Leeds vs Burnley Prediction & Tips | Premier League

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Leeds

Home

Full Time

3 - 1

HT: 1 - 0

Friday 1 May

Burnley

Away

LeedsTimelineBurnley

1st Half

Stach A. (Bijol J.)

sports_soccer

Struijk P.

27'

Humphreys B.

35'

Tchaouna L.

37'

Rodon J.

40'

2nd Half

Calvert-Lewin D.

48'

Okafor N.Assist: Bogle J.

sports_soccer

52'

Mejbri H.Out: Laurent J.

sync_alt

54'

Calvert-Lewin D.

sports_soccer

56'

Nmecha L.Out: Okafor N.

sync_alt

65'

Lucas PiresOut: Hartman Q.

sync_alt

65'

FlorentinoOut: Ward-Prowse J.

sync_alt

65'

Tchaouna L. (Anthony J.)

sports_soccer

71'

Aaronson B.Out: Stach A.

sync_alt

72'

Longstaff S.Out: Tanaka A.

sync_alt

72'

Ampadu E.

75'

Amdouni Z.Out: Humphreys B.

sync_alt

76'

Broja A.Out: Flemming Z.

sync_alt

76'

Mejbri H.

88'

James D.Out: Bogle J.

sync_alt

90+4'

Gnonto W.Out: Calvert-Lewin D.

sync_alt

90+4'

Top stats

1.68Expected goals (xG)0.54

48%Ball possession52%

18Total shots9

8Shots on target3

2Big chances0

5Corner kicks0

79% (358/451)Passes83% (416/504)

4Yellow cards3

Shots

1.68Expected goals (xG)0.54

2.42xG on target (xGOT)0.26

18Total shots9

8Shots on target3

5Shots off target2

5Blocked shots4

11Shots inside the box5

7Shots outside the box4

0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances0

5Corner kicks0

26Touches in opposition box17

0Accurate through passes1

0Offsides1

11Free kicks12

Passes

79% (358/451)Passes83% (416/504)

42% (24/57)Long passes40% (20/50)

55% (68/123)Passes in final third66% (67/102)

30% (6/20)Crosses63% (5/8)

0.76Expected assists (xA)0.50

14Throw ins22

Defense

12Fouls11

70% (7/10)Tackles46% (6/13)

46Duels won53

14Clearances32

12Interceptions8

0Errors leading to shot1

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves5

0.26xGOT faced2.42

-0.74Goals prevented-0.58

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.37

X5.27

28.70

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Medium (7/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #15 vs Away #19

Season: Home 1.18 PPG vs Away 0.59 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 0.10 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.47 GPG vs Away 1.12 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

82%

Leeds

Draw

Burnley

Match Preview

Leeds' FA Cup dream might be over following last Sunday's semi-final defeat to Chelsea, but they're still in a good moment and can virtually clinch Premier League safety with a victory here.

Seven of their nine top-flight wins this season have come at Elland Road and another will send them nine points clear of the relegation zone.

A fourth straight defeat against Manchester City last week saw Burnley's relegation to the Championship confirmed after what has been a miserable season for Scott Parker's side.

The Clarets won their last trip to Elland Road back in September 2024.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Leeds

