Leeds vs Sunderland Prediction & Tips | Premier League | FootballTips.app

Leeds

Leeds

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Tuesday 3 March
Sunderland

Sunderland

Away
LeedsTimelineSunderland
1st Half
O'Nien L.
45+2'
2nd Half
Isidor W.Out: Mayenda E.
sync_alt
55'
Xhaka G.Out: Geertruida L.
sync_alt
56'
Diarra H.
58'
Nmecha L.Out: Gruev I.
sync_alt
62'
Alderete O.
63'
Diarra H.(Penalty)
sports_soccer
70'
James D.Out: Justin J.
sync_alt
74'
Gnonto W.Out: Aaronson B.
sync_alt
74'
Piroe J.Out: Bogle J.
sync_alt
84'
Bijol J.Out: Gudmundsson G.
sync_alt
84'
Traore B.Out: Angulo N.
sync_alt
88'
Gnonto W.
90'
Rigg C.Out: Traore B.
sync_alt
90+5'

Top stats

1.08Expected goals (xG)0.86
70%Ball possession30%
18Total shots4
4Shots on target1
1Big chances1
9Corner kicks2
83% (450/545)Passes61% (143/235)
1Yellow cards3

Shots

1.08Expected goals (xG)0.86
0.75xG on target (xGOT)0.82
18Total shots4
4Shots on target1
5Shots off target1
9Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box3
6Shots outside the box0
1Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

1Big chances1
9Corner kicks2
25Touches in opposition box9
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides5
19Free kicks15

Passes

83% (450/545)Passes61% (143/235)
49% (34/69)Long passes24% (17/72)
67% (82/123)Passes in final third49% (36/73)
10% (3/29)Crosses13% (1/8)
0.54Expected assists (xA)0.12
22Throw ins19

Defense

15Fouls19
50% (7/14)Tackles63% (10/16)
58Duels won55
19Clearances48
5Interceptions7
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves4
0.82xGOT faced0.75
-0.18Goals prevented-0.25
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.95
X3.50
24.34

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #15 vs Away #12
Season: Home 1.11 PPG vs Away 1.32 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.90 PPG vs Away 0.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.57 GPG vs Away 0.50 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

65%
19%
16%
Leeds
Draw
Sunderland

Match Preview

Leeds United will take on Sunderland at Elland Road in the Premier League on March 3, 2026.

Leeds United currently sits in 15th place, while Sunderland holds the 12th position, with Leeds United accumulating 31 points compared to Sunderland's 37.

In their recent form, Leeds United has recorded 3 draws in their last 6 matches across all competitions, while Sunderland has suffered losses in 50 percent of their last 6 away games.

Looking at their head-to-head record, Leeds United has drawn 4 of their last 6 encounters with Sunderland.

With Leeds United having a 40% probability of winning according to the algorithm prediction, this matchup is set to be closely contested.

Prediction: Leeds United to win with a probability of 40%.

Leeds pushed Manchester City all the way on Saturday, but lost out to Antoine Semenyo's winner and remain just six points above the relegation zone.

The Whites' hopes of staying clear of the bottom-three are likely to hinge on their home form and this is the first of five winnable Elland Road clashes.

Sunderland are rapidly sliding down the Premier League table after their winless run was extended to four games despite a notable draw at Bournemouth.

The Black Cats have a strong recent record at Elland Road, losing just one of their last six trips (W3 D2).

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Leeds

Starting 11
-Karl Darlow
GK6.50
-James Justin
DC6.62
-Pascal Struijk
DC6.78
-Joe Rodon
DC6.62
-Gabriel Gudmundsson
DML6.68
-Ilia Gruev
MC6.44
-Ethan Ampadu
MC6.79
-Brenden Aaronson
MC6.68
-Jayden Bogle
DMR6.49
-Dominic Calvert-Lewin
FW6.82
-Lukas Nmecha
FW6.32

Sunderland

Starting 11
-Robin Roefs
GK6.73
-Trai Hume
DL6.64
-Dan Ballard
DC6.99
-Omar Alderete
DC6.96
-Lutsharel Geertruida
DR6.37
-Granit Xhaka
MC7.04
-Ian Poveda
MC
-Harrison Jones
MC
-Enzo Le Fée
FWL6.67
-Eliezer Mayenda
FW6.33
-Chemsdine Talbi
FWR6.34
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 matches
LeedsvsSunderland

radarTeam Profile

Leeds
Sunderland
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
40Attack21
shield
41Defense52
swap_horiz
39Possession36
gps_fixed
59Efficiency58
auto_fix_high
28Creativity19
gavel
63Discipline54

