Leeds vs Nottingham Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Leeds

Leeds

Home
Full Time
3 - 1
HT: 2 - 0
Friday 6 February
Nottingham

Nottingham

Away
LeedsTimelineNottingham
1st Half
Bogle J. (Gruev I.)
sports_soccer
26'
Okafor N.Assist: Justin J.
sports_soccer
30'
2nd Half
Calvert-Lewin D. (Gruev I.)
sports_soccer
49'
Hutchinson O.Out: Dominguez N.
sync_alt
54'
Lucca L.Out: Igor Jesus
sync_alt
54'
Okafor N.
61'
Sangare I.
62'
Yates R.Out: Gibbs-White M.
sync_alt
67'
Ndoye D.Out: Hudson-Odoi C.
sync_alt
67'
Netz L.Out: Abbott Z.
sync_alt
76'
James D.Out: Aaronson B.
sync_alt
78'
Longstaff S.Out: Okafor N.
sync_alt
82'
Lucca L. (Hutchinson O.)
sports_soccer
86'
Bornauw S.Out: Bogle J.
sync_alt
90+6'

Top stats

2.50Expected goals (xG)1.12
56%Ball possession44%
14Total shots16
5Shots on target6
7Big chances2
5Corner kicks10
84% (393/470)Passes78% (272/347)
1Yellow cards1

Shots

2.50Expected goals (xG)1.12
2.94xG on target (xGOT)1.21
14Total shots16
5Shots on target6
3Shots off target6
6Blocked shots4
13Shots inside the box9
1Shots outside the box7
1Hit the woodwork0
0Headed goals1

Attack

7Big chances2
5Corner kicks10
30Touches in opposition box24
1Accurate through passes0
1Offsides4
12Free kicks9

Passes

84% (393/470)Passes78% (272/347)
33% (16/48)Long passes45% (23/51)
69% (72/105)Passes in final third70% (74/105)
44% (7/16)Crosses32% (11/34)
1.29Expected assists (xA)1.27
12Throw ins22

Defense

9Fouls12
73% (16/22)Tackles71% (10/14)
63Duels won50
35Clearances18
5Interceptions7
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

5Goalkeeper saves2
1.21xGOT faced2.94
0.21Goals prevented-0.06
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
12.21
X3.35
23.60

Recommended Bet

cancel
Draw
Stake: Medium (7/10)
70
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #17 vs Away #16
Season: Home 1.08 PPG vs Away 1.08 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.95 PPG vs Away 1.70 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.58 GPG vs Away 0.92 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

37%
40%
23%
Leeds
Draw
Nottingham

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Leeds

Starting 11
-Karl Darlow
GK6.33
-James Justin
DC6.48
-Pascal Struijk
DC6.77
-Joe Rodon
DC6.63
-Gabriel Gudmundsson
DML6.69
-Ilia Gruev
MC6.35
-Ethan Ampadu
MC6.79
-Anton Stach
MC7.11
-Jayden Bogle
DMR6.40
-Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FW6.81
-Brenden Aaronson
FW6.73

Nottingham

Starting 11
-Angus Gunn
GK6.13
-Ola Aina
DL6.87
-Nikola Milenkovic
DC6.57
-Murillo
DC6.85
-Zach Abbott
DR6.59
-Ibrahim Sangaré
DMC6.65
-Elliot Anderson
DMC7.08
-Nicolás Domínguez
AML6.45
-Morgan Gibbs-White
AMC6.60
-Dan Ndoye
AMR6.45
-Igor Jesus
FW6.48
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Leeds United will face Nottingham Forest in a Premier League match at Elland Road on February 6, 2026.

The teams are neck and neck in the standings, with both Leeds United and Nottingham Forest sitting in the 16th and 17th positions, respectively, each with 26 points.

In their recent performances, Leeds United has secured 3 wins in their last 6 home matches, while Nottingham Forest has also claimed victory in 3 of their last 6 away matches in the league.

In head-to-head encounters, Leeds United has struggled against Nottingham Forest, losing 67 percent of their last 6 matches.

With such a closely contested match expected, the outcome remains uncertain.

The statistics and standings imply a game of intense competition as both teams look to gain an edge over the other.

Prediction: Leeds United and Nottingham Forest are likely to draw, with a probability of 42%.

Leeds might have lost just twice in the Premier League since December, but too many draws and West Ham's recent revival mean they're just six points above the relegation zone.

This is a real six-pointer with Nottingham Forest below them on goal difference and a victory could go a long way to ensuring Daniel Farke's side are playing top-flight football next season.

Nottingham Forest might be just one spot above the bottom-three, but they're enjoying their best run of the season with the Crystal Palace draw making it four games unbeaten.

