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Leicester vs Oxford Utd Prediction & Tips | League One | FootballTips.app

Leicester

Leicester

Home
Full Time
0 - 4
HT: 0 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

Away
LeicesterTimelineOxford Utd
1st Half
Harris M.Assist: Missanga M.
sports_soccer
8'
Andrews K.
34'
2nd Half
Doyle K.Out: De Cordova-Reid B.
sync_alt
46'
Riis E.
49'
Watson T.Out: Alves W.
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56'
Howell H.Out: Burns W.
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56'
Missanga M. (Andrews K.)
sports_soccer
57'
Aluko O.Out: McFarlane C.
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59'
Harris M. (Andrews K.)
sports_soccer
60'
Lynch L.Out: Missanga M.
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61'
Bristric A.Out: Riis E.
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69'
Goodrham T.Out: Dembele S.
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70'
O'Donkor G.Out: Harris M.
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70'
McDonnell J. (Lynch L.)
sports_soccer
77'
Currie J.Out: Brannagan C.
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81'
Sibley L.Out: Kioso P.
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81'

Top stats

1.03Expected goals (xG)2.31
63%Ball possession37%
14Total shots12
5Shots on target6
3Big chances3
10Corner kicks5
88% (458/521)Passes81% (250/307)
1Yellow cards1

Shots

1.03Expected goals (xG)2.31
0.60xG on target (xGOT)3.05
14Total shots12
5Shots on target6
7Shots off target3
2Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box7
3Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

3Big chances3
10Corner kicks5
28Touches in opposition box17
0Accurate through passes1
2Offsides3
16Free kicks11

Passes

88% (458/521)Passes81% (250/307)
52% (12/23)Long passes46% (26/57)
73% (104/143)Passes in final third62% (50/81)
16% (4/25)Crosses29% (4/14)
1.05Expected assists (xA)0.87
22Throw ins13

Defense

11Fouls16
69% (9/13)Tackles65% (15/23)
42Duels won48
16Clearances34
7Interceptions15
0Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves4
3.05xGOT faced0.60
-0.95Goals prevented0.60
6Goal kicks9
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.68
X3.69
24.59

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Away Win
Odds: 4.30Stake: Medium (6/10)
58
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #13 vs Away #15
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 1.10 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.44 PPG vs Away 1.27 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.40 GPG vs Away 0.83 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

54%
24%
22%
Leicester
Draw
Oxford Utd
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.731.67+3.4%
Leicester City Win1.661.87-11.1%
Draw4.154.17-0.4%
Oxford United Win4.304.46-3.5%
BTTS - Yes1.731.72+0.6%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

Will Alves and Harry Howell scored in first-half stoppage time on Tuesday night as Russell Martin watched his Leicester side pick up the first win of their League One season. The Foxes will fancy their chances of going back-to-back when they welcome Oxford United to the Midlands.

Oxford United couldn't contain Joe Taylor on Tuesday night as the striker's late brace condemned the U's to a 3-1 away defeat against Huddersfield. Aaron Ramsey's side have won just one of their four games in all competitions this season.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Leicester

Starting 11
-Alex McCarthy
GK6.86
-Christian McFarlane
DL7.44
-Luke Thomas
DC6.85
-Harry Souttar
DC7.00
-Jayden Joseph
DR7.27
-Louis Page
DMC6.86
-Will Alves
ML6.89
-Sammy Braybrooke
MC7.16
-Liam Cullen
MC6.12
-Harry Howell
MR6.74
-Bobby De Cordova-Reid
FW6.30

Oxford Utd

Starting 11
-Simon Eastwood
GK6.88
-Jack Currie
DL6.57
-Ciaron Brown
DC7.29
-Michal Helik
DC6.79
-Brodie Spencer
DR6.50
-Jamie McDonnell
DMC6.79
-Cameron Brannagan
DMC6.35
-Siriki Dembélé
AML6.79
-Mark Harris
AMC6.65
-Mo Missanga
AMR6.39
-Gatlin O'Donkor
FW7.10
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 4 / 3 matches
LeicestervsOxford Utd
1.00Goals / Match1.67
0.75Conceded / Match2.00
2Clean Sheets0
4.25Shots on Target / Match3.67
71.0%Possession %59.7%
87.2%Pass Accuracy %77.4%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

4Goals Scored5
3Goals Conceded6
2Clean Sheets0
6Big Chances4
4Big Chances Missed0
0Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

65Total Shots34
17Shots on Target11

swap_horizPassing & Possession

71.0%Avg Possession59.7%
2,537Total Passes1,283
87.2%Pass Accuracy77.4%

shieldDefending

52Tackles40
20Interceptions27
10Saves11
53.8%Duels Won48.7%

gavelDiscipline

35Fouls49
8Yellow Cards8
1Red Cards0
3Offsides3

analyticsOther

24Corners14
43Successful Dribbles29
7.42Avg Rating7.17

Statistical Comparison

LeicesterMetricOxford Utd
4
Goals
5
2
Assists
3
6.6
Average Ratings
6.7
24.2
Average Age
24.5
183.5
Average Height (cm)
183
1.3
Shots pg
1.3
52%
Aerial Duel Success
48%
0.9
Dribbles pg
1
1.2
Tackles pg
1.2

history Recent Form

LeicesterLeicester
1.5 GPG
W
D
L
D
Oxford UtdOxford Utd
1.1 GPG
L
W
D

group Head to Head

PL24 Jan 2026
Leicester City
1-2
Oxford United
PL13 Sept 2025
Oxford United
2-2
Leicester City
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
100%
2 / 2 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
1 / 2 matches
Both Teams to Score
100%
2 / 2 matches
Leicester CS
0%
Clean Sheets
Oxford Utd CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

24 Jan 2026
Leicester City
1 - 2
Oxford United
13 Sept 2025
Oxford United
2 - 2
Leicester City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Leicester
1.50
Form (Overall)
Oxford Utd
1.10

Leicester is +36% better in terms of Points Per Game

Leicester City
2 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
Milton Keynes Dons
0 - 0
Leicester City
Leicester City
1 - 2
Burton Albion
Notts County
1 - 1
Leicester City
Huddersfield Town
3 - 1
Oxford United
Stevenage
1 - 2
Oxford United
Oxford United
2 - 2
Milton Keynes Dons

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