Starting 11

-Karl Darlow

GK6.62

-Joe Rodon

DC6.64

-Pascal Struijk

DC6.87

-James Justin

DC6.73

-Gabriel Gudmundsson

DML6.65

-Ao Tanaka

MC6.38

-Ethan Ampadu

MC6.83

-Jayden Bogle

DMR6.51

-Brenden Aaronson

AMC6.66

-Noah Okafor

AMC6.70

-Dominic Calvert-Lewin

FW6.83

Burnley

Starting 11

-Martin Dúbravka

GK6.74

-Quilindschy Hartman

DL6.66

-Maxime Estève

DC6.53

-Hjalmar Ekdal

DC6.54

-Kyle Walker

DR6.46

-James Ward-Prowse

DMC6.57

-Florentino

DMC6.46

-Jaidon Anthony

AML6.58

-Lesley Ugochukwu

AMC6.34

-Marcus Edwards

AMR6.31

-Zian Flemming

FW6.61

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 matches

LeedsvsBurnley

radarTeam Profile

Leeds

Burnley

sports_soccer

39Attack18

shield

47Defense36

swap_horiz

40Possession32

gps_fixed

56Efficiency63

auto_fix_high

26Creativity19

gavel

61Discipline57

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

44Goals Scored34

51Goals Conceded68

7Clean Sheets4

82Big Chances50

54Big Chances Missed29

5Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

429Total Shots310

135Shots on Target101

swap_horizPassing & Possession

45.7%Avg Possession41.5%

13,518Total Passes12,953

79.7%Pass Accuracy78.7%

shieldDefending

593Tackles573

309Interceptions312

86Saves122

49.2%Duels Won46.8%

gavelDiscipline

356Fouls339

54Yellow Cards56

1Red Cards3

53Offsides55

analyticsOther

150Corners126

191Successful Dribbles171

3Errors Leading to Goal11

6.77Avg Rating6.65

Statistical Comparison

LeedsMetricBurnley

Goals

Assists

6.5

Average Ratings

6.4

27.3

Average Age

27.7

184.1

Average Height (cm)

184

0.8

Shots pg

0.6

47%

Aerial Duel Success

46%

0.4

Dribbles pg

0.3

1.2

Tackles pg

1.3

history Recent Form

Leeds

1.2 GPG

Burnley

0.6 GPG

group Head to Head

PL18 Oct 2025

2-0

PL27 Jan 2025

0-0

PL14 Sept 2024

0-1

PL2 Jan 2022

3-1

PL29 Aug 2021

1-1

44%

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

61%

11 / 18 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

44%

8 / 18 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

22%

4 / 18 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

9 / 18 matches

Leeds CS

28%

Clean Sheets

Burnley CS

28%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

18 Oct 2025

Burnley

2 - 0

Leeds United

27 Jan 2025

Burnley

0 - 0

Leeds United

14 Sept 2024

Leeds United

0 - 1

Burnley

2 Jan 2022

Leeds United

3 - 1

Burnley

29 Aug 2021

Burnley

1 - 1

Leeds United

15 May 2021

Burnley

0 - 4

Leeds United

27 Dec 2020

Leeds United

1 - 0

Burnley

19 Sept 2017

Burnley

2 - 2

Leeds United

9 Apr 2016

Burnley

1 - 0

Leeds United

8 Aug 2015

Leeds United

1 - 1

Burnley

15 Mar 2014

Burnley

2 - 1

Leeds United

21 Sept 2013

Leeds United

1 - 2

Burnley

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.18

Form (Overall)

0.59

Leeds is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game

AFC Bournemouth

2 - 2

Leeds United

3 - 0

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Manchester United

1 - 2

Leeds United

0 - 0

Brentford

Crystal Palace

0 - 0

Leeds United

Burnley

0 - 1

Manchester City

Nottingham Forest

4 - 1

Burnley

0 - 2

Brighton & Hove Albion

Fulham

3 - 1

Burnley

0 - 0

AFC Bournemouth

auto_awesome

AI Prediction

verified Very High Confidence

11.37

X5.27

28.70

Recommended Bet

Home Win

Stake: Medium (7/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #15 vs Away #19

Season: Home 1.18 PPG vs Away 0.59 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.90 PPG vs Away 0.10 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.47 GPG vs Away 1.12 GPG

Match Preview

Leeds' FA Cup dream might be over following last Sunday's semi-final defeat to Chelsea, but they're still in a good moment and can virtually clinch Premier League safety with a victory here.

Seven of their nine top-flight wins this season have come at Elland Road and another will send them nine points clear of the relegation zone.

A fourth straight defeat against Manchester City last week saw Burnley's relegation to the Championship confirmed after what has been a miserable season for Scott Parker's side.

