (xG)1.27
51%Ball possession49%
13Total shots8
3Shots on target6
1Big chances2
4Corner kicks2
77% (297/387)Passes76% (278/368)
3Yellow cards2

Shots

1.23Expected goals (xG)1.27
1.37xG on target (xGOT)1.86
13Total shots8
3Shots on target6
4Shots off target2
6Blocked shots0
8Shots inside the box4
5Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances2
4Corner kicks2
18Touches in opposition box6
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
7Free kicks24

Passes

77% (297/387)Passes76% (278/368)
43% (32/74)Long passes44% (29/66)
63% (74/117)Passes in final third57% (45/79)
11% (2/19)Crosses20% (3/15)
0.45Expected assists (xA)0.33
21Throw ins23

Defense

24Fouls7
86% (12/14)Tackles75% (12/16)
33Duels won51
15Clearances40
4Interceptions5
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves1
1.86xGOT faced1.37
-0.14Goals prevented-0.63
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.17
X3.46
23.16

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: Low (4/10)
44
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 0.84 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.45 PPG vs Away 0.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.25 GPG vs Away 0.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.56 conc vs Away 1.56 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

42%
37%
21%
Kilmarnock
Draw
Dundee FC

Match Preview

Kilmarnock and Dundee meet for the third time in the Scottish Premiership this season, with both teams preparing to face one another on a fourth occasion as the league table splits in two.

Kilmarnock's rotten record against Hibernian continued, having won just one of their past 17 (D6 L10) against the Hibees and have gone winless in 10 league matches against Hibs (D5 L5) since a sole goal success back in November 2022 at Rugby Park. Killie missed out on the chance to win three straight league games for the first time since May 2025, still sat in the relegation playoff place.

Dundee missed out on the chance to clinch back-to-back league victories over Celtic at Dens Park for the first time since March 1958, as their 2-0 win back in October was succeeded by a 2-1 defeat to the Hoops on Sunday afternoon. Sat five points clear of Kilmarnock in eleventh, the Dee could move eight clear of Killie with a win having won at Rugby Park in this season's Scottish Cup in January.

Dundee have beaten Kilmarnock in both the Scottish Premiership and Scottish Cup this season, but their first meeting of the campaign ended in a goalless draw in Ayrshire so another share of the spoils wouldn't be a massive surprise.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Kilmarnock

Starting 11
-Kelle Roos
GK6.79
-Michael Schjønning-Larsen
DL6.51
-Robbie Deas
DC6.70
-George Stanger
DC6.54
-Jamie Brandon
DR6.68
-Liam Polworth
DMC6.46
-Aaron Tshibola
DMC6.38
-Greg Kiltie
AML6.65
-Brad Lyons
AMC6.57
-Findlay Curtis
AMR7.13
-Joe Hugill
FW6.54

Dundee FC

Starting 11
-Jon McCracken
GK6.56
-Drey Wright
DL6.57
-Luke Graham
DC7.02
-Billy Koumetio
DC6.73
-Brad Halliday
DR6.42
-Finlay Robertson
DMC6.29
-Ethan Hamilton
DMC6.67
-Tony Yogane
AML6.46
-Yan Dhanda
AMC6.54
-Cameron Congreve
AMR6.69
-Simon Murray
FW6.31
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 32 matches
KilmarnockvsDundee FC

radarTeam Profile

Kilmarnock
Dundee FC
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
27Attack18
shield
39Defense37
swap_horiz
22Possession31
gps_fixed
59Efficiency58
auto_fix_high
18Creativity15
gavel
32Discipline63

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

35Goals Scored32
63Goals Conceded51
7Clean Sheets5
58Big Chances41
36Big Chances Missed22
0Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

355Total Shots320
120Shots on Target97

swap_horizPassing & Possession

41.3%Avg Possession42.9%
10,684Total Passes11,224
72.9%Pass Accuracy76.5%

shieldDefending

496Tackles452
263Interceptions257
115Saves124
48.4%Duels Won53.2%

gavelDiscipline

414Fouls293
70Yellow Cards46
5Red Cards3
62Offsides46

analyticsOther

140Corners121
165Successful Dribbles183
4Errors Leading to Goal9
6.73Avg Rating6.76

Statistical Comparison

KilmarnockMetricDundee FC
35
Goals
29
20
Assists
19
6.5
Average Ratings
6.4
27
Average Age
25.7
183.6
Average Height (cm)
181.1
0.8
Shots pg
0.7
49%
Aerial Duel Success
56%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.4
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

KilmarnockKilmarnock
0.8 GPG
L
W
W
L
D
Dundee FCDundee FC
1.0 GPG
L
L
D
W
D

group Head to Head

PL17 Jan 2026
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee
PL30 Dec 2025
Dundee
2-1
Kilmarnock
PL23 Aug 2025
Kilmarnock
0-0
Dundee
PL10 May 2025
Kilmarnock
3-2
Dundee
PL30 Nov 2024
Kilmarnock
1-1
Dundee
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
80%
28 / 35 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
19 / 35 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
12 / 35 matches
Both Teams to Score
71%
25 / 35 matches
Kilmarnock CS
20%
Clean Sheets
Dundee FC CS
23%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

17 Jan 2026
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Dundee
30 Dec 2025
Dundee
2 - 1
Kilmarnock
23 Aug 2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
Dundee
10 May 2025
Kilmarnock
3 - 2
Dundee
30 Nov 2024
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Dundee
3 Nov 2024
Dundee
3 - 2
Kilmarnock
5 Oct 2024
Dundee
2 - 3
Kilmarnock
18 May 2024
Dundee
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
2 Mar 2024
Dundee
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
20 Jan 2024
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Dundee
30 Dec 2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Dundee
23 Sept 2023
Dundee
2 - 2
Kilmarnock

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Kilmarnock
0.84
Form (Overall)
Dundee FC
1.00

Dundee FC is +19% better in terms of Points Per Game

Hibernian
3 - 0
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Livingston
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Hearts
Falkirk
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
Dundee United
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
Dundee
1 - 2
Celtic
Hearts
1 - 0
Dundee
Dundee
2 - 2
Dundee United
Dundee
2 - 1
Motherwell
Dundee
3 - 3
Hibernian

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