Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Prediction & Tips | Ekstraklasa | FootballTips.app

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

Home
Full Time
2 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Thursday 3 September
Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

Away
Lech PoznanTimelineJagiellonia
1st Half
Rodriguez P. (Pereira J.)
sports_soccer
43'
Kobayashi Y. (Vital B.)
sports_soccer
45+4'
2nd Half
Montoia G.Out: Kobayashi Y.
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46'
Szmyt K.Out: Sow O.
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59'
Klynge A.Out: Lozano S.
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59'
Jagiello F.Out: Berggren G.
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63'
Agnero Y.Out: Sayyadmanesh A.
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64'
Finndell H.Out: Kozlowski E.
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68'
Bengtsson L.Out: Palma L.
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72'
Ishak M.Out: Rodriguez P.
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73'
Walemark P.
80'
Conceicao R.
80'
Sylla Y.Out: Prelec N.
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82'
Gumny R.Out: Walemark P.
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83'
Gumny R.Assist: Gurgul M.
sports_soccer
87'
Finndell H.
90+2'

Top stats

1.78Expected goals (xG)0.50
48%Ball possession52%
16Total shots10
6Shots on target2
3Big chances0
5Corner kicks2
80% (330/410)Passes84% (382/455)
1Yellow cards2

Shots

1.78Expected goals (xG)0.50
2.21xG on target (xGOT)0.18
16Total shots10
6Shots on target2
5Shots off target4
5Blocked shots4
9Shots inside the box3
7Shots outside the box7
0Hit the woodwork0
2Headed goals0

Attack

3Big chances0
5Corner kicks2
19Touches in opposition box17
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides3
20Free kicks10

Passes

80% (330/410)Passes84% (382/455)
42% (18/43)Long passes47% (18/38)
60% (56/94)Passes in final third74% (75/102)
8% (1/13)Crosses33% (4/12)
0.88Expected assists (xA)0.79
24Throw ins10

Defense

10Fouls20
50% (3/6)Tackles75% (12/16)
31Duels won41
14Clearances30
12Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves4
0.18xGOT faced2.21
-0.82Goals prevented0.21
6Goal kicks7
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AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.61
X4.13
24.51

Recommended Bet

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Away Win
Odds: 4.10Stake: Medium (5/10)
52
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #5
Season: Home 2.30 PPG vs Away 2.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 2.67 PPG vs Away 2.17 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.40 GPG vs Away 2.40 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

49%
26%
26%
Lech Poznan
Draw
Jagiellonia
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.471.82-19.2%
Lech Poznań Win1.672.05-18.6%
Draw4.003.92+2.1%
Jagiellonia Białystok Win4.103.88+5.7%
BTTS - Yes1.461.81-19.5%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Lech Poznan

Starting 11
7Mel Yannick Joel Agnero
CF6.66
17Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
RW7.36
10Patrik Wålemark
CAM6.99
21Pablo Rodríguez
CAM7.28
22Radosław Murawski
CDM6.68
43Antoni Kozubal
CDM7.00
2Joel Vieira Pereira
6.74
15Michał Gurgul
LB6.93
27Wojciech Mońka
CB6.92
59Terry Yegbe
CB7.01
1Mateusz Lis
GK7.10
Substitutes
56Wojciech Szymczak
CF
77Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera
LW7.06
5Gustav Berggren
CDM6.71
24Filip Jagiełło
CAM6.60
53Karol Delikat
7.22
20Robert Gumny
RB6.61
72Mateusz Skrzypczak
CB6.67
-Mateusz Pruchniewski
GK