The Clarets won their last trip to Elland Road back in September 2024.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 34 matches

LeedsvsBurnley

radarTeam Profile

Leeds

Burnley

sports_soccer

39Attack18

shield

47Defense36

swap_horiz

40Possession32

gps_fixed

56Efficiency63

auto_fix_high

26Creativity19

gavel

61Discipline57

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

44Goals Scored34

51Goals Conceded68

7Clean Sheets4

82Big Chances50

54Big Chances Missed29

5Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

429Total Shots310

135Shots on Target101

swap_horizPassing & Possession

45.7%Avg Possession41.5%

13,518Total Passes12,953

79.7%Pass Accuracy78.7%

shieldDefending

593Tackles573

309Interceptions312

86Saves122

49.2%Duels Won46.8%

gavelDiscipline

356Fouls339

54Yellow Cards56

1Red Cards3

53Offsides55

analyticsOther

150Corners126

191Successful Dribbles171

3Errors Leading to Goal11

6.77Avg Rating6.65

history Recent Form

Leeds

1.2 GPG

Burnley

0.6 GPG

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

61%

11 / 18 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

44%

8 / 18 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

22%

4 / 18 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

9 / 18 matches

Leeds CS

28%

Clean Sheets

Burnley CS

28%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

18 Oct 2025

Burnley

2 - 0

Leeds United

27 Jan 2025

Burnley

0 - 0

Leeds United

14 Sept 2024

Leeds United

0 - 1

Burnley

2 Jan 2022

Leeds United

3 - 1

Burnley

29 Aug 2021

Burnley

1 - 1

Leeds United

15 May 2021

Burnley

0 - 4

Leeds United

27 Dec 2020

Leeds United

1 - 0

Burnley

19 Sept 2017

Burnley

2 - 2

Leeds United

9 Apr 2016

Burnley

1 - 0

Leeds United

8 Aug 2015

Leeds United

1 - 1

Burnley

15 Mar 2014

Burnley

2 - 1

Leeds United

21 Sept 2013

Leeds United

1 - 2

Burnley

donut_small Win Probabilities

82%

Leeds

Draw

Burnley

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Leeds

Starting 11

-Karl Darlow

GK6.62

-Joe Rodon

DC6.64

-Pascal Struijk

DC6.87

-James Justin

DC6.73

-Gabriel Gudmundsson

DML6.65

-Ao Tanaka

MC6.38

-Ethan Ampadu

MC6.83

-Jayden Bogle

DMR6.51

-Brenden Aaronson

AMC6.66

-Noah Okafor

AMC6.70

-Dominic Calvert-Lewin

FW6.83

Burnley

Starting 11

-Martin Dúbravka

GK6.74

-Quilindschy Hartman

DL6.66

-Maxime Estève

DC6.53

-Hjalmar Ekdal

DC6.54

-Kyle Walker

DR6.46

-James Ward-Prowse

DMC6.57

-Florentino

DMC6.46

-Jaidon Anthony

AML6.58

-Lesley Ugochukwu

AMC6.34

-Marcus Edwards

AMR6.31

-Zian Flemming

FW6.61

Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Statistical Comparison

LeedsMetricBurnley

Goals

Assists

6.5

Average Ratings

6.4

27.3

Average Age

27.7

184.1

Average Height (cm)

184

0.8

Shots pg

0.6

47%

Aerial Duel Success

46%

0.4

Dribbles pg

0.3

1.2

Tackles pg

1.3

group Head to Head

PL18 Oct 2025

2-0

PL27 Jan 2025

0-0

PL14 Sept 2024

0-1

PL2 Jan 2022

3-1

PL29 Aug 2021

1-1

44%

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

Both Team Score

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.18

Form (Overall)

0.59

Leeds is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game

AFC Bournemouth

2 - 2

Leeds United

3 - 0

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Manchester United

1 - 2

Leeds United

0 - 0

Brentford

Crystal Palace

0 - 0

Leeds United

Burnley

0 - 1

Manchester City

Nottingham Forest

4 - 1

Burnley

0 - 2

Brighton & Hove Albion

Fulham

3 - 1

Burnley

0 - 0

AFC Bournemouth

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Leeds vs Burnley Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Leeds

Burnley

Top stats

Shots

Attack

Passes

Defense

Goalkeeping

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

donut_small Win Probabilities

Match Preview

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Leeds

Starting 11

Burnley

Starting 11

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

Statistical Comparison

history Recent Form

group Head to Head

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

Current Form Comparison

Recommended Bet

Key Factors

Match Preview

compareTeam Comparison

radarTeam Profile

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

gps_fixedShooting

swap_horizPassing & Possession

shieldDefending

gavelDiscipline

analyticsOther

history Recent Form

Head-to-Head Detailed

Recent Matches

donut_small Win Probabilities

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Leeds

Starting 11

Burnley

Starting 11

Statistical Comparison

group Head to Head

Current Form Comparison

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