Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico Prediction & Tips | USL Championship | FootballTips.app
Las Vegas Lights
HomeFull Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Sunday 6 September
New Mexico
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.95
X3.57
23.14
Recommended Bet
check_circle
Away Win
Odds: 2.80Stake: Medium (7/10)
66
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #16 vs Away #4
Season: Home 1.32 PPG vs Away 1.85 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.10 PPG vs Away 2.40 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.09 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
34%
25%
41%
Las Vegas Lights
Draw
New Mexico
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.57 | 1.89 | — | -16.7% |
| Las Vegas Lights Win | 1.91 | 2.90 | 2.17 | -34.2% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.06 | 4.43 | -4.0% |
| New Mexico United Win | 2.80 | 2.44 | 3.18 | +14.7% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.49 | 1.81 | — | -17.6% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 22 / 20 matchesLas Vegas LightsvsNew Mexico
1.27Goals / Match1.45
1.45Conceded / Match1.00
6Clean Sheets7
3.41Shots on Target / Match4.05
52.1%Possession %55.5%
83.5%Pass Accuracy %84.7%
radarTeam Profile
Las Vegas Lights
New Mexico
sports_soccer
36Attack45
shield
46Defense49
swap_horiz
50Possession54
gps_fixed
55Efficiency71
auto_fix_high
43Creativity56
gavel
42Discipline26
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
28Goals Scored29
32Goals Conceded20
6Clean Sheets7
45Big Chances46
30Big Chances Missed26
1Penalty Goals3
gps_fixedShooting
258Total Shots235
75Shots on Target81
swap_horizPassing & Possession
52.1%Avg Possession55.5%
9,340Total Passes8,744
83.5%Pass Accuracy84.7%
shieldDefending
318Tackles205
196Interceptions142
53Saves75
47.9%Duels Won48.0%
gavelDiscipline
303Fouls271
42Yellow Cards61
1Red Cards1
35Offsides48
analyticsOther
91Corners79
114Successful Dribbles94
3Errors Leading to Goal4
6.77Avg Rating6.87
history Recent Form
Las Vegas LightsL
W
D
D
L
New MexicoD
W
W
W
W
group Head to Head
PL10 May 2026
3-1
PL17 Aug 2025
2-2
PL16 Mar 2025
2-3
PL10 Nov 2024
0-1
PL1 Aug 2024
1-2
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
10 / 12 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
8 / 12 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
6 / 12 matches
Both Teams to Score
67%
8 / 12 matches
Las Vegas Lights CS
17%
Clean Sheets
New Mexico CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
10 May 2026
New Mexico United
3 - 1
Las Vegas Lights
17 Aug 2025
New Mexico United
2 - 2
Las Vegas Lights
16 Mar 2025
Las Vegas Lights
2 - 3
New Mexico United
10 Nov 2024
New Mexico United
0 - 1
Las Vegas Lights
1 Aug 2024
New Mexico United
1 - 2
Las Vegas Lights
5 May 2024
Las Vegas Lights
1 - 2
New Mexico United
31 Aug 2023
New Mexico United
3 - 3
Las Vegas Lights
5 Jul 2023
Las Vegas Lights
2 - 2
New Mexico United
1 Oct 2022
Las Vegas Lights
0 - 0
New Mexico United
13 Mar 2022
New Mexico United
2 - 0
Las Vegas Lights
20 Oct 2019
New Mexico United
2 - 0
Las Vegas Lights
16 Jun 2019
Las Vegas Lights
5 - 1
New Mexico United
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.45
Form (Overall)
1.56
New Mexico is +8% better in terms of Points Per Game
Las Vegas Lights
0 - 2
Charleston Battery
Las Vegas Lights
2 - 1
Brooklyn FC
Las Vegas Lights
0 - 0
Oakland Roots
Las Vegas Lights
1 - 1
Phoenix Rising
Las Vegas Lights
1 - 2
El Paso Locomotive
Loudoun United
0 - 0
New Mexico United
Monterey Bay
2 - 5
New Mexico United
Lexington
1 - 4
New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
0 - 2
New Mexico United
Sacramento Republic
0 - 1
New Mexico United
Weekly Newsletter
Subscribe for Betting Tips
Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.
Join our community of smart bettors. Get exclusive predictions, value picks, and statistical analysis delivered straight to your inbox.
Free Weekly Tips
Value Opportunities