Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren Prediction & Tips | Premiership

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Kilmarnock

Home

Full Time

4 - 3

HT: 2 - 1

Wednesday 11 February

St. Mirren

Away

KilmarnockTimelineSt. Mirren

1st Half

Phillips K. (Mandron M.)

sports_soccer

Watson D.

11'

King R.

40'

Kiltie G. (Curtis F.)

sports_soccer

43'

John-Jules T.

sports_soccer

45+1'

2nd Half

N'Lundulu D.Out: Richardson J.

sync_alt

46'

Phillips K.

sports_soccer

47'

Hugill J.Out: Anderson B.

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65'

Tshibola A.Out: Lyons B.

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65'

Gogic A.

74'

John-Jules T.

sports_soccer

76'

Brandon J.Out: Curtis F.

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79'

Thompson J.Out: Watson D.

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80'

John-Jules T.Assist: Deas R.

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82'

McMenamin C.Out: Idowu R.

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84'

Calvin J.Out: Phillips K.

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84'

Tanser S.Out: John D.

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84'

McKenzie R.Out: Polworth L.

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84'

Freckleton M.

86'

Tanser S. (Gogic A.)

sports_soccer

90+3'

Top stats

2.74Expected goals (xG)1.90

57%Ball possession43%

20Total shots15

7Shots on target7

4Big chances2

9Corner kicks4

81% (348/430)Passes71% (232/329)

1Yellow cards3

Shots

2.74Expected goals (xG)1.90

3.59xG on target (xGOT)2.47

20Total shots15

7Shots on target7

5Shots off target3

8Blocked shots5

12Shots inside the box11

8Shots outside the box4

1Hit the woodwork1

1Headed goals0

Attack

4Big chances2

9Corner kicks4

22Touches in opposition box37

1Accurate through passes0

3Offsides4

19Free kicks10

Passes

81% (348/430)Passes71% (232/329)

40% (22/55)Long passes44% (36/82)

65% (77/118)Passes in final third60% (72/120)

17% (5/29)Crosses21% (3/14)

1.54Expected assists (xA)0.81

15Throw ins15

Defense

10Fouls19

83% (10/12)Tackles50% (6/12)

53Duels won52

34Clearances25

9Interceptions5

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves4

2.47xGOT faced3.59

-0.53Goals prevented-0.41

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified High Confidence

12.86

X3.14

22.51

Recommended Bet

Draw

Stake: Medium (6/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #9

Season: Home 0.68 PPG vs Away 0.96 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.90 PPG vs Away 1.35 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 0.92 GPG vs Away 0.91 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

31%

40%

29%

Kilmarnock

Draw

St. Mirren

Match Preview

Kilmarnock will take on St Mirren at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park in a Premiership fixture on February 11, 2026.

Kilmarnock sits in 11th place in the standings, while St Mirren is positioned 9th.

Kilmarnock has accumulated 17 points, whereas St Mirren has 23 points.

Recent form indicates that Kilmarnock has struggled, with 4 losses in their last 6 Premiership matches.

On the other hand, St Mirren has faced difficulty on the road, losing 67 percent of their last 6 away games in the Premiership.

In head-to-head matchups, Kilmarnock has the upper hand, claiming 3 victories in their last 6 encounters against St Mirren.

As Kilmarnock hosts St Mirren, both teams will be eager to secure points to improve their league standings.

Can Kilmarnock turn their fortunes around, or will St Mirren capitalize on their away form? Model Prediction: Kilmarnock and St Mirren to draw with a probability of 38%.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Kilmarnock

