Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren Prediction & Tips | Premiership | FootballTips.app

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Wednesday 2 September
St. Mirren

St. Mirren

Away
KilmarnockTimelineSt. Mirren
1st Half
Taylor F.Assist: Agrafiotis N.
sports_soccer
4'
Kiltie G.
38'
Agrafiotis N.
42'
2nd Half
Daniels D.Out: John-Jules T.
sync_alt
46'
Tshibola A.Out: Ring E.
sync_alt
46'
Brandon J.Out: Yfeko J.
sync_alt
46'
Young J.Out: Agrafiotis N.
sync_alt
61'
Thomas L.Out: Mochrie C. R.
sync_alt
66'
McKenzie R.Out: O'Hara M.
sync_alt
66'
Richardson J.Out: Taylor F.
sync_alt
74'
Sule E.Out: Kabia I.
sync_alt
74'
Rice B.Out: Lowery T.
sync_alt
78'
Rice B.
82'
Richardson J.
82'

Top stats

0.43Expected goals (xG)1.09
47%Ball possession53%
9Total shots10
2Shots on target1
0Big chances1
7Corner kicks3
81% (370/457)Passes86% (445/520)
2Yellow cards2

Shots

0.43Expected goals (xG)1.09
0.16xG on target (xGOT)0.65
9Total shots10
2Shots on target1
3Shots off target5
4Blocked shots4
4Shots inside the box7
5Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork1

Attack

0Big chances1
7Corner kicks3
18Touches in opposition box29
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides1
13Free kicks12

Passes

81% (370/457)Passes86% (445/520)
37% (23/62)Long passes52% (38/73)
48% (57/118)Passes in final third73% (85/116)
20% (4/20)Crosses21% (3/14)
0.51Expected assists (xA)0.77
23Throw ins24

Defense

12Fouls13
63% (17/27)Tackles70% (14/20)
62Duels won50
18Clearances28
6Interceptions13
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves2
0.65xGOT faced0.16
-0.35Goals prevented0.16
9Goal kicks5
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.78
X3.54
22.36

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Away Win
Odds: 2.40Stake: High (10/10)
99
Opp. Value

Key Factors

Season: Home 1.70 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.00 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.00 GPG vs Away 3.00 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 2.20 conc vs Away 1.80 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

26%
14%
60%
Kilmarnock
Draw
St. Mirren
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.801.61+11.8%
Kilmarnock Win2.873.85-25.5%
Draw3.407.14-52.4%
St. Mirren Win2.401.67+43.7%
BTTS - Yes1.611.72-6.4%

Match Preview

Kilmarnock have had a stuttering start to their Scottish Premiership season, whilst it has proved plain sailing for St Mirren in 2026/27 so far apart from their mental match at the weekend.

Kilmarnock remain the only team yet to pick up a point in the Scottish Premiership so far this season, after a 4-0 humbling at home to Dundee United on Saturday was Killie's first loss at Rugby Park to the Terrors in ten years (W5 D4) since a 4-2 defeat back in May 2016. Defensive deficiencies are continuing to cost Kilmarnock and if Killie can't keep the back door shut, then poor results will follow.

St Mirren remain winless in nine Scottish Premiership matches against Motherwell (D5 L4), after a crazy six goal thriller against the Steelmen on Sunday afternoon where they fought back from two goals down to go 3-2 in front before the Well's late leveller. One of three Scottish Premiership teams yet to taste defeat this season, the Buddies head down to Ayrshire full of belief that they can make it three wins from four.

