Leeds vs Manchester City Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Leeds

Leeds

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Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 28 February
Manchester City

Manchester City

Away
LeedsTimelineManchester City
1st Half
Semenyo A.Assist: Ait-Nouri R.
sports_soccer
45+2'
2nd Half
Nmecha L.Out: Aaronson B.
sync_alt
65'
SavinhoOut: Marmoush O.
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68'
Reijnders T.Out: O'Reilly N.
sync_alt
70'
Gnonto W.Out: Gruev I.
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75'
James D.Out: Bogle J.
sync_alt
76'
Donnarumma G.
85'
Piroe J.Out: Justin J.
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87'
Bijol J.Out: Rodon J.
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87'
Ake N.Out: Cherki R.
sync_alt
88'
Ait-Nouri R.
90+2'
Savinho
90+2'
Farke D.
90+7'

Top stats

1.47Expected goals (xG)1.77
33%Ball possession67%
14Total shots14
2Shots on target5
2Big chances4
5Corner kicks3
73% (228/311)Passes90% (582/649)
0Yellow cards3

Shots

1.47Expected goals (xG)1.77
0.47xG on target (xGOT)2.41
14Total shots14
2Shots on target5
7Shots off target5
5Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box11
7Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances4
5Corner kicks3
23Touches in opposition box26
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides4
8Free kicks10

Passes

73% (228/311)Passes90% (582/649)
38% (18/47)Long passes52% (24/46)
57% (50/88)Passes in final third85% (180/211)
19% (4/21)Crosses24% (5/21)
0.93Expected assists (xA)1.31
21Throw ins13

Defense

10Fouls8
31% (4/13)Tackles41% (7/17)
31Duels won57
27Clearances40
8Interceptions0
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves2
2.41xGOT faced0.47
1.41Goals prevented0.47
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
15.18
X4.32
21.65

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Away Win
Stake: High (9/10)
88
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #15 vs Away #2
Season: Home 1.15 PPG vs Away 2.07 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.25 PPG vs Away 2.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.69 GPG vs Away 1.69 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

3%
3%
94%
Leeds
Draw
Manchester City

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Leeds

Starting 11
-Karl Darlow
GK6.46
-Jaka Bijol
DC6.76
-Pascal Struijk
DC6.79
-Joe Rodon
DC6.65
-Gabriel Gudmundsson
DML6.70
-Ilia Gruev
MC6.46
-Ethan Ampadu
MC6.81
-Brenden Aaronson
MC6.70
-Jayden Bogle
DMR6.49
-Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FW6.86
-Lukas Nmecha
FW6.33

Manchester City

Starting 11
-Gianluigi Donnarumma
GK6.87
-Rayan Aït-Nouri
DL6.61
-Marc Guéhi
DC7.41
-Rúben Dias
DC6.95
-Matheus Nunes
DR7.02
-Rodri
DMC6.85
-Nico O'Reilly
DMC6.96
-Omar Marmoush
AML6.44
-Bernardo Silva
AMC6.72
-Antoine Semenyo
AMR7.23
-Erling Haaland
FW7.59
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Leeds United will host Manchester City in a Premier League fixture at Elland Road on February 28, 2026 GMT.

Leeds United has been involved in draws in 67% of their last 6 matches, whereas Manchester City has notched 4 wins in their recent 6 league outings.

In head-to-head statistics, Leeds United has struggled, losing 83% of their last 6 encounters against Manchester City in the Premier League.

When it comes to goals, Leeds United has witnessed Over 2.5 goals in their recent matches against Manchester City, with Manchester City scoring 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 league fixtures.

With a history of high-scoring encounters between these two sides, this match is likely to see Over 2.5 goals scored.

Model Prediction: Over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Leeds continued their incredible record against the top sides this season after drawing 1-1 at Aston Villa and it would have been even better had Tammy Abraham not scored a late equaliser.

But avoiding defeat against Manchester City would mark arguably their best result of the campaign, especially considering they've lost their last five meetings, conceding 19 goals in the process.

Manchester City are really starting to ramp up the pressure on leaders Arsenal and can once again close the gap to just two points with a fourth win on the bounce.

