Kilmarnock vs Livingston Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Home
Full Time
2 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 21 March
Livingston

Livingston

Away
KilmarnockTimelineLivingston
1st Half
Hugill J.Assist: Watkins M.
sports_soccer
25'
2nd Half
Watson D.Out: Watkins M.
sync_alt
56'
Lyons B.Out: Tshibola A.
sync_alt
56'
Montano C.
62'
McKay B.Out: Muirhead R.
sync_alt
63'
Smith L.Out: Tait M.
sync_alt
63'
Thompson D.Out: Schjonning-Larsen M.
sync_alt
67'
Lowery T.Out: Polworth L.
sync_alt
67'
Bokila J.Out: Nouble J.
sync_alt
72'
Danso E.Out: Pittman S.
sync_alt
72'
Arfield S.Out: Wilson D.
sync_alt
72'
Curtis F. (Hugill J.)
sports_soccer
77'
McKenzie R.Out: Kiltie G.
sync_alt
79'
Kabongolo B.
82'
Kabongolo B.
87'

Top stats

1.87Expected goals (xG)0.84
42%Ball possession58%
17Total shots10
4Shots on target1
3Big chances0
3Corner kicks4
77% (276/359)Passes80% (401/503)
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards1

Shots

1.87Expected goals (xG)0.84
1.73xG on target (xGOT)0.51
17Total shots10
4Shots on target1
7Shots off target8
6Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box5
6Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

3Big chances0
3Corner kicks4
31Touches in opposition box15
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides2
7Free kicks14

Passes

77% (276/359)Passes80% (401/503)
34% (17/50)Long passes48% (27/56)
68% (73/108)Passes in final third60% (68/114)
30% (6/20)Crosses27% (4/15)
1.39Expected assists (xA)0.99
37Throw ins17

Defense

14Fouls7
45% (9/20)Tackles56% (9/16)
49Duels won62
30Clearances15
9Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves2
0.51xGOT faced1.73
0.51Goals prevented-0.27
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.85
X3.67
23.97

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
82
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #12
Season: Home 0.80 PPG vs Away 0.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.40 PPG vs Away 0.90 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.20 GPG vs Away 0.80 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

61%
21%
18%
Kilmarnock
Draw
Livingston

Match Preview

A huge basement battle takes place this weekend, as the bottom two teams in the Scottish Premiership go head-to-head in Ayrshire, as Kilmarnock host Livingston at Rugby Park on Saturday afternoon.

No side have lost more Scottish Premiership matches at home than Kilmarnock (8, level with Livingston) which - considering Killie haven't lost more in a single Scottish Premiership campaign since 2015/16 (11) - made Saturday's success over league leaders Hearts even more impressive. Kilmarnock could move 12 points clear of Livi if they beat them for the first time in the 2025/26 season.

Livingston have gone four Scottish Premiership matches without defeat (four draws) for the first time since January 2023 (5), but are winless in 28 league games (D11 L17) this season. Having last won in the league back in August, now would be a great time to cut the gap to 11th placed Killie to six points with seven Scottish Premiership matches still to play in the 2025/26 campaign.

Kilmarnock could move a step closer to safety, aiming to leapfrog St Mirren and consign Livi to bottom spot, if they recorded consecutive Scottish Premiership wins for the second time this season.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Kilmarnock

Starting 11
-Kelle Roos
GK6.96
-Michael Schjønning-Larsen
DL6.53
-Robbie Deas
DC6.71
-George Stanger
DC6.52
-Jamie Brandon
DR6.72
-Liam Polworth
MC6.47
-Aaron Tshibola
MC6.30
-David Watson
MC6.60
-Greg Kiltie
FWL6.63
-Joe Hugill
FW6.43
-Findlay Curtis
FWR6.99

Livingston

Starting 11
-Jérôme Prior
GK6.52
-Danny Wilson
DC6.49
-Brooklyn Kabongolo
DC7.09
-Daniel Finlayson
DC6.79
-Cristian Montaño
DML6.72
-Macaulay Tait
MC6.22
-Mohamad Sylla
MC6.65
-Scott Pittman
MC6.48
-Cammy Kerr
DMR6.64
-Joel Nouble
FW6.48
-Stevie May
FW6.46
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 30 matches
KilmarnockvsLivingston

radarTeam Profile

Kilmarnock
Livingston
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
26Attack18
shield
38Defense33
swap_horiz
21Possession30
gps_fixed
61Efficiency71
auto_fix_high
16Creativity18
gavel
31Discipline27

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

33Goals Scored31
60Goals Conceded59
6Clean Sheets2
54Big Chances41
34Big Chances Missed19
0Penalty Goals5

gps_fixedShooting

327Total Shots281
114Shots on Target99

swap_horizPassing & Possession

41.0%Avg Possession43.8%
9,914Total Passes10,714
72.4%Pass Accuracy74.5%

shieldDefending

465Tackles519
249Interceptions258
114Saves95
48.6%Duels Won48.9%

gavelDiscipline

385Fouls423
67Yellow Cards77
5Red Cards3
55Offsides42

analyticsOther

128Corners133
154Successful Dribbles180
4Errors Leading to Goal8
6.73Avg Rating6.69

Statistical Comparison

KilmarnockMetricLivingston
33
Goals
30
18
Assists
20
6.5
Average Ratings
6.4
26.4
Average Age
29.5
184.5
Average Height (cm)
183.7
0.8
Shots pg
0.7
49%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.4
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

KilmarnockKilmarnock
0.8 GPG
W
L
D
L
W
LivingstonLivingston
0.5 GPG
D
D
D
D
L

group Head to Head

PL10 Jan 2026
Livingston
1-1
Kilmarnock
PL2 Aug 2025
Kilmarnock
2-2
Livingston
PL16 Jul 2025
Kilmarnock
1-0
Livingston
PL7 Feb 2024
Kilmarnock
1-0
Livingston
PL16 Dec 2023
Livingston
0-0
Kilmarnock
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
67%
12 / 18 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
8 / 18 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5 / 18 matches
Both Teams to Score
44%
8 / 18 matches
Kilmarnock CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Livingston CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

10 Jan 2026
Livingston
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
2 Aug 2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Livingston
16 Jul 2025
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Livingston
7 Feb 2024
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Livingston
16 Dec 2023
Livingston
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
21 Oct 2023
Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Livingston
13 May 2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Livingston
4 Feb 2023
Livingston
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
4 Nov 2022
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Livingston
17 Sept 2022
Livingston
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
27 Jan 2021
Livingston
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
26 Dec 2020
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Livingston

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Kilmarnock
0.80
Form (Overall)
Livingston
0.50

Kilmarnock is +60% better in terms of Points Per Game

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Hearts
Falkirk
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
Dundee United
1 - 1
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Celtic
Kilmarnock
4 - 3
St. Mirren
Hibernian
0 - 0
Livingston
Livingston
1 - 1
St. Mirren
Livingston
2 - 2
Rangers
Dundee
2 - 2
Livingston
Celtic
2 - 1
Livingston

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.