Kilmarnock won three of their four league meetings with Saints in 2025/26 but, given the two teams' start to the season, the Buddies will hope to beat Killie for the first time since March 2025.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Kilmarnock

Starting 11
-Max Stryjek
GK6.12
-Michael Schjønning-Larsen
DL6.01
-Cathal McCarthy
DC6.84
-George Stanger
DC6.33
-Jonathan Meier
DR5.62
-Greg Kiltie
ML6.79
-Tom Lowery
MC6.54
-Aaron Tshibola
MC6.02
-Erik Ring
MR6.29
-Joe Hugill
FW6.33
-Tyreece John-Jules
FW6.20

St. Mirren

Starting 11
-Jacob Chapman
GK7.29
-Declan John
DL6.92
-Henry Fieldson
DC7.94
-Alex Gogic
DC6.83
-Calvin Ramsay
DR7.01
-Paul Nsio
DMC7.42
-Ryan Carr
DMC6.88
-Chris Mochrie
AML6.73
-Killian Phillips
AMC7.96
-Samuel Ramos
AMR7.27
-Roland Idowu
FW6.72
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 38 / 40 matches
KilmarnockvsSt. Mirren
1.32Goals / Match0.80
1.79Conceded / Match1.40
9Clean Sheets9
3.95Shots on Target / Match3.48
42.4%Possession %46.3%
74.3%Pass Accuracy %75.6%

radarTeam Profile

Kilmarnock
St. Mirren
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
35Attack19
shield
41Defense37
swap_horiz
25Possession32
gps_fixed
67Efficiency42
auto_fix_high
24Creativity16
gavel
32Discipline45

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

50Goals Scored32
68Goals Conceded56
9Clean Sheets9
80Big Chances65
48Big Chances Missed45
1Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

433Total Shots451
150Shots on Target139

swap_horizPassing & Possession

42.4%Avg Possession46.3%
13,216Total Passes14,139
74.3%Pass Accuracy75.6%

shieldDefending

578Tackles553
308Interceptions267
134Saves108
48.7%Duels Won48.3%

gavelDiscipline

501Fouls486
85Yellow Cards74
5Red Cards4
68Offsides83

analyticsOther

164Corners211
196Successful Dribbles214
5Errors Leading to Goal7
6.77Avg Rating6.74

Statistical Comparison

KilmarnockMetricSt. Mirren
3
Goals
6
2
Assists
5
6.2
Average Ratings
6.9
26
Average Age
24.5
183.3
Average Height (cm)
182.8
1
Shots pg
1.4
48%
Aerial Duel Success
41%
1.1
Dribbles pg
0.8
1.1
Tackles pg
2

history Recent Form

KilmarnockKilmarnock
1.7 GPG
L
L
L
St. MirrenSt. Mirren
1.7 GPG
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL9 May 2026
St. Mirren
0-3
Kilmarnock
PL11 Feb 2026
Kilmarnock
4-3
St. Mirren
PL27 Dec 2025
St. Mirren
0-0
Kilmarnock
PL4 Oct 2025
Kilmarnock
2-0
St. Mirren
PL19 Sept 2025
Kilmarnock
2-2
St. Mirren
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
68%
26 / 38 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
16 / 38 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
10 / 38 matches
Both Teams to Score
53%
20 / 38 matches
Kilmarnock CS
39%
Clean Sheets
St. Mirren CS
18%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

9 May 2026
St. Mirren
0 - 3
Kilmarnock
11 Feb 2026
Kilmarnock
4 - 3
St. Mirren
27 Dec 2025
St. Mirren
0 - 0
Kilmarnock
4 Oct 2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
St. Mirren
19 Sept 2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
St. Mirren
29 Mar 2025
St. Mirren
5 - 1
Kilmarnock
2 Jan 2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
St. Mirren
14 Sept 2024
St. Mirren
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
11 May 2024
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
16 Mar 2024
Kilmarnock
5 - 2
St. Mirren
27 Dec 2023
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
30 Sept 2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
St. Mirren

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Kilmarnock
1.70
Form (Overall)
St. Mirren
1.70

Both teams have equal form.

Kilmarnock
0 - 4
Dundee United
Kilmarnock
1 - 5
Celtic
St. Johnstone
4 - 3
Kilmarnock
St. Mirren
3 - 3
Motherwell
St. Mirren
1 - 0
St. Johnstone
Falkirk
0 - 2
St. Mirren

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