Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Prediction & Tips | Ekstraklasa | FootballTips.app

Lech Poznan
HomeFull Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Thursday 3 September

Jagiellonia
AwayLech PoznanTimelineJagiellonia
1st Half
Rodriguez P. (Pereira J.)
sports_soccer
43'
Kobayashi Y. (Vital B.)
sports_soccer
45+4'
2nd Half
Montoia G.Out: Kobayashi Y.
sync_alt
46'
Szmyt K.Out: Sow O.
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59'
Klynge A.Out: Lozano S.
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59'
Jagiello F.Out: Berggren G.
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63'
Agnero Y.Out: Sayyadmanesh A.
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64'
Finndell H.Out: Kozlowski E.
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68'
Bengtsson L.Out: Palma L.
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72'
Ishak M.Out: Rodriguez P.
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73'
Walemark P.
80'
Conceicao R.
80'
Sylla Y.Out: Prelec N.
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82'
Gumny R.Out: Walemark P.
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83'
Gumny R.Assist: Gurgul M.
sports_soccer
87'
Finndell H.
90+2'
Top stats
1.78Expected goals (xG)0.50
48%Ball possession52%
16Total shots10
6Shots on target2
3Big chances0
5Corner kicks2
80% (330/410)Passes84% (382/455)
1Yellow cards2
Shots
1.78Expected goals (xG)0.50
2.21xG on target (xGOT)0.18
16Total shots10
6Shots on target2
5Shots off target4
5Blocked shots4
9Shots inside the box3
7Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork0
2Headed goals0
Attack
3Big chances0
5Corner kicks2
19Touches in opposition box17
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides3
20Free kicks10
Passes
80% (330/410)Passes84% (382/455)
42% (18/43)Long passes47% (18/38)
60% (56/94)Passes in final third74% (75/102)
8% (1/13)Crosses33% (4/12)
0.88Expected assists (xA)0.79
24Throw ins10
Defense
10Fouls20
50% (3/6)Tackles75% (12/16)
31Duels won41
14Clearances30
12Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
1Goalkeeper saves4
0.18xGOT faced2.21
-0.82Goals prevented0.21
6Goal kicks7
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AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.61
X4.13
24.51
Recommended Bet
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Away Win
Odds: 4.10Stake: Medium (5/10)
52
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #5
Season: Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 2.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.67 PPG vs Away 2.17 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.40 GPG vs Away 2.40 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
49%
Lech Poznan Win
26%
Draw
26%
Jagiellonia Win
Lech Poznan
Draw
Jagiellonia
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.47 | 1.82 | — | -19.2% |
| Lech Poznań Win | 1.67 | 2.05 | 1.82 | -18.6% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 3.92 | 4.37 | +2.1% |
| Jagiellonia Białystok Win | 4.10 | 3.88 | 4.48 | +5.7% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.46 | 1.81 | — | -19.5% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Lech Poznan
Starting 11
7Mel Yannick Joel Agnero
CF6.66
17Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
RW7.36
10Patrik Wålemark
CAM6.99
21Pablo Rodríguez
CAM7.28
22Radosław Murawski
CDM6.68
43Antoni Kozubal
CDM7.00
2Joel Vieira Pereira
6.74
15Michał Gurgul
LB6.93
27Wojciech Mońka
CB6.92
59Terry Yegbe
CB7.01
1Mateusz Lis
GK7.10
Substitutes
56Wojciech Szymczak
CF
77Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera
LW7.06
5Gustav Berggren
CDM6.71
24Filip Jagiełło
CAM6.60
53Karol Delikat
7.22
20Robert Gumny
RB6.61
72Mateusz Skrzypczak
CB6.67
-Mateusz Pruchniewski
GK
Jagiellonia
Starting 11
7Kajetan Szmyt
LW7.00
99Nik Prelec
CF7.19
6Taras Romanchuk
CDM7.15
11Jesús Imaz Ballesté
CAM6.83
85Eryk Kozłowski
CDM7.12
4Yuki Kobayashi
CB6.71
15Norbert Wojtuszek
RB6.73
23Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
LB7.19
27Rodrigo Conceição
RB6.31
44Apostolos Konstantopoulos
CB4.52
50Slawomir Abramowicz
GK6.78
Substitutes
9Dimitris Rallis
6.62
17Youssuf Sylla
CF7.22
30Ousmane Sow
RW7.09
72Kamil Jóźwiak (Injured)
LW4.54
-Cezary Polak
LM
8Dawid Drachal
CAM6.84
14Hampus Finndell
CDM6.51
19Anders Klynge
CDM6.43
21Sergio Lozano Lluch
CAM7.50
5Bernardo Maria Morais Cardoso Vital
CB6.92
-Szymon Pankiewicz
RB
-Michał Perchel
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 4 matchesLech PoznanvsJagiellonia
2.00Goals / Match2.00
0.75Conceded / Match1.25
2Clean Sheets1
7.50Shots on Target / Match6.00
53.8%Possession %57.5%
83.4%Pass Accuracy %83.5%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
8Goals Scored8
3Goals Conceded5
2Clean Sheets1
15Big Chances10
10Big Chances Missed5
0Penalty Goals2
gps_fixedShooting
72Total Shots62
30Shots on Target24
swap_horizPassing & Possession
53.8%Avg Possession57.5%
1,742Total Passes1,854
83.4%Pass Accuracy83.5%
shieldDefending
41Tackles55
23Interceptions29
10Saves9
50.5%Duels Won50.0%
gavelDiscipline
49Fouls55
4Yellow Cards8
4Offsides5
analyticsOther
31Corners19
26Successful Dribbles28
1Errors Leading to Goal0
7.72Avg Rating7.51
history Recent Form
W
W
W
D
W
L
W
W
group Head to Head
PL4 Apr 2026
0-0
PL28 Sept 2025
2-2
PL16 Mar 2025
2-1
PL14 Sept 2024
5-0
PL17 Feb 2024
1-2
49%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
34 / 39 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
19 / 39 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
13 / 39 matches
Both Teams to Score
49%
19 / 39 matches
Lech Poznan CS
23%
Clean Sheets
Jagiellonia CS
31%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
4 Apr 2026
Jagiellonia Białystok
0 - 0
Lech Poznań
28 Sept 2025
Lech Poznań
2 - 2
Jagiellonia Białystok
16 Mar 2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
2 - 1
Lech Poznań
14 Sept 2024
Lech Poznań
5 - 0
Jagiellonia Białystok
17 Feb 2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
1 - 2
Lech Poznań
24 Oct 2023
Lech Poznań
3 - 3
Jagiellonia Białystok
27 May 2023
Lech Poznań
2 - 0
Jagiellonia Białystok
12 Nov 2022
Jagiellonia Białystok
1 - 2
Lech Poznań
19 Mar 2022
Lech Poznań
3 - 0
Jagiellonia Białystok
24 Sept 2021
Jagiellonia Białystok
1 - 0
Lech Poznań
20 Mar 2021
Lech Poznań
2 - 3
Jagiellonia Białystok
17 Oct 2020
Jagiellonia Białystok
2 - 1
Lech Poznań
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
2.30
Form (Overall)
2.30
Both teams have equal form.
Widzew Łódź
2 - 3
Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań
3 - 0
Piast Gliwice
Wieczysta Kraków
1 - 2
Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań
0 - 0
Cracovia Kraków
Raków Częstochowa
2 - 5
Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia Białystok
0 - 2
Widzew Łódź
Motor Lublin
1 - 2
Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia Białystok
1 - 0
Korona Kielce
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