Lazio vs Parma Prediction & Tips | Serie A | FootballTips.app

Lazio

Lazio

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1h
18:45
Serie A
Parma

Parma

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Who wins?

auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
11.40
X4.73
28.41

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
61
Best near-miss

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #18
Season: Home 2.71 PPG vs Away 0.57 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 0.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.00 GPG vs Away 0.33 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

70%
15%
15%
Lazio
Draw
Parma
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.872.02-7.6%
Under 2.5 Goals1.931.98-2.3%
Lazio Win1.391.43-2.6%
Draw4.606.61-30.4%
Parma Win7.506.77+10.8%
BTTS - Yes2.091.83+14.2%
BTTS - No1.682.21-23.8%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Lazio

Starting 11
-Christos Mandas
GK7.51
-Nuno Tavares
DL7.35
-Oliver Provstgaard
DC6.82
-Josip Sutalo
DC7.03
-Romano Floriani Mussolini
DR6.88
-Davide Frattesi
MC6.95
-Reda Belahyane
MC6.78
-Kenneth Taylor
MC6.84
-Mattia Zaccagni
FWL7.42
-Tijjani Noslin
FW6.84
-Gustav Isaksen
FWR6.37

Parma

Starting 11
-Edoardo Corvi
GK6.46
-Diego Carlos
DC6.45
-Mariano Troilo
DC6.69
-Enrico Delprato
DC6.34
-Emanuele Valeri
DML6.70
-Mandela Keita
MC6.27
-Adrián Bernabé
MC6.62
-Giovanni Fabbian
MC6.02
-Sascha Britschgi
DMR6.06
-David Romero
FW6.48
-Simone Lontani
FW6.41
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Lazio’s resounding 3-0 victory over Juventus saw Gattuso become the first manager in club history to win six of his opening seven Serie A matches in charge (1 draw).

The Biancocelesti have been defensive stalwarts, conceding just four goals across seven rounds—a tally surpassed only by Roma's three.

Gilardino failed to spark an immediate turnaround in his debut, as Parma succumbed to a 3-0 defeat against Torino on Monday, marking their second consecutive loss by that exact scoreline.

Recent head-to-head encounters heavily favor the hosts: Lazio have lost just one of their last 16 Serie A meetings with Parma (11 wins, 4 draws) and remain undefeated in their last ten league encounters against them at the Stadio Olimpico (8 wins, 2 draws).

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 7 matches
LaziovsParma
2.00Goals / Match0.57
0.57Conceded / Match1.86
4Clean Sheets0
4.14Shots on Target / Match3.43
48.4%Possession %43.7%
85.4%Pass Accuracy %82.3%

radarTeam Profile

Lazio
Parma
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
65Attack11
shield
75Defense31
swap_horiz
55Possession42
gps_fixed
82Efficiency35
auto_fix_high
72Creativity30
gavel
52Discipline65

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

14Goals Scored4
4Goals Conceded13
4Clean Sheets0
19Big Chances9
9Big Chances Missed7
1Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

90Total Shots75
29Shots on Target24

swap_horizPassing & Possession

48.4%Avg Possession43.7%
3,146Total Passes2,785
85.4%Pass Accuracy82.3%

shieldDefending

95Tackles95
59Interceptions64
28Saves25
46.2%Duels Won49.2%

gavelDiscipline

86Fouls71
13Yellow Cards11
7Offsides11

analyticsOther

36Corners24
44Successful Dribbles40
0Errors Leading to Goal3
7.77Avg Rating7.01

Statistical Comparison

LazioMetricParma
14
Goals
4
12
Assists
3
6.8
Average Ratings
6.2
25.4
Average Age
24.3
182.4
Average Height (cm)
182.4
0.9
Shots pg
0.7
45%
Aerial Duel Success
43%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.5
1.3
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

LazioLazio
2.3 GPG
W
D
W
D
W
ParmaParma
0.0 GPG
L
L
L
L
L

group Head to Head

PL4 Apr 2026
Lazio
1-1
Parma
PL13 Dec 2025
Parma
0-1
Lazio
PL28 Apr 2025
Lazio
2-2
Parma
PL1 Dec 2024
Parma
3-1
Lazio
PL12 May 2021
Lazio
1-0
Parma
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
79%
19 / 24 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11 / 24 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
6 / 24 matches
Both Teams to Score
54%
13 / 24 matches
Lazio CS
46%
Clean Sheets
Parma CS
4%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Apr 2026
Lazio
1 - 1
Parma
13 Dec 2025
Parma
0 - 1
Lazio
28 Apr 2025
Lazio
2 - 2
Parma
1 Dec 2024
Parma
3 - 1
Lazio
12 May 2021
Lazio
1 - 0
Parma
21 Jan 2021
Lazio
2 - 1
Parma
10 Jan 2021
Parma
0 - 2
Lazio
9 Feb 2020
Parma
0 - 1
Lazio
22 Sept 2019
Lazio
2 - 0
Parma
17 Mar 2019
Lazio
4 - 1
Parma
21 Oct 2018
Parma
0 - 2
Lazio
29 Apr 2015
Lazio
4 - 0
Parma

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Lazio
2.33
Form (Overall)
Parma
0.00

Lazio is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game

Lazio
3 - 1
Monza
Lazio
3 - 3
Juve Stabia
Lazio
2 - 0
Arezzo
Lazio
2 - 2
AC Milan
Lazio
1 - 0
Genoa
Inter Milan
3 - 0
Parma
Como
2 - 1
Parma
Juventus
2 - 0
Parma
Como
1 - 0
Parma
Inter Milan
2 - 0
Parma

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