Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction & Tips | Liga Profesional - Clausura | FootballTips.app
Lanus
HomeFull Time
2 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Monday 12 October
Velez Sarsfield
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
12.21
X2.81
23.60
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
44
Best near-miss
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.46 PPG vs Away 1.75 PPG
Recent Form: Home 1.46 PPG vs Away 1.75 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.07 GPG vs Away 1.31 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.79 conc vs Away 0.92 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
38%
30%
32%
Lanus
Draw
Velez Sarsfield
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.50 | 2.81 | — | -11.0% |
| Lanús Win | 2.27 | 2.63 | 2.45 | -13.8% |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.34 | 3.34 | -7.3% |
| Vélez Sarsfield Win | 3.17 | 3.12 | 3.42 | +1.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.10 | 2.06 | — | +1.9% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Lanus
Starting 11
11Eduardo Antonio Salvio
RW6.75
20Allam Steven Wlk Dure
CF6.71
77Lucas Agustín Besozzi
LW6.66
8Franco Watson
CAM6.14
17Diego Agustín Medina
CDM6.26
30Agustín Cardozo
CDM7.03
6Sasha Julián Marcich
LB6.88
24Carlos Roberto Izquierdoz
CB7.08
33Tomás Ezequiel Guidara
RB6.67
35Ronaldo Dejesús López
CB5.42
26Nahuel Hernán Losada
GK7.09
Substitutes
19Yoshan Stiven Valois Murillo
CF6.94
38Benjamín Acosta
RW6.41
-Gonzalo Thomás Lobos
10Damián Marcelino Moreno
CAM7.17
-Raúl Alberto Loaiza Morelos (Injured)
CDM
27Facundo Martín Sánchez
CM6.58
-Thiago Ezequiel Laplace
CM
3Nicolás Morgantini
RB6.51
4Gonzalo Pérez
CB6.09
-Tomas Lopez
1Franco Petroli
GK7.05
Velez Sarsfield
Starting 11
-Juan Policella
39Thiago Aguirre
CF6.81
77Ronaldo Iván Martínez Rolón
CF6.83
8Lucas Robertone
CM6.95
22Manuel Lanzini
CAM6.82
29Rodrigo Germán Aliendro
CM6.50
3Elías José Gómez
LB6.87
4Joaquín García
RB6.92
16Lisandro Magallán
CB6.83
32Thiago Ariel Silvero
CB6.18
1Tomás Ignacio Marchiori Carreño
GK7.41
Substitutes
15Dilan Godoy
CF5.82
-Simon Prima
-Lautaro Piola
5Claudio Andrés Baeza Baeza
CDM6.48
10Diego Alfonso Valdés Contreras
CAM7.04
35Matías Arias
CAM6.56
48Luca Feler
CAM2.18
-Leo Ariel Cristaldo Florentín
CB
21Jano Gordon (Injured)
RB7.18
-Alexis Pereyra
RB
1Facundo Sanguinetti
GK7.15
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 28 matchesLanusvsVelez Sarsfield
1.11Goals / Match1.25
0.93Conceded / Match0.86
12Clean Sheets10
4.29Shots on Target / Match4.25
51.8%Possession %53.5%
80.7%Pass Accuracy %77.7%
radarTeam Profile
Lanus
Velez Sarsfield
sports_soccer
35Attack37
shield
70Defense73
swap_horiz
53Possession49
gps_fixed
54Efficiency61
auto_fix_high
54Creativity49
gavel
40Discipline50
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
31Goals Scored35
26Goals Conceded24
12Clean Sheets10
56Big Chances57
36Big Chances Missed38
2Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
353Total Shots339
120Shots on Target119
swap_horizPassing & Possession
51.8%Avg Possession53.5%
12,662Total Passes12,210
80.7%Pass Accuracy77.7%
shieldDefending
454Tackles530
261Interceptions259
93Saves106
49.4%Duels Won49.2%
gavelDiscipline
351Fouls315
68Yellow Cards58
1Red Cards1
51Offsides33
analyticsOther
120Corners119
202Successful Dribbles199
3Errors Leading to Goal0
6.83Avg Rating6.85
history Recent Form
LanusVelez Sarsfieldgroup Head to Head
PL21 Mar 2026
0-1
PL30 Aug 2025
3-0
PL21 May 2025
2-0
PL21 Feb 2025
0-0
PL20 Nov 2024
0-0
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
61%
11 / 18 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
8 / 18 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5 / 18 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
6 / 18 matches
Lanus CS
44%
Clean Sheets
Velez Sarsfield CS
39%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
21 Mar 2026
Vélez Sarsfield
0 - 1
Lanús
30 Aug 2025
Vélez Sarsfield
3 - 0
Lanús
21 May 2025
Lanús
2 - 0
Vélez Sarsfield
21 Feb 2025
Lanús
0 - 0
Vélez Sarsfield
20 Nov 2024
Vélez Sarsfield
0 - 0
Lanús
4 Jul 2023
Lanús
0 - 1
Vélez Sarsfield
20 Jul 2022
Lanús
2 - 2
Vélez Sarsfield
2 Apr 2022
Vélez Sarsfield
3 - 1
Lanús
21 Aug 2021
Vélez Sarsfield
5 - 1
Lanús
25 Apr 2021
Lanús
1 - 2
Vélez Sarsfield
13 Jan 2021
Lanús
3 - 0
Vélez Sarsfield
6 Jan 2021
Vélez Sarsfield
0 - 1
Lanús
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.46
Form (Overall)
1.75
Velez Sarsfield is +20% better in terms of Points Per Game
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