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Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

Lazio

Lazio

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 2 - 0
Saturday 12 September
AC Milan

AC Milan

Away
LazioTimelineAC Milan
1st Half
Cancellieri M. (Zaccagni M.)
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10'
Noslin T.
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39'
2nd Half
Pulisic C.Out: Loftus-Cheek R.
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46'
Moreira D.Out: Estupinan P.
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46'
Musah Y.Out: Modric L.
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46'
Isaksen G.Out: Cancellieri M.
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58'
Pinamonti A.Out: Noslin T.
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58'
Pulisic C.
59'
Belahyane R.
63'
Pavlovic S.
64'
Moreira D. (Pulisic C.)
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65'
Moreira D. (Rabiot A.)
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67'
Gudmundsson A.Out: Taylor K.
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74'
Hutchinson O.Out: Cisse A.
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77'
Zaccagni M.
78'
Leite D.Out: Sutalo J.
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84'
Lazzari M.Out: Floriani R.
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84'
Camarda F.Out: Ramos G.
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85'
Gila M.
86'
No statistics available for this match
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AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
13.35
X3.20
22.30

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 2.25Stake: High (9/10)
86
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #3 vs Away #6
Season: Home 2.70 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 3.00 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.17 GPG vs Away 1.83 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

43%
26%
32%
Lazio
Draw
AC Milan
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals2.251.79+26.0%
Under 2.5 Goals1.622.27-28.7%
Lazio Win3.362.34+43.6%
Draw3.203.90-18.0%
AC Milan Win2.253.16-28.9%
BTTS - Yes1.911.79+6.6%
BTTS - No1.842.26-18.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Lazio aim to protect their home turf and leverage their tactical compactness under Gattuso despite missing a significant number of players across all departments.

Milan travel under Amorim looking to impose their structured passing game through the center and flanks.

The primary tactical battle features Lazio's midfield trio trying to contain the creative threat of Luka Modrić and Adrien Rabiot in the central zones.

Andrea Pinamonti and Gonçalo Ramos spearhead their respective attacks, both looking to break down resilient defensive units.

Historical head-to-head records reflect a tight rivalry, highlighted by the results of their last two Serie A encounters during the 2025-2026 season: Milan's 1-0 victory at San Siro on November 29, 2025, followed by Lazio's 1-0 win at the Stadio Olimpico on March 15, 2026.

Considering Milan arrives fresh off a hard-fought draw against Juventus and both sides match up evenly, a vibrant and hard-fought encounter points straight toward an entertaining score draw.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Lazio

Starting 11
-Christos Mandas
GK7.37
-Nuno Tavares
DL7.16
-Oliver Provstgaard
DC6.74
-Danilho Doekhi
DC7.01
-Romano Floriani Mussolini
DR6.85
-Davide Frattesi
MC7.50
-Reda Belahyane
MC6.62
-Kenneth Taylor
MC6.87
-Mattia Zaccagni
FWL7.55
-Andrea Pinamonti
FW5.95
-Gustav Isaksen
FWR6.05

AC Milan

Starting 11
-Mike Maignan
GK6.76
-Mario Gila
DC6.82
-Koni De Winter
DC7.09
-Strahinja Pavlovic
DC7.19
-Pervis Estupiñán
DML6.72
-Yunus Musah
MC6.73
-Luka Modric
MC6.80
-Samuel Chukwueze
DMR7.28
-Adrien Rabiot
AMC6.81
-Alphadjo Cisse
AMC6.87
-Gonçalo Ramos
FW6.83
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 38 matches
LaziovsAC Milan
1.08Goals / Match1.39
1.05Conceded / Match0.92
15Clean Sheets15
4.08Shots on Target / Match4.37
50.3%Possession %51.8%
86.6%Pass Accuracy %87.3%

radarTeam Profile

Lazio
AC Milan
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
28Attack47
shield
55Defense56
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58Possession62
gps_fixed
61Efficiency59
auto_fix_high
22Creativity41
gavel
36Discipline57

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

41Goals Scored53
40Goals Conceded35
15Clean Sheets15
72Big Chances100
48Big Chances Missed65
4Penalty Goals7

gps_fixedShooting

417Total Shots503
155Shots on Target166

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.3%Avg Possession51.8%
18,694Total Passes18,380
86.6%Pass Accuracy87.3%

shieldDefending

481Tackles550
295Interceptions244
120Saves112
51.3%Duels Won52.0%

gavelDiscipline

402Fouls384
77Yellow Cards62
9Red Cards3
37Offsides71

analyticsOther

142Corners162
215Successful Dribbles248
5Errors Leading to Goal1
6.82Avg Rating6.92

Statistical Comparison

LazioMetricAC Milan
4
Goals
4
4
Assists
4
6.7
Average Ratings
6.7
25.4
Average Age
27.3
183.5
Average Height (cm)
182.9
1.2
Shots pg
1.2
40%
Aerial Duel Success
56%
0.9
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.5
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

LazioLazio
2.7 GPG
W
W
W
AC MilanAC Milan
1.5 GPG
D
W
W

group Head to Head

PL15 Mar 2026
Lazio
1-0
AC Milan
PL4 Dec 2025
Lazio
1-0
AC Milan
PL29 Nov 2025
AC Milan
1-0
Lazio
PL2 Mar 2025
AC Milan
1-2
Lazio
PL31 Aug 2024
Lazio
2-2
AC Milan
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
75%
33 / 44 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
21 / 44 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
12 / 44 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
22 / 44 matches
Lazio CS
25%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan CS
34%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

15 Mar 2026
Lazio
1 - 0
AC Milan
4 Dec 2025
Lazio
1 - 0
AC Milan
29 Nov 2025
AC Milan
1 - 0
Lazio
2 Mar 2025
AC Milan
1 - 2
Lazio
31 Aug 2024
Lazio
2 - 2
AC Milan
1 Mar 2024
Lazio
0 - 1
AC Milan
30 Sept 2023
AC Milan
2 - 0
Lazio
6 May 2023
AC Milan
2 - 0
Lazio
24 Jan 2023
Lazio
4 - 0
AC Milan
24 Apr 2022
Lazio
1 - 2
AC Milan
9 Feb 2022
AC Milan
4 - 0
Lazio
12 Sept 2021
AC Milan
2 - 0
Lazio

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Lazio
2.70
Form (Overall)
AC Milan
1.50

Lazio is +80% better in terms of Points Per Game

Udinese
1 - 2
Lazio
Lazio
1 - 0
Genoa
Bologna
0 - 1
Lazio
Juventus
1 - 1
AC Milan
AC Milan
2 - 0
Venezia
Torino
1 - 2
AC Milan

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