Lens vs Paris FC Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Lens

Lens

Home
1h
18:45
Ligue 1
Paris FC

Paris FC

Away

Who wins?

auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
12.38
X3.70
22.82

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
51
Best near-miss

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #9 vs Away #3
Season: Home 1.43 PPG vs Away 2.00 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 0.95 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.33 GPG vs Away 1.00 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

48%
26%
26%
Lens
Draw
Paris FC
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.661.83-9.4%
Under 2.5 Goals2.262.20+2.6%
Lens Win2.372.10+13.1%
Draw3.643.81-4.4%
Paris Win2.653.84-31.0%
BTTS - Yes1.531.82-16.2%
BTTS - No2.402.21+8.5%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Lens

Starting 11
-Robin Risser
GK6.87
-Samson Baidoo
DC5.96
-Jean-Clair Todibo
DC6.24
-Kyllian Antonio
DC6.46
-Matthieu Udol
DML7.04
-Michaël Cuisance
MC6.36
-Yacine Titraoui
MC6.56
-Ruben Aguilar
DMR6.96
-Florian Sotoca
AMC6.72
-Florian Thauvin
AMC7.75
-Odsonne Édouard
FW6.27

Paris FC

Starting 11
-Kevin Trapp
GK6.61
-Hamari Traoré
DL6.51
-Diego Coppola
DC6.86
-Samir Chergui
DC6.58
-Adama Camara
DR6.82
-Maxime Lopez
DMC7.14
-Pierre Lees-Melou
DMC6.93
-Luca Koleosho
AML6.53
-Pablo Pagis
AMC6.85
-Ilan Kebbal
AMR7.13
-Lassine Sinayoko
FW7.72
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Lens sit eighth in Ligue 1 with 10 points from seven games (W3 D1 L3). They won 3-1 at Troyes in their last league outing, but were beaten 3-0 by Club Brugge in the Champions League in midweek.

Paris FC are third with 14 points (W4 D2 L1), one of five sides tied on that total at the top. They beat Rennes 4-3 in a thriller at home last weekend.

The sides last met on 14 February 2026, when Lens won 5-0 away at Paris FC. Wesley Said and Rayan Fofana both scored twice, and Florian Thauvin added a penalty.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 7 matches
LensvsParis FC
2.00Goals / Match1.71
1.57Conceded / Match1.00
0Clean Sheets3
6.00Shots on Target / Match5.00
51.7%Possession %51.6%
85.8%Pass Accuracy %88.6%

radarTeam Profile

Lens
Paris FC
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
76Attack56
shield
46Defense71
swap_horiz
58Possession66
gps_fixed
84Efficiency75
auto_fix_high
82Creativity56
gavel
33Discipline41

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

14Goals Scored12
11Goals Conceded7
0Clean Sheets3
29Big Chances17
17Big Chances Missed7
3Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

102Total Shots102
42Shots on Target35

swap_horizPassing & Possession

51.7%Avg Possession51.6%
3,421Total Passes4,054
85.8%Pass Accuracy88.6%

shieldDefending

121Tackles125
77Interceptions68
24Saves17
52.0%Duels Won47.4%

gavelDiscipline

81Fouls95
12Yellow Cards16
2Red Cards0
11Offsides12

analyticsOther

46Corners27
40Successful Dribbles42
1Errors Leading to Goal1
7.31Avg Rating7.42

Statistical Comparison

LensMetricParis FC
13
Goals
12
9
Assists
8
6.6
Average Ratings
6.6
26.9
Average Age
28.1
182.9
Average Height (cm)
181.7
0.9
Shots pg
1.1
54%
Aerial Duel Success
37%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.7
Tackles pg
1.6

history Recent Form

LensLens
2.0 GPG
L
W
L
W
W
Paris FCParis FC
1.3 GPG
L
W
D
L
L

group Head to Head

PL14 Feb 2026
Paris
0-5
Lens
PL19 Oct 2025
Lens
2-1
Paris
PL2 Jul 2022
Lens
0-0
Paris
PL2 Mar 2020
Paris
0-2
Lens
PL28 Sept 2019
Lens
2-1
Paris
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
58%
7 / 12 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
4 / 12 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
2 / 12 matches
Both Teams to Score
33%
4 / 12 matches
Lens CS
50%
Clean Sheets
Paris FC CS
33%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Feb 2026
Paris
0 - 5
Lens
19 Oct 2025
Lens
2 - 1
Paris
2 Jul 2022
Lens
0 - 0
Paris
2 Mar 2020
Paris
0 - 2
Lens
28 Sept 2019
Lens
2 - 1
Paris
21 May 2019
Paris
1 - 1
Lens
3 Mar 2019
Paris
2 - 0
Lens
28 Sept 2018
Lens
0 - 0
Paris
30 Apr 2018
Lens
1 - 0
Paris
8 Dec 2017
Paris
2 - 2
Lens
29 Apr 2016
Lens
0 - 1
Paris
11 Dec 2015
Paris
0 - 1
Lens

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Lens
2.00
Form (Overall)
Paris FC
1.33

Lens is +50% better in terms of Points Per Game

Lens
0 - 2
Sporting CP
Lens
2 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais
Lens
0 - 1
Lorient
Lens
5 - 2
Auxerre
Lens
1 - 0
PSG
Lorient
1 - 0
Paris
Olympique Marseille
2 - 3
Paris
Troyes
0 - 0
Paris
Angers SCO
3 - 2
Paris
Mainz 05
4 - 0
Paris

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