Four of Forest's six Premier League wins under Sean Dyche have come on the road.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 24 matches
LeedsvsNottingham
1.29Goals / Match1.00
1.75Conceded / Match1.46
4Clean Sheets5
4.00Shots on Target / Match3.67
45.7%Possession %48.0%
80.0%Pass Accuracy %82.4%

radarTeam Profile

Leeds
Nottingham
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
38Attack24
shield
42Defense44
swap_horiz
41Possession52
gps_fixed
58Efficiency52
auto_fix_high
25Creativity22
gavel
66Discipline61

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

31Goals Scored24
42Goals Conceded35
4Clean Sheets5
55Big Chances36
35Big Chances Missed21
3Penalty Goals2

gps_fixedShooting

299Total Shots282
96Shots on Target88

swap_horizPassing & Possession

45.7%Avg Possession48.0%
9,666Total Passes10,053
80.0%Pass Accuracy82.4%

shieldDefending

432Tackles410
227Interceptions190
58Saves61
49.6%Duels Won50.0%

gavelDiscipline

242Fouls250
36Yellow Cards36
0Red Cards1
39Offsides33

analyticsOther

109Corners128
138Successful Dribbles179
3Errors Leading to Goal6
6.73Avg Rating6.76

Statistical Comparison

LeedsMetricNottingham
31
Goals
24
15
Assists
14
6.4
Average Ratings
6.5
27
Average Age
25.6
185.3
Average Height (cm)
183.5
0.8
Shots pg
0.8
48%
Aerial Duel Success
47%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.5
Tackles pg
1.4

League Standings Context

For Leeds

PosTeamPWDLPts
15Crystal Palace2478929
16Leeds United24681026
17Nottingham Forest24751226

For Nottingham

PosTeamPWDLPts
16Leeds United24681026
17Nottingham Forest24751226
18West Ham24551420

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

45.2/ 92.5
Dangerous Attacks
51.1/ 94.4
33.0%
Shots on Target
35.0%
13.3
Total Shots
13.1
48.0%
Possession
50.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
1.7
Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Leeds Wins
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
Nottingham Wins
67%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketLeedsNottingham
Over 1.5 Goals
81%21/26
108%28/26
Over 2.5 Goals
58%15/26
73%19/26
Both Teams to Score
65%17/26
54%14/26
* Based on last 26 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Leeds

EPL
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
EPL
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 0
Fulham
FA
Derby County
1 - 3
Leeds United
EPL
Newcastle United
4 - 3
Leeds United
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 1
Manchester United

Home Games: Leeds

EPL
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 0
Fulham
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Leeds United
4 - 1
Crystal Palace
EPL
Leeds United
3 - 3
Liverpool
EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Chelsea

Last 6: Nottingham

EPL
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
UEL
Nottingham Forest
4 - 0
Ferencvaros
EPL
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
UEL
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Arsenal
FA
Wrexham FC
3 - 3
Nottingham Forest

Away Games: Nottingham

EPL
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
UEL
Sporting Braga
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest
FA
Wrexham FC
3 - 3
Nottingham Forest
EPL
West Ham
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Fulham
1 - 0
Nottingham Forest

history Recent Form

LeedsLeeds
1.1 GPG
L
D
W
L
D
NottinghamNottingham
1.1 GPG
D
W
D
W
L

group Head to Head

PL9 Nov 2025
Nottingham Forest
3-1
Leeds United
PL27 Jul 2023
Nottingham Forest
0-2
Leeds United
PL4 Apr 2023
Leeds United
2-1
Nottingham Forest
PL5 Feb 2023
Nottingham Forest
1-0
Leeds United
PL8 Feb 2020
Nottingham Forest
2-0
Leeds United
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
83%
20 / 24 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
10 / 24 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
7 / 24 matches
Both Teams to Score
58%
14 / 24 matches
Leeds CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham CS
25%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

9 Nov 2025
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
Leeds United
27 Jul 2023
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Leeds United
4 Apr 2023
Leeds United
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
5 Feb 2023
Nottingham Forest
1 - 0
Leeds United
8 Feb 2020
Nottingham Forest
2 - 0
Leeds United
10 Aug 2019
Leeds United
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
1 Jan 2019
Nottingham Forest
4 - 2
Leeds United
27 Oct 2018
Leeds United
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
1 Jan 2018
Leeds United
0 - 0
Nottingham Forest
26 Aug 2017
Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Leeds United
25 Jan 2017
Leeds United
2 - 0
Nottingham Forest
27 Aug 2016
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
Leeds United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Leeds
1.08
Form (Overall)
Nottingham
1.08

Both teams have equal form.

Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
Everton
1 - 1
Leeds United
Leeds United
1 - 0
Fulham
Newcastle United
4 - 3
Leeds United
Leeds United
1 - 1
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
Brentford
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 - 0
Arsenal
West Ham United
1 - 2
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest

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