Lens vs Lorient Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Lens

Lens

Home
Full Time
0 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 5 September
Lorient

Lorient

Away
LensTimelineLorient
1st Half
Adjei N.
14'
Sagnan S.Out: Udol M.
sync_alt
24'
Titraoui Y.
26'
2nd Half
Kone M.Assist: Katseris P.
sports_soccer
54'
Bulatovic A.Out: Titraoui Y.
sync_alt
60'
Cuisance M.Out: Haidara A.
sync_alt
61'
Le Bris T.Out: Katseris P.
sync_alt
67'
Balde I.Out: Kone M.
sync_alt
67'
Avom A.Out: Mbamba N.
sync_alt
67'
Edouard O.Out: Hazard T.
sync_alt
70'
Sotoca F.Out: Aguilar R.
sync_alt
70'
Jensen I.Out: Bernardeau G.
sync_alt
75'
Skoras M.
77'
Sagnan S.
85'
Sagnan S.
90+2'

Top stats

1.24Expected goals (xG)1.60
57%Ball possession43%
17Total shots8
6Shots on target3
4Big chances3
8Corner kicks0
88% (512/582)Passes84% (386/457)
4Yellow cards1
1Red cards0

Shots

1.24Expected goals (xG)1.60
0.41xG on target (xGOT)0.88
17Total shots8
6Shots on target3
7Shots off target5
4Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box5
7Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

4Big chances3
8Corner kicks0
32Touches in opposition box18
0Accurate through passes1
2Offsides0
6Free kicks18

Passes

88% (512/582)Passes84% (386/457)
57% (25/44)Long passes53% (26/49)
78% (146/187)Passes in final third71% (49/69)
33% (13/39)Crosses14% (1/7)
1.53Expected assists (xA)1.08
24Throw ins15

Defense

18Fouls6
61% (11/18)Tackles80% (12/15)
44Duels won47
11Clearances38
14Interceptions13
1Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

2Goalkeeper saves6
0.88xGOT faced0.41
-0.12Goals prevented0.41
7Goal kicks11
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.47
X4.70
26.45

Recommended Bet

check_circle
Away Win
Odds: 5.75Stake: Medium (7/10)
73
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #8 vs Away #14
Season: Home 2.20 PPG vs Away 1.40 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.36 PPG vs Away 0.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.57 GPG vs Away 1.83 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

52%
25%
23%
Lens
Draw
Lorient
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.721.82-5.7%
Lens Win1.531.92-20.5%
Draw4.504.01+12.1%
Lorient Win5.754.33+32.8%
BTTS - Yes1.731.80-4.0%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Match Preview

It's been a reasonable start to the season for Lens, who secured a 5-2 victory in their opening game. In their second match, they suffered a 2-1 defeat against Strasbourg.

Lorient are struggling near the foot of the table at the start of the season. They drew that opening game with Nice before losing 2-1 to Troyes at home.

The last time these two sides met was back in March, with Lorient securing a 3-1 victory. At home, Lens are unbeaten in the last six meetings.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Lens

Starting 11
-Robin Risser
GK6.81
-Ismaëlo Ganiou
DC7.10
-Maik Nawrocki
DC6.48
-Kyllian Antonio
DC
-Matthieu Udol
DML7.31
-Michaël Cuisance
MC6.37
-Yacine Titraoui
MC6.68
-Michal Skóras
DMR7.34
-Florian Thauvin
AMC7.94
-Franjo Ivanovic
AMC7.22
-Abdallah Sima
FW7.13

Lorient

Starting 11
-Yvon Mvogo
GK6.14
-Dembo Sylla
DC7.11
-Nathaniel Adjei
DC7.04
-Montassar Talbi
DC6.86
-Arsène Kouassi
DML6.46
-Noah Cadiou
MC6.80
-Arthur Avom
MC6.90
-Théo Le Bris
DMR7.04
-Jean-Victor Makengo
AMC6.91
-Gabin Bernardeau
AMC6.56
-Mamadou Koné
FW6.44
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 2 matches
LensvsLorient
3.00Goals / Match0.50
2.00Conceded / Match1.00
0Clean Sheets1
8.00Shots on Target / Match4.00
50.5%Possession %53.5%
86.9%Pass Accuracy %86.5%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

6Goals Scored1
4Goals Conceded2
0Clean Sheets1
15Big Chances5
9Big Chances Missed5
3Penalty Goals0

gps_fixedShooting

29Total Shots25
16Shots on Target8

swap_horizPassing & Possession

50.5%Avg Possession53.5%
885Total Passes1,095
86.9%Pass Accuracy86.5%

shieldDefending

41Tackles32
26Interceptions25
7Saves1
54.5%Duels Won55.0%

gavelDiscipline

17Fouls17
2Yellow Cards0
3Offsides1

analyticsOther

10Corners5
14Successful Dribbles15
7.49Avg Rating7.52

Statistical Comparison

LensMetricLorient
6
Goals
1
3
Assists
0
6.7
Average Ratings
6.6
24.6
Average Age
24.3
182.3
Average Height (cm)
181.6
1.2
Shots pg
1.4
48%
Aerial Duel Success
51%
0.9
Dribbles pg
1.1
1.6
Tackles pg
1.5

history Recent Form

LensLens
2.2 GPG
L
W
LorientLorient
1.4 GPG
L
D

group Head to Head

PL14 Mar 2026
Lorient
2-1
Lens
PL2 Nov 2025
Lens
3-0
Lorient
PL3 May 2024
Lens
2-0
Lorient
PL4 Nov 2023
Lorient
0-0
Lens
PL21 May 2023
Lorient
1-3
Lens
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
73%
16 / 22 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
11 / 22 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
8 / 22 matches
Both Teams to Score
55%
12 / 22 matches
Lens CS
23%
Clean Sheets
Lorient CS
32%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Mar 2026
Lorient
2 - 1
Lens
2 Nov 2025
Lens
3 - 0
Lorient
3 May 2024
Lens
2 - 0
Lorient
4 Nov 2023
Lorient
0 - 0
Lens
21 May 2023
Lorient
1 - 3
Lens
9 Feb 2023
Lorient
1 - 1
Lens
31 Aug 2022
Lens
5 - 2
Lorient
6 Feb 2022
Lorient
2 - 0
Lens
29 Aug 2021
Lens
2 - 2
Lorient
11 Apr 2021
Lens
4 - 1
Lorient
13 Sept 2020
Lorient
2 - 3
Lens
2 Nov 2019
Lens
1 - 0
Lorient

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Lens
2.20
Form (Overall)
Lorient
1.40

Lens is +57% better in terms of Points Per Game

Strasbourg
2 - 1
Lens
Lens
5 - 2
Auxerre
Lorient
1 - 2
Troyes
Nice
0 - 0
Lorient

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