Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor Prediction & Tips | Super Lig | FootballTips.app
Kocaelispor
HomeFull Time
1 - 0
HT: 1 - 0
Sunday 6 September
Samsunspor
AwayKocaelisporTimelineSamsunspor
1st Half
Aye F. ()
sports_soccer
26'
Haidara M.
28'
2nd Half
Susoho M.Out: Yildiz U.
sync_alt
46'
Baku M.Out: Agyei D.
sync_alt
46'
Gulliksen T.Out: Kutlu B.
sync_alt
68'
Albak E.Out: Onur S.
sync_alt
69'
Drapinski I.Out: Kayan Y.
sync_alt
77'
Altunbas M.Out: Aye F.
sync_alt
82'
Erakovic S.Out: Sekongo A.
sync_alt
88'
Ortakaya E.Out: Sousa G.
sync_alt
90'
Top stats
1.23Expected goals (xG)1.60
44%Ball possession56%
9Total shots19
4Shots on target4
3Big chances3
4Corner kicks4
80% (342/425)Passes85% (466/549)
1Yellow cards0
Shots
1.23Expected goals (xG)1.60
1.07xG on target (xGOT)1.42
9Total shots19
4Shots on target4
4Shots off target13
1Blocked shots2
4Shots inside the box13
5Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork1
Attack
3Big chances3
4Corner kicks4
11Touches in opposition box27
0Accurate through passes1
0Offsides0
14Free kicks13
Passes
80% (342/425)Passes85% (466/549)
48% (27/56)Long passes47% (24/51)
62% (55/89)Passes in final third70% (97/138)
18% (2/11)Crosses44% (7/16)
0.18Expected assists (xA)1.39
23Throw ins23
Defense
13Fouls14
54% (7/13)Tackles38% (6/16)
49Duels won43
19Clearances18
13Interceptions17
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
4Goalkeeper saves3
1.42xGOT faced1.07
1.42Goals prevented0.07
7Goal kicks6
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.43
X2.88
23.05
Recommended Bet
cancel
Away Win
Odds: 3.05Stake: Medium (8/10)
75
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Player Ratings Lineups: Home 6.7 vs Away 6.7
Model Consensus: 1-1 (Draw)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Attack (+27), Creativity (+24)
donut_small Win Probabilities
27%
Kocaelispor Win
24%
Draw
49%
Samsunspor Win
Kocaelispor
Draw
Samsunspor
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 2.43 | 3.74 | 2.64 | -35.0% |
| Draw | 2.88 | 4.16 | 3.13 | -30.8% |
| Away Win | 3.05 | 2.03 | 3.31 | +50.2% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Kocaelispor took full advantage of Enis Bardhi's red card last weekend, scoring twice after their opponents were reduced to 10 men to complete a 2-1 comeback win. Selcuk Inan's side have now recorded back-to-back Süper Lig victories.
Samsunspor had no answer for Fenerbahçe's attacking threat in gameweek three as goals from Vedat Muriqi and Oguz Aydin condemned Thorsten Fink's men to a 2-0 home defeat. That result ended the visitors' unbeaten start to the season after just three games.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Kocaelispor
Starting 11
-Serhat Öztasdelen
GK6.37
-Massadio Haïdara
DL6.98
-Matej Maglica
DC6.79
-Tanguy Zoukrou
DC6.46
-Anfernee Dijksteel
DR6.94
-Mahamadou Susoho
MC6.10
-Show
MC7.01
-Berkan Kutlu
MC7.03
-Metehan Altunbas
FWL6.41
-Dan Agyei
FW6.74
-Gonçalo Sousa
FWR7.02
Samsunspor
Starting 11
-Okan Kocuk
GK7.04
-Logi Tómasson
DL6.63
-Gabriele Guarino
DC6.38
-Toni Borevkovic
DC6.49
-Joe Mendes
DR7.10
-Elliot Watt
DMC6.38
-Celil Yüksel
DMC7.07
-Emre Kilinç
AML6.86
-Yalçin Kayan
AMC6.43
-Saikuba Jarju
AMR6.71
-Anton Sekongo
FW6.15
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 34 matchesKocaelisporvsSamsunspor
0.76Goals / Match1.35
1.12Conceded / Match1.32
10Clean Sheets9
2.79Shots on Target / Match4.09
49.7%Possession %54.4%
79.9%Pass Accuracy %83.3%
radarTeam Profile
Kocaelispor
Samsunspor
sports_soccer
16Attack43
shield
49Defense45
swap_horiz
43Possession58
gps_fixed
40Efficiency57
auto_fix_high
13Creativity37
gavel
28Discipline32
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
26Goals Scored46
38Goals Conceded45
10Clean Sheets9
55Big Chances80
37Big Chances Missed53
4Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
346Total Shots442
95Shots on Target139
swap_horizPassing & Possession
49.7%Avg Possession54.4%
12,700Total Passes14,840
79.9%Pass Accuracy83.3%
shieldDefending
473Tackles541
301Interceptions246
70Saves79
47.6%Duels Won49.4%
gavelDiscipline
523Fouls507
79Yellow Cards76
3Red Cards2
77Offsides66
analyticsOther
142Corners193
194Successful Dribbles236
3Errors Leading to Goal6
6.71Avg Rating6.79
Statistical Comparison
KocaelisporMetricSamsunspor
4
Goals
5
4
Assists
4
6.5
Average Ratings
6.6
25.5
Average Age
25.7
184.6
Average Height (cm)
180.7
1
Shots pg
1.3
51%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
1
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.2
Tackles pg
1.3
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