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

37Goals Scored29
47Goals Conceded34
4Clean Sheets8
69Big Chances47
44Big Chances Missed33
4Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

345Total Shots272
109Shots on Target90

swap_horizPassing & Possession

44.7%Avg Possession44.1%
11,046Total Passes10,473
79.8%Pass Accuracy79.2%

shieldDefending

501Tackles445
261Interceptions226
72Saves85
49.2%Duels Won50.6%

gavelDiscipline

290Fouls277
45Yellow Cards55
0Red Cards2
47Offsides39

analyticsOther

122Corners97
157Successful Dribbles151
3Errors Leading to Goal6
6.74Avg Rating6.78

Statistical Comparison

LeedsMetricSunderland
37
Goals
26
19
Assists
18
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
27.1
Average Age
24.7
184.5
Average Height (cm)
180.7
0.8
Shots pg
0.7
48%
Aerial Duel Success
50%
0.3
Dribbles pg
0.3
1.4
Tackles pg
1.2

League Standings Context

For Leeds

PosTeamPWDLPts
14Crystal Palace28981135
15Leeds United287101131
16Tottenham28781329

For Sunderland

PosTeamPWDLPts
11Brighton28910937
12Sunderland28910937
13Newcastle United281061236

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

44.7/ 91.0
Dangerous Attacks
44.3/ 92.2
32.0%
Shots on Target
34.0%
13.2
Total Shots
10.4
46.0%
Possession
46.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.4
Goals Scored / Match
1.0
1.6
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

Head-to-Head Summary

1
Leeds Wins
17%
4
Draws
67%
1
Sunderland Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketLeedsSunderland
Over 1.5 Goals
81%25/31
74%23/31
Over 2.5 Goals
55%17/31
39%12/31
Both Teams to Score
68%21/31
48%15/31
* Based on last 31 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Leeds

EPL
Leeds United
0 - 1
Manchester City
EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 0
Fulham
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Leeds United
4 - 1
Crystal Palace

Home Games: Leeds

EPL
Leeds United
0 - 1
Manchester City
EPL
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
EPL
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 0
Fulham
EPL
Leeds United
1 - 1
Manchester United
EPL
Leeds United
4 - 1
Crystal Palace

Last 6: Sunderland

EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Sunderland
FA
Oxford United
0 - 1
Sunderland
EPL
Arsenal
3 - 0
Sunderland
EPL
West Ham
3 - 1
Sunderland
FA
Everton
1 - 1
Sunderland
EPL
Brentford
3 - 0
Sunderland

Away Games: Sunderland

EPL
Bournemouth
1 - 1
Sunderland
FA
Oxford United
0 - 1
Sunderland
EPL
Arsenal
3 - 0
Sunderland
EPL
West Ham
3 - 1
Sunderland
FA
Everton
1 - 1
Sunderland
EPL
Brentford
3 - 0
Sunderland

history Recent Form

LeedsLeeds
1.1 GPG
L
D
D
W
L
SunderlandSunderland
1.3 GPG
D
L
L
L
W

group Head to Head

PL28 Dec 2025
Sunderland
1-1
Leeds United
PL17 Feb 2025
Leeds United
2-1
Sunderland
PL4 Oct 2024
Sunderland
2-2
Leeds United
PL9 Apr 2024
Leeds United
0-0
Sunderland
PL12 Dec 2023
Sunderland
1-0
Leeds United
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
63%
5 / 8 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
2 / 8 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
1 / 8 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
4 / 8 matches
Leeds CS
25%
Clean Sheets
Sunderland CS
38%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

28 Dec 2025
Sunderland
1 - 1
Leeds United
17 Feb 2025
Leeds United
2 - 1
Sunderland
4 Oct 2024
Sunderland
2 - 2
Leeds United
9 Apr 2024
Leeds United
0 - 0
Sunderland
12 Dec 2023
Sunderland
1 - 0
Leeds United
7 Apr 2018
Leeds United
1 - 1
Sunderland
19 Aug 2017
Sunderland
0 - 2
Leeds United
4 Jan 2015
Sunderland
1 - 0
Leeds United

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Leeds
1.11
Form (Overall)
Sunderland
1.32

Sunderland is +19% better in terms of Points Per Game

Leeds United
0 - 1
Manchester City
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Leeds United
Chelsea
2 - 2
Leeds United
Leeds United
3 - 1
Nottingham Forest
Leeds United
0 - 4
Arsenal
AFC Bournemouth
1 - 1
Sunderland
Sunderland
1 - 3
Fulham
Sunderland
0 - 1
Liverpool
Arsenal
3 - 0
Sunderland
Sunderland
3 - 0
Burnley

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