Jagiellonia

Starting 11
7Kajetan Szmyt
LW7.00
99Nik Prelec
CF7.19
6Taras Romanchuk
CDM7.15
11Jesús Imaz Ballesté
CAM6.83
85Eryk Kozłowski
CDM7.12
4Yuki Kobayashi
CB6.71
15Norbert Wojtuszek
RB6.73
23Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia
LB7.19
27Rodrigo Conceição
RB6.31
44Apostolos Konstantopoulos
CB4.52
50Slawomir Abramowicz
GK6.78
Substitutes
9Dimitris Rallis
6.62
17Youssuf Sylla
CF7.22
30Ousmane Sow
RW7.09
72Kamil Jóźwiak (Injured)
LW4.54
-Cezary Polak
LM
8Dawid Drachal
CAM6.84
14Hampus Finndell
CDM6.51
19Anders Klynge
CDM6.43
21Sergio Lozano Lluch
CAM7.50
5Bernardo Maria Morais Cardoso Vital
CB6.92
-Szymon Pankiewicz
RB
-Michał Perchel
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 matches
Lech PoznanvsJagiellonia
2.00Goals / Match2.00
0.75Conceded / Match1.25
2Clean Sheets1
7.50Shots on Target / Match6.00
53.8%Possession %57.5%
83.4%Pass Accuracy %83.5%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

8Goals Scored8
3Goals Conceded5
2Clean Sheets1
15Big Chances10
10Big Chances Missed5
0Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

72Total Shots62
30Shots on Target24

swap_horizPassing & Possession

53.8%Avg Possession57.5%
1,742Total Passes1,854
83.4%Pass Accuracy83.5%

shieldDefending

41Tackles55
23Interceptions29
10Saves9
50.5%Duels Won50.0%

gavelDiscipline

49Fouls55
4Yellow Cards8
4Offsides5

analyticsOther

31Corners19
26Successful Dribbles28
1Errors Leading to Goal0
7.72Avg Rating7.51

history Recent Form

Lech PoznanLech Poznan
2.3 GPG
W
W
W
D
JagielloniaJagiellonia
2.3 GPG
W
L
W
W

group Head to Head

PL4 Apr 2026
Jagiellonia Białystok
0-0
Lech Poznań
PL28 Sept 2025
Lech Poznań
2-2
Jagiellonia Białystok
PL16 Mar 2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
2-1
Lech Poznań
PL14 Sept 2024
Lech Poznań
5-0
Jagiellonia Białystok
PL17 Feb 2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
1-2
Lech Poznań
49%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
87%
34 / 39 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
19 / 39 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
13 / 39 matches
Both Teams to Score
49%
19 / 39 matches
Lech Poznan CS
23%
Clean Sheets
Jagiellonia CS
31%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

4 Apr 2026
Jagiellonia Białystok
0 - 0
Lech Poznań
28 Sept 2025
Lech Poznań
2 - 2
Jagiellonia Białystok
16 Mar 2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
2 - 1
Lech Poznań
14 Sept 2024
Lech Poznań
5 - 0
Jagiellonia Białystok
17 Feb 2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
1 - 2
Lech Poznań
24 Oct 2023
Lech Poznań
3 - 3
Jagiellonia Białystok
27 May 2023
Lech Poznań
2 - 0
Jagiellonia Białystok
12 Nov 2022
Jagiellonia Białystok
1 - 2
Lech Poznań
19 Mar 2022
Lech Poznań
3 - 0
Jagiellonia Białystok
24 Sept 2021
Jagiellonia Białystok
1 - 0
Lech Poznań
20 Mar 2021
Lech Poznań
2 - 3
Jagiellonia Białystok
17 Oct 2020
Jagiellonia Białystok
2 - 1
Lech Poznań

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Lech Poznan
2.30
Form (Overall)
Jagiellonia
2.30

Both teams have equal form.

Widzew Łódź
2 - 3
Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań
3 - 0
Piast Gliwice
Wieczysta Kraków
1 - 2
Lech Poznań
Lech Poznań
0 - 0
Cracovia Kraków
Raków Częstochowa
2 - 5
Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia Białystok
0 - 2
Widzew Łódź
Motor Lublin
1 - 2
Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia Białystok
1 - 0
Korona Kielce

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