Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Leeds

Leeds

Home
11h
19:00
Premier League
Newcastle

Newcastle

Away

Who wins?

auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Model Confidence
12.31
X3.57
23.00

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #10
Season: Home 2.10 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.53 PPG vs Away 0.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.33 GPG vs Away 1.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

46%
30%
24%
Leeds
Draw
Newcastle
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.861.99-6.5%
Under 2.5 Goals2.002.01-0.5%
Leeds United Win2.352.19+7.2%
Draw3.503.32+5.4%
Newcastle United Win2.954.12-28.4%
BTTS - Yes1.601.80-11.2%
BTTS - No2.202.25-2.1%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Leeds have been one of the surprise packages at the start of this Premier League season, picking up five points from their first three games.

Daniel Farke's side came crashing back down to earth on Wednesday after being thumped by Chelsea in the Carabao Cup, but they're strong at Elland Road and are unbeaten at home for six months.

Newcastle's feel-good factor is still going strong under new boss Matthias Jaissle, and they head to Elland Road on a five-game unbeaten run in all competitions this season following Tuesday's Carabao Cup win at Millwall.

The Toon have lost just two of their last 10 trips to Leeds (W5 D3).

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Leeds

Starting 11
-James Trafford
GK7.18
-Tarik Muharemovic
DC7.38
-Nico Elvedi
DC6.76
-James Justin
DC7.17
-Gabriel Gudmundsson
DML6.67
-Ethan Ampadu
MC6.94
-Anton Stach
MC7.35
-Ao Tanaka
MC6.94
-Jayden Bogle
DMR6.92
-Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FW6.70
-Noah Okafor
FW6.62

Newcastle

Starting 11
-Lukás Hornícek
GK7.02
-Lewis Hall
DL7.59
-Sven Botman
DC6.36
-Malick Thiaw
DC6.42
-Amar Dedic
DR6.90
-Nico González
DMC6.34
-Lewis Miley
DMC6.64
-Harvey Barnes
AML6.75
-Joe Willock
AMC6.59
-Anthony Elanga
AMR7.11
-Yoane Wissa
FW6.84
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 3 matches
LeedsvsNewcastle
1.00Goals / Match2.00
0.67Conceded / Match1.33
1Clean Sheets1
3.33Shots on Target / Match2.67
41.3%Possession %46.3%
72.3%Pass Accuracy %81.1%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

3Goals Scored6
2Goals Conceded4
1Clean Sheets1
6Big Chances5
4Big Chances Missed3

gps_fixedShooting

33Total Shots32
10Shots on Target8

swap_horizPassing & Possession

41.3%Avg Possession46.3%
947Total Passes1,128
72.3%Pass Accuracy81.1%

shieldDefending

55Tackles36
34Interceptions13
11Saves13
52.7%Duels Won49.7%

gavelDiscipline

35Fouls44
4Yellow Cards9
7Offsides4

analyticsOther

13Corners13
23Successful Dribbles23
7.27Avg Rating7.54

Statistical Comparison

LeedsMetricNewcastle
3
Goals
6
2
Assists
5
6.8
Average Ratings
6.5
26.5
Average Age
24.9
186.1
Average Height (cm)
184.1
1
Shots pg
1.2
49%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
1
Dribbles pg
0.8
2
Tackles pg
1.3

history Recent Form

LeedsLeeds
2.1 GPG
D
D
W
NewcastleNewcastle
1.5 GPG

group Head to Head

PL7 Jan 2026
Newcastle United
4-3
Leeds United
PL30 Aug 2025
Leeds United
0-0
Newcastle United
PL13 May 2023
Leeds United
2-2
Newcastle United
PL31 Dec 2022
Newcastle United
0-0
Leeds United
PL22 Jan 2022
Leeds United
0-1
Newcastle United
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
73%
8 / 11 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
4 / 11 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3 / 11 matches
Both Teams to Score
55%
6 / 11 matches
Leeds CS
18%
Clean Sheets
Newcastle CS
45%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

7 Jan 2026
Newcastle United
4 - 3
Leeds United
30 Aug 2025
Leeds United
0 - 0
Newcastle United
13 May 2023
Leeds United
2 - 2
Newcastle United
31 Dec 2022
Newcastle United
0 - 0
Leeds United
22 Jan 2022
Leeds United
0 - 1
Newcastle United
17 Sept 2021
Newcastle United
1 - 1
Leeds United
26 Jan 2021
Newcastle United
1 - 2
Leeds United
16 Dec 2020
Leeds United
5 - 2
Newcastle United
14 Apr 2017
Newcastle United
1 - 1
Leeds United
20 Nov 2016
Leeds United
0 - 2
Newcastle United
25 Sept 2013
Newcastle United
2 - 0
Leeds United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Leeds
2.10
Form (Overall)
Newcastle
1.50

Leeds is +40% better in terms of Points Per Game

Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Leeds United
Leeds United
1 - 1
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Leeds United

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.