Four of City's five defeats this season have come on the road, but they should have far too much quality for Leeds.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 27 matches
LeedsvsManchester City
1.37Goals / Match2.07
1.70Conceded / Match0.93
4Clean Sheets11
3.96Shots on Target / Match5.15
45.1%Possession %58.9%
80.0%Pass Accuracy %88.1%

radarTeam Profile

Leeds
Manchester City
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
41Attack72
shield
42Defense63
swap_horiz
40Possession83
gps_fixed
62Efficiency79
auto_fix_high
29Creativity73
gavel
62Discipline60

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

37Goals Scored56
46Goals Conceded25
4Clean Sheets11
66Big Chances85
41Big Chances Missed54
4Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

331Total Shots383
107Shots on Target139

swap_horizPassing & Possession

45.1%Avg Possession58.9%
10,735Total Passes15,423
80.0%Pass Accuracy88.1%

shieldDefending

487Tackles411
252Interceptions226
68Saves71
49.6%Duels Won52.1%

gavelDiscipline

280Fouls275
45Yellow Cards51
46Offsides33

analyticsOther

117Corners146
156Successful Dribbles266
3Errors Leading to Goal3
6.74Avg Rating7.00

Statistical Comparison

LeedsMetricManchester City
37
Goals
53
19
Assists
42
6.5
Average Ratings
6.8
27
Average Age
26.3
185.2
Average Height (cm)
186.1
0.8
Shots pg
1
48%
Aerial Duel Success
57%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.3
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Leeds

PosTeamPWDLPts
14Brighton27810934
15Leeds United277101031
16Tottenham27781229

For Manchester City

PosTeamPWDLPts
1Arsenal28187361
2Manchester City27175556
3Aston Villa28156751

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

44.7/ 91.8
Dangerous Attacks
62.1/ 111.9
32.0%
Shots on Target
38.0%
13.2
Total Shots
15.1
47.0%
Possession
61.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
2.3
1.6
Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Leeds Wins
17%
0
Draws
0%
5
Manchester City Wins
83%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketLeedsManchester City
Over 1.5 Goals
83%25/30
130%39/30
Over 2.5 Goals
57%17/30
80%24/30
Both Teams to Score
70%21/30
67%20/30
* Based on last 30 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Leeds

EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 0
Fulham
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Leeds United
4 - 1
Crystal Palace
EPL
Leeds United
3 - 3
Liverpool

Home Games: Leeds

EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 0
Fulham
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Leeds United
4 - 1
Crystal Palace
EPL
Leeds United
3 - 3
Liverpool

Last 6: Manchester City

EPL
Liverpool
1 - 2
Manchester City
EPL
Tottenham
2 - 2
Manchester City
UCL
Bodo/Glimt
3 - 1
Manchester City
EPL
Manchester United
2 - 0
Manchester City
EFL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Manchester City
EPL
Sunderland
0 - 0
Manchester City

Away Games: Manchester City

EPL
Liverpool
1 - 2
Manchester City
EPL
Tottenham
2 - 2
Manchester City
UCL
Bodo/Glimt
3 - 1
Manchester City
EPL
Manchester United
2 - 0
Manchester City
EFL
Newcastle United
0 - 2
Manchester City
EPL
Sunderland
0 - 0
Manchester City

history Recent Form

LeedsLeeds
1.1 GPG
D
D
W
L
D
Manchester CityManchester City
2.1 GPG
W
W
W
D
W

group Head to Head

PL29 Nov 2025
Manchester City
3-2
Leeds United
PL6 May 2023
Manchester City
2-1
Leeds United
PL28 Dec 2022
Leeds United
1-3
Manchester City
PL30 Apr 2022
Leeds United
0-4
Manchester City
PL14 Dec 2021
Manchester City
7-0
Leeds United
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
8 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
88%
7 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
63%
5 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
63%
5 / 8 matches
Leeds CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City CS
38%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

29 Nov 2025
Manchester City
3 - 2
Leeds United
6 May 2023
Manchester City
2 - 1
Leeds United
28 Dec 2022
Leeds United
1 - 3
Manchester City
30 Apr 2022
Leeds United
0 - 4
Manchester City
14 Dec 2021
Manchester City
7 - 0
Leeds United
10 Apr 2021
Manchester City
1 - 2
Leeds United
3 Oct 2020
Leeds United
1 - 1
Manchester City
17 Feb 2013
Manchester City
4 - 0
Leeds United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Leeds
1.15
Form (Overall)
Manchester City
2.07

Manchester City is +80% better in terms of Points Per Game

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Leeds United
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
Manchester City
2 - 1
Newcastle United
Manchester City
3 - 0
Fulham
Liverpool
1 - 2
Manchester City
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 2
Manchester City
Manchester City
2 - 0
Wolverhampton Wanderers

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