Starting 11

11Greg Kiltie

LW5.92

21Michael Schjonning-Larsen

6.64

24Tyreece John-Jules

CF6.96

8Bradley Lyons

CM6.79

12David Watson

6.76

19Bruce Anderson

CF6.68

25Ethan Brown

3.62

31Liam Polworth

CM5.73

3Dominic Thompson

LB6.64

6Robbie Deas

6.82

13Kelle Roos

GK7.08

Substitutes

7Rory McKenzie

RW4.47

-Nicky Serghei Clescenco

9Marcus Dackers

CF5.91

14George Stanger

CB3.16

22Jack Thomson

4.17

36Aaron Tshibola

6.00

44Joe Hugill

6.58

4Zac Williams

CB2.27

1Maksymilian Stryjek

GK5.57

St. Mirren

Starting 11

9Mikael Mandron

CF6.88

20Jake Young

CF6.08

8Jacob Devaney

6.85

21Miguel Freckleton

6.82

88Killian Phillips

6.85

2Jayden Richardson

RB6.60

5Richard King

5.88

13Alexandros Gogic

CDM6.75

22Marcus Fraser

RB6.81

24Declan John

LB6.69

1Shamal George

GK6.94

Substitutes

17Jalmaro Calvin

0.49

29Kion Etete

6.68

7Roland Idowu

4.39

10Conor McMenamin

ST5.52

18Malik Dijksteel

2.02

3Scott Tanser

LB3.06

4Liam Donnelly

CDM2.73

19Tummise Sobowale

2.47

31Ryan Mullen

0.30

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 25 / 24 matches

KilmarnockvsSt. Mirren

radarTeam Profile

Kilmarnock

St. Mirren

sports_soccer

22Attack23

shield

38Defense44

swap_horiz

17Possession30

gps_fixed

57Efficiency36

auto_fix_high

13Creativity17

gavel

28Discipline39

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

24Goals Scored18

48Goals Conceded31

5Clean Sheets7

46Big Chances44

29Big Chances Missed30

0Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

264Total Shots299

92Shots on Target86

swap_horizPassing & Possession

39.4%Avg Possession45.3%

7,965Total Passes8,382

71.8%Pass Accuracy74.5%

shieldDefending

390Tackles331

208Interceptions160

90Saves74

48.5%Duels Won48.2%

gavelDiscipline

331Fouls303

58Yellow Cards47

4Red Cards3

45Offsides53

analyticsOther

106Corners143

118Successful Dribbles137

4Errors Leading to Goal5

6.72Avg Rating6.76

League Standings Context

For Kilmarnock

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
10	Dundee	24	6	5	13	23
11	Kilmarnock	25	3	8	14	17
12	Livingston	25	1	8	16	11

For St. Mirren

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
8	Dundee United	24	5	10	9	25
9	St Mirren	24	5	8	11	23
10	Dundee	24	6	5	13	23

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

44.7/ 84.1

Dangerous Attacks

48.6/ 84.3

37.0%

Shots on Target

32.0%

9.9

Total Shots

10.9

41.0%

Possession

46.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.1

Goals Scored / Match

1.2

1.7

Goals Conceded / Match

1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

Kilmarnock Wins

33%

Draws

50%

St. Mirren Wins

17%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Kilmarnock	St. Mirren
Over 1.5 Goals	81%26/32	75%24/32
Over 2.5 Goals	63%20/32	41%13/32
Both Teams to Score	53%17/32	56%18/32

* Based on last 32 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Kilmarnock

Home Games: Kilmarnock

Last 6: St. Mirren

Away Games: St. Mirren

history Recent Form

Kilmarnock

0.7 GPG

St. Mirren

1.0 GPG

group Head to Head

PL27 Dec 2025

0-0

PL4 Oct 2025

2-0

PL19 Sept 2025

2-2

PL29 Mar 2025

5-1

PL2 Jan 2025

2-0

39%

Over 2.5 Goals

53%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

67%

24 / 36 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

39%

14 / 36 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

25%

9 / 36 matches

Both Teams to Score

53%

19 / 36 matches

Kilmarnock CS

39%

Clean Sheets

St. Mirren CS

19%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

27 Dec 2025

St. Mirren

0 - 0

Kilmarnock

4 Oct 2025

Kilmarnock

2 - 0

St. Mirren

19 Sept 2025

Kilmarnock

2 - 2

St. Mirren

29 Mar 2025

St. Mirren

5 - 1

Kilmarnock

2 Jan 2025

Kilmarnock

2 - 0

St. Mirren

14 Sept 2024

St. Mirren

2 - 2

Kilmarnock

11 May 2024

St. Mirren

0 - 1

Kilmarnock

16 Mar 2024

Kilmarnock

5 - 2

St. Mirren

27 Dec 2023

St. Mirren

0 - 1

Kilmarnock

30 Sept 2023

Kilmarnock

1 - 1

St. Mirren

22 Apr 2023

St. Mirren

0 - 2

Kilmarnock

2 Jan 2023

Kilmarnock

0 - 0

St. Mirren

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

0.68

Form (Overall)

0.96

St. Mirren is +41% better in terms of Points Per Game

Rangers

5 - 1

Kilmarnock

3 - 0

Aberdeen

Motherwell

4 - 0

Kilmarnock

Livingston

1 - 1

Kilmarnock

1 - 3

Hibernian

St. Mirren

1 - 0

Hearts

St. Mirren

0 - 0

Dundee

Livingston

1 - 1

St. Mirren

Hearts

2 - 0

St. Mirren

0 - 2

Falkirk