Lahti vs Mariehamn Prediction & Tips | Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group | FootballTips.app
Lahti
HomeFull Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Tuesday 8 September
Mariehamn
AwayLahtiTimelineMariehamn
1st Half
Lindholm A. (Montiel C.)
sports_soccer
38'
2nd Half
Andersson L.Out: Heyden J.
sync_alt
60'
Hyvonen M.Out: Bergvik A.
sync_alt
61'
Stroud A.Out: Widlund V.
sync_alt
61'
Ojanen J.Out: Martim Augusto
sync_alt
64'
Andersson E.Out: Montiel C.
sync_alt
64'
Stroud A.
sports_soccer
65'
Nurmi N.
71'
Vehkonen V.Out: Inkinen T.
sync_alt
75'
Gyamfi F.
80'
Yapi R.
81'
Belabid A.Out: Lindholm A.
sync_alt
83'
Heikkinen D.Out: Sarr M.
sync_alt
83'
Ojanen J.Assist: Vehkonen V.
sports_soccer
87'
Muller J.
89'
Vehkonen V.
90+2'
Top stats
1.92Expected goals (xG)0.75
65%Ball possession35%
13Total shots9
7Shots on target3
3Big chances2
2Corner kicks9
85% (483/570)Passes70% (203/288)
3Yellow cards2
Shots
1.92Expected goals (xG)0.75
1.52xG on target (xGOT)1.36
13Total shots9
7Shots on target3
4Shots off target4
2Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box6
4Shots outside the box3
1Hit the woodwork0
Attack
3Big chances2
2Corner kicks9
26Touches in opposition box24
0Accurate through passes0
0Offsides1
14Free kicks9
Passes
85% (483/570)Passes70% (203/288)
59% (30/51)Long passes30% (16/53)
73% (123/169)Passes in final third53% (46/87)
33% (6/18)Crosses20% (4/20)
0.76Expected assists (xA)0.47
19Throw ins20
Defense
9Fouls14
73% (16/22)Tackles82% (9/11)
61Duels won28
26Clearances18
10Interceptions10
2Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves5
1.36xGOT faced1.52
0.36Goals prevented-0.48
6Goal kicks7
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.55
X4.09
25.63
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Home Win
Odds: 1.55Stake: High (9/10)
85
Opp. Value
Also recommended
canceladd_circleUnder 2.5 Goals
@2.00Opp 61%
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 36% on target vs Away 34% on target
Standings: Home GD +7 (32pts) vs Away GD -26 (14pts)
Sofascore Stats: Home superiority - Best: Defense (+28), Attack (+21)
donut_small Win Probabilities
68%
Lahti Win
17%
Draw
15%
Mariehamn Win
Lahti
Draw
Mariehamn
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.77 | 2.10 | 1.89 | -15.6% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.00 | 1.91 | 2.13 | +4.6% |
| Home Win | 1.55 | 1.47 | 1.68 | +5.5% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 5.93 | 4.34 | -32.6% |
| Away Win | 5.25 | 6.63 | 5.70 | -20.9% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.87 | 2.07 | 2.06 | -9.8% |
| BTTS - No | 1.77 | 1.93 | 1.95 | -8.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
FC Lahti will play host to IFK Mariehamn in a Veikkausliiga fixture at Lahden Stadion on 8 September 2026.
The hosts sit at the top of the standings with 32 points, while IFK Mariehamn are positioned sixth with 14 points.
Recent form at home shows FC Lahti taking 3 wins from their last 6 matches in all competitions, and IFK Mariehamn have suffered losses in 60 percent of their league outings this season.
Looking at head to head results, FC Lahti have claimed 50 percent wins in the last six league meetings against IFK Mariehamn.
Our model prediction: FC Lahti to win 3-0
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 22 matchesLahtivsMariehamn
1.18Goals / Match0.77
0.86Conceded / Match1.95
9Clean Sheets2
54.1%Possession %46.1%
82.6%Pass Accuracy %79.1%
radarTeam Profile
Lahti
Mariehamn
sports_soccer
28Attack7
shield
63Defense35
swap_horiz
62Possession41
gps_fixed
35Efficiency33
auto_fix_high
30Creativity14
gavel
43Discipline54
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
26Goals Scored17
19Goals Conceded43
9Clean Sheets2
1Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
282Total Shots191
swap_horizPassing & Possession
54.1%Avg Possession46.1%
9,845Total Passes8,888
82.6%Pass Accuracy79.1%
shieldDefending
860Interceptions957
55Saves115
48.3%Duels Won48.0%
gavelDiscipline
262Fouls265
57Yellow Cards40
47Offsides50
analyticsOther
111Corners91
186Successful Dribbles138
League Standings Context
For Lahti
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | TPS Turku | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
For Mariehamn
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FF Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 |
| 6 | IFK Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
51.3/ 98.7
Dangerous Attacks
45.4/ 89.4
36.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
13.7
Total Shots
9.8
54.0%
Possession
46.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.4
Goals Scored / Match
0.9
1.0
Goals Conceded / Match
1.8
Head-to-Head Summary
4
Lahti Wins
67%
2
Draws
33%
0
Mariehamn Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Lahti | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65%17/26 | 81%21/26 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 38%10/26 | 46%12/26 |
| Both Teams to Score | 46%12/26 | 35%9/26 |
* Based on last 26 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Lahti
Fi1
FC Lahti
1 - 2
KuPS Kuopio
Fi1
FC Lahti
2 - 0
FF Jaro
Fi1
FC Lahti
2 - 0
HJK Helsinki
Fi1
FC Lahti
1 - 0
IF Gnistan
Fi1
FC Lahti
0 - 0
TPS Turku
Fi1
FC Lahti
2 - 3
Seinajoen JK
Home Games: Lahti
Fi1
FC Lahti
1 - 2
KuPS Kuopio
Fi1
FC Lahti
2 - 0
FF Jaro
Fi1
FC Lahti
2 - 0
HJK Helsinki
Fi1
FC Lahti
1 - 0
IF Gnistan
Fi1
FC Lahti
0 - 0
TPS Turku
Fi1
FC Lahti
2 - 3
Seinajoen JK
Last 6: Mariehamn
Fi1
KuPS Kuopio
2 - 4
IFK Mariehamn
Fi1
Ilves
2 - 0
IFK Mariehamn
Fi1
TPS Turku
3 - 0
IFK Mariehamn
Fi1
IF Gnistan
4 - 2
IFK Mariehamn
Fi1
VPS Vaasa
4 - 0
IFK Mariehamn
Fi1
AC Oulu
2 - 1
IFK Mariehamn
Away Games: Mariehamn
Fi1
KuPS Kuopio
2 - 4
IFK Mariehamn
Fi1
Ilves
2 - 0
IFK Mariehamn
Fi1
TPS Turku
3 - 0
IFK Mariehamn
Fi1
IF Gnistan
4 - 2
IFK Mariehamn
Fi1
VPS Vaasa
4 - 0
IFK Mariehamn
Fi1
AC Oulu
2 - 1
IFK Mariehamn
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities