Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Tips | Europa League - League phase | FootballTips.app

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

Home
Full Time
0 - 4
HT: 0 - 3
Thursday 15 October
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

Away
Lech PoznanTimelineBayer Leverkusen
1st Half
Yegbe T.Out: Monka W.
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15'
Schick P.Out: Terrier M.
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18'
Schick P.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
29'
Tillman M.
sports_soccer
32'
Skrzypczak M.
40'
Schick P.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
41'
2nd Half
Agnero Y.Out: Ishak M.
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60'
Jagiello F.Out: Bengtsson L.
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60'
Hakans D.Out: Walemark P.
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60'
Diaby M.Out: Tella N.
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62'
Andrich R.Out: Garcia A.
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62'
Medina F.Out: Gutierrez M.
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62'
Andrich R.
68'
Rodriguez P.Out: Berggren G.
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74'
Moreira A.Out: Schick P.
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76'
Diaby M.
80'
Maza I. (Moreira A.)
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89'
No statistics available for this match
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AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
14.49
X4.43
21.63

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
47
Best near-miss

Key Factors

Season: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Recent Form: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 3.75 GPG vs Away 2.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 0.50 conc vs Away 1.83 conc

donut_small Win Probabilities

46%
25%
29%
Lech Poznan
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.431.70-15.8%
Under 2.5 Goals2.702.43+11.0%
Lech Poznań Win4.602.16+113.1%
Draw4.334.04+7.2%
Bayer Leverkusen Win1.623.46-53.2%
BTTS - Yes1.491.68-11.4%
BTTS - No2.552.47+3.3%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Lech Poznan

Starting 11
-Mateusz Lis
GK5.50
-Michal Gurgul
DL5.93
-Terry Yegbe
DC4.87
-Wojciech Monka
DC6.66
-Joel Pereira
DR6.14
-Luis Palma
ML6.32
-Gustav Berggren
MC
-Pablo Rodríguez
MC5.94
-Patrik Wålemark
MR6.52
-Yannick Agnero
FW5.83
-Mikael Ishak
FW5.82

Bayer Leverkusen

Starting 11
-Mark Flekken
GK7.51
-Facundo Medina
DL7.74
-Edmond Tapsoba
DC7.26
-Loïc Badé
DC7.84
-Lucas Vázquez
DR7.00
-Robert Andrich
DMC6.62
-Aleix García
DMC8.54
-Martin Terrier
AML6.80
-Malik Tillman
AMC6.46
-Moussa Diaby
AMR6.65
-Patrik Schick
FW6.90
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Lech Poznań welcome Bayer Leverkusen to the Enea Stadion looking to recover from a difficult opening night in the Europa League. The Polish side were beaten 4-0 away by Crystal Palace, while Leverkusen began with a controlled 2-0 home victory over Celje.

Lech’s defeat in London continued a difficult sequence in this competition, with four consecutive Europa League losses in which they have conceded 12 goals and scored only once. Their home form offers considerably more encouragement, however, with six successive victories in all competitions and wins in both Europa League qualifying fixtures there this season.

Niels Frederiksen’s side also arrive on the back of an emphatic 4-1 away win over Śląsk Wrocław, with Patrik Wålemark making a decisive impact from the bench by scoring twice in three second-half minutes. That result highlighted the attacking threat Lech can carry when games become stretched.

Leverkusen have been much more consistent in Europe, winning 15 of their last 17 Europa League group or league-phase matches and the previous seven in succession. They have also scored in 11 consecutive games in all competitions and are unbeaten in their last five.

Their latest Bundesliga outing produced a dramatic 4-3 victory away to Mainz, where Robert Andrich and Patrik Schick scored inside the opening nine minutes before Jarell Quansah and Moussa Diaby contributed after the break. The four goals again demonstrated the variety of attacking routes available to Carles Martínez’s side, even if conceding three exposed some defensive vulnerability.

Lech’s excellent home run should prevent this from being straightforward, but history and current European form strongly favour the visitors. Leverkusen have won all four previous European meetings with Polish opposition and possess considerably greater depth and experience at this level.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 9 / 5 matches
Lech PoznanvsBayer Leverkusen
2.33Goals / Match2.80
0.89Conceded / Match1.60
3Clean Sheets2
6.33Shots on Target / Match6.40
54.0%Possession %59.6%
83.7%Pass Accuracy %87.4%

radarTeam Profile

Lech Poznan
Bayer Leverkusen
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
96Attack100
shield
46Defense50
swap_horiz
55Possession72
gps_fixed
67Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
88Creativity90
gavel
58Discipline56

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

21Goals Scored14
8Goals Conceded8
3Clean Sheets2
37Big Chances23
25Big Chances Missed15

gps_fixedShooting

168Total Shots106
57Shots on Target32

swap_horizPassing & Possession

54.0%Avg Possession59.6%
4,011Total Passes2,745
83.7%Pass Accuracy87.4%

shieldDefending

99Tackles71
66Interceptions44
19Saves10
49.8%Duels Won47.4%

gavelDiscipline

107Fouls62
14Yellow Cards8
13Offsides7

analyticsOther

62Corners40
52Successful Dribbles33
2Errors Leading to Goal2
7.62Avg Rating7.57

Statistical Comparison

Lech PoznanMetricBayer Leverkusen
0
Goals
1
0
Assists
1
5.9
Average Ratings
7
25.8
Average Age
29
184.1
Average Height (cm)
184.2
1.9
Shots pg
1.7
50%
Aerial Duel Success
57%
1.4
Dribbles pg
1.8
1.8
Tackles pg
1.7

history Recent Form

Lech PoznanLech Poznan
2.2 GPG
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
2.2 GPG

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Lech Poznan
2.20
Form (Overall)
Bayer Leverkusen
2.20

Both teams have equal form.

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