Le Havre vs Brest Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Le Havre

Le Havre

Home
Full Time
1 - 2
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Brest

Brest

Away
Le HavreTimelineBrest
1st Half
Mpasi-Nzau L.
10'
Doumbia K.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
12'
Zogbe L.Out: Lala K.
sync_alt
22'
Digard D.
38'
Doumbia K.
39'
Mwanga J.
45+2'
2nd Half
Nakamura S.Out: Ndiaye R.
sync_alt
46'
Doumbia K.Assist: Balde M.
sports_soccer
51'
Vinette E. K.Out: Pembele T.
sync_alt
62'
Fofana R.Out: Maja J.
sync_alt
62'
Edjouma N.Out: Balde M.
sync_alt
67'
Nonge J.Out: Magnetti H.
sync_alt
75'
Versini G.Out: Mboup P.
sync_alt
75'
Tousart L.Out: Doumbia K.
sync_alt
75'
Fofana R.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
79'
Ouziad D.Out: Jelert E.
sync_alt
79'
Gallon G.Out: Mpasi-Nzau L.
sync_alt
90+4'

Top stats

1.96Expected goals (xG)2.37
56%Ball possession44%
18Total shots19
4Shots on target9
1Big chances3
5Corner kicks6
82% (372/452)Passes78% (286/367)
1Yellow cards1
1Red cards0

Shots

1.96Expected goals (xG)2.37
1.23xG on target (xGOT)2.84
18Total shots19
4Shots on target9
10Shots off target8
4Blocked shots2
13Shots inside the box12
5Shots outside the box7
1Hit the woodwork0

Attack

1Big chances3
5Corner kicks6
34Touches in opposition box23
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides0
18Free kicks15

Passes

82% (372/452)Passes78% (286/367)
54% (28/52)Long passes40% (27/67)
73% (101/138)Passes in final third62% (51/82)
34% (11/32)Crosses31% (5/16)
1.31Expected assists (xA)0.87
18Throw ins18

Defense

15Fouls18
59% (10/17)Tackles43% (10/23)
53Duels won54
23Clearances30
12Interceptions16
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

7Goalkeeper saves3
2.84xGOT faced1.23
0.84Goals prevented0.23
10Goal kicks8
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.63
X3.28
22.78

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Odds: 2.55Stake: Low (4/10)
44
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #13 vs Away #11
Season: Home 0.90 PPG vs Away 0.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.55 PPG vs Away 1.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.25 GPG vs Away 0.75 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

36%
31%
33%
Le Havre
Draw
Brest
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals2.102.21-5.2%
Le Havre Win2.552.78-8.1%
Draw3.303.24+1.7%
Brest Win2.503.02-17.1%
BTTS - Yes1.752.07-15.4%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Le Havre are still searching for their first win of the campaign. They were defeated 1-0 by Monaco in their opening match, followed by a 1-1 draw away at Lyon.

Brest are also searching for their first victory, but they are yet to lose in Ligue 1. They've drawn both of their games 2-2 against Le Mans and Toulouse.

The last time these two sides met was back in March, when Brest secured a 2-0 victory at home. On their own turf, Le Havre have only beaten Brest once in the league since 2018.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Le Havre

Starting 11
-Lionel Mpasi
GK7.32
-Ahmed Touba
DC6.45
-Junior Mwanga
DC6.32
-Ayumu Seko
DC6.98
-Timothée Pembélé
DML6.47
-Amir Richardson
MC6.62
-Simon Ebonog
MC6.92
-Djibril Ouziad
DMR7.09
-Rassoul Ndiaye
AMC6.49
-Kaito Mizuta
AMC6.15
-Mbwana Samatta
FW6.70

Brest

Starting 11
-Egil Selvik
GK6.02
-Bradley Locko
DL6.90
-Gautier Lloris
DC6.44
-Raphaël Le Guen
DC6.28
-Kenny Lala
DR6.77
-Joris Chotard
DMC7.46
-Mamady Diambou
DMC6.80
-Pathé Mboup
AML6.72
-Kamory Doumbia
AMC7.78
-Axel Camblan
AMR6.01
-Ludovic Ajorque
FW7.54
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 matches
Le HavrevsBrest
0.50Goals / Match2.00
1.00Conceded / Match2.00
0Clean Sheets0
4.00Shots on Target / Match7.00
46.5%Possession %50.5%
81.2%Pass Accuracy %80.5%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

1Goals Scored4
2Goals Conceded4
2Big Chances11
1Big Chances Missed7

gps_fixedShooting

26Total Shots53
8Shots on Target14

swap_horizPassing & Possession

46.5%Avg Possession50.5%
755Total Passes831
81.2%Pass Accuracy80.5%

shieldDefending

38Tackles38
30Interceptions25
11Saves3
47.1%Duels Won52.0%

gavelDiscipline

29Fouls31
5Yellow Cards3
6Offsides7

analyticsOther

12Corners17
12Successful Dribbles21
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.17Avg Rating7.46

Statistical Comparison

Le HavreMetricBrest
1
Goals
4
1
Assists
3
6.5
Average Ratings
6.7
25.5
Average Age
25.9
184.6
Average Height (cm)
182.1
1.4
Shots pg
2.2
51%
Aerial Duel Success
49%
1
Dribbles pg
1.3
2
Tackles pg
2.1

history Recent Form

Le HavreLe Havre
0.9 GPG
D
L
BrestBrest
0.6 GPG
D
D

group Head to Head

PL8 Mar 2026
Brest
2-0
Le Havre
PL29 Oct 2025
Le Havre
1-0
Brest
PL26 Jan 2025
Le Havre
0-1
Brest
PL6 Oct 2024
Brest
2-0
Le Havre
PL3 Mar 2024
Brest
1-0
Le Havre
5%
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
47%
9 / 19 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
5%
1 / 19 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 19 matches
Both Teams to Score
26%
5 / 19 matches
Le Havre CS
26%
Clean Sheets
Brest CS
58%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

8 Mar 2026
Brest
2 - 0
Le Havre
29 Oct 2025
Le Havre
1 - 0
Brest
26 Jan 2025
Le Havre
0 - 1
Brest
6 Oct 2024
Brest
2 - 0
Le Havre
3 Mar 2024
Brest
1 - 0
Le Havre
20 Aug 2023
Le Havre
1 - 2
Brest
1 Feb 2019
Le Havre
1 - 1
Brest
24 Aug 2018
Brest
1 - 0
Le Havre
15 May 2018
Le Havre
2 - 0
Brest
9 Feb 2018
Le Havre
1 - 0
Brest
15 Sept 2017
Brest
1 - 0
Le Havre
18 Feb 2017
Brest
2 - 0
Le Havre

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Le Havre
0.90
Form (Overall)
Brest
0.60

Le Havre is +50% better in terms of Points Per Game

Olympique Lyonnais
1 - 1
Le Havre
Le Havre
0 - 1
Monaco
Brest
2 - 2
Toulouse
Le Mans
2 - 2
Brest

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