Lens vs Toulouse Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Lens

Lens

Home
Full Time
3 - 2
HT: 0 - 2
Friday 17 April
Toulouse

Toulouse

Away
LensTimelineToulouse
1st Half
Casseres C.
sports_soccer
6'
Koumbassa S. (Hidalgo S.)
sports_soccer
13'
Gboho Y.
17'
Martinez C.
28'
Masuaku A.
45'
2nd Half
Demba P.Out: Hidalgo S.
sync_alt
46'
Edouard O.Out: Fofana R.
sync_alt
55'
Saint-Maximin A.Out: Said W.
sync_alt
55'
Abdulhamid S. (Saint-Maximin A.)
sports_soccer
61'
Methalie D.Out: Donnum A.
sync_alt
64'
Russell-Rowe J.Out: Emersonn
sync_alt
64'
Thomasson A.
sports_soccer
67'
Sidibe D.Out: Cresswell C.
sync_alt
72'
Thauvin F.Out: Sotoca F.
sync_alt
72'
Sauer M.Out: Vossah A.
sync_alt
76'
Baidoo S.Out: Masuaku A.
sync_alt
85'
Bulatovic A.Out: Thomasson A.
sync_alt
85'
Sauer M.
88'
Ganiou I.Assist: Bulatovic A.
sports_soccer
90+1'

Top stats

3.76Expected goals (xG)0.40
78%Ball possession22%
41Total shots5
13Shots on target2
5Big chances1
14Corner kicks1
89% (531/596)Passes63% (111/176)
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1

Shots

3.76Expected goals (xG)0.40
3.42xG on target (xGOT)0.74
41Total shots5
13Shots on target2
18Shots off target1
10Blocked shots2
27Shots inside the box3
14Shots outside the box2
1Hit the woodwork0
2Headed goals1

Attack

5Big chances1
14Corner kicks1
74Touches in opposition box9
0Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
15Free kicks10

Passes

89% (531/596)Passes63% (111/176)
46% (11/24)Long passes26% (15/58)
86% (285/330)Passes in final third38% (15/40)
31% (19/62)Crosses0% (0/2)
4.66Expected assists (xA)0.22
21Throw ins6

Defense

9Fouls15
76% (16/21)Tackles40% (6/15)
54Duels won39
12Clearances58
3Interceptions6
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

0Goalkeeper saves10
0.74xGOT faced3.42
-1.26Goals prevented0.42
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.52
X4.65
26.35

Recommended Bet

Home Win
Stake: High (8/10)
83
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #2 vs Away #10
Season: Home 2.11 PPG vs Away 1.28 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 1.05 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.21 GPG vs Away 1.29 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

88%
6%
5%
Lens
Draw
Toulouse

Match Preview

Lens have lost just twice at home all season in Ligue 1. They've won 12 of their 14 games on their own turf, picking up more points than any other side in the league.

Toulouse have lost two games on the bounce in Ligue 1, losing four of their previous six. On the road, they've struggled, losing four of their previous five matches.

Lens secured a comfortable 3-0 victory over Toulouse when they last met back in January. Last season, Toulouse won the away fixture against Lens thanks to a second-half penalty.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Lens

Starting 11
-Robin Risser
GK6.81
-Malang Sarr
DC7.10
-Nidal Celik
DC6.40
-Ismaëlo Ganiou
DC6.79
-Matthieu Udol
DML7.13
-Adrien Thomasson
MC7.14
-Mamadou Sangaré
MC7.14
-Saud Abdulhamid
DMR6.53
-Wesley Saïd
AMC7.01
-Florian Thauvin
AMC7.15
-Odsonne Édouard
FW6.92

Toulouse

Starting 11
-Guillaume Restes
GK6.43
-Charlie Cresswell
DC7.15
-Rasmus Nicolaisen
DC6.59
-Seny Koumbassa
DC6.26
-Dayann Methalie
DML6.48
-Cristian Cásseres
MC6.80
-Pape Diop
MC7.02
-Djibril Sidibé
DMR6.53
-Yann Gboho
AMC7.05
-Aron Dønnum
AMC7.02
-Emersonn
FW6.54
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 28 / 29 matches
LensvsToulouse

radarTeam Profile

Lens
Toulouse
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
75Attack37
shield
72Defense54
swap_horiz
60Possession45
gps_fixed
69Efficiency64
auto_fix_high
68Creativity28
gavel
37Discipline31

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

54Goals Scored39
27Goals Conceded39
10Clean Sheets9
102Big Chances50
69Big Chances Missed27
4Penalty Goals4

gps_fixedShooting

424Total Shots371
146Shots on Target123

swap_horizPassing & Possession

49.8%Avg Possession42.6%
12,832Total Passes10,942
85.0%Pass Accuracy81.6%

shieldDefending

524Tackles464
311Interceptions277
73Saves67
49.6%Duels Won48.8%

gavelDiscipline

367Fouls407
52Yellow Cards66
4Red Cards3
54Offsides33

analyticsOther

161Corners132
213Successful Dribbles213
5Errors Leading to Goal4
6.96Avg Rating6.77

Statistical Comparison

LensMetricToulouse
53
Goals
38
41
Assists
26
6.7
Average Ratings
6.5
26.4
Average Age
24.1
181.5
Average Height (cm)
183.8
1
Shots pg
0.9
50%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.6
Dribbles pg
0.8
1.7
Tackles pg
1.4

history Recent Form

LensLens
2.1 GPG
L
W
L
W
D
ToulouseToulouse
1.3 GPG
L
L
W
W
L

group Head to Head

PL2 Jan 2026
Toulouse
0-3
Lens
PL10 May 2025
Toulouse
1-1
Lens
PL5 Jan 2025
Lens
0-1
Toulouse
PL28 Jan 2024
Toulouse
0-2
Lens
PL24 Sept 2023
Lens
2-1
Toulouse
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
62%
8 / 13 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
3 / 13 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 13 matches
Both Teams to Score
23%
3 / 13 matches
Lens CS
46%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse CS
31%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

2 Jan 2026
Toulouse
0 - 3
Lens
10 May 2025
Toulouse
1 - 1
Lens
5 Jan 2025
Lens
0 - 1
Toulouse
28 Jan 2024
Toulouse
0 - 2
Lens
24 Sept 2023
Lens
2 - 1
Toulouse
2 May 2023
Toulouse
0 - 1
Lens
28 Oct 2022
Lens
3 - 0
Toulouse
14 Mar 2015
Lens
1 - 0
Toulouse
24 Oct 2014
Toulouse
0 - 2
Lens
12 Mar 2011
Lens
0 - 1
Toulouse
30 Oct 2010
Toulouse
1 - 1
Lens
27 Feb 2010
Toulouse
1 - 0
Lens

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Lens
2.11
Form (Overall)
Toulouse
1.28

Lens is +65% better in terms of Points Per Game

Lille
3 - 0
Lens
Lens
5 - 1
Angers SCO
Lorient
2 - 1
Lens
Lens
3 - 0
Metz
Strasbourg
1 - 1
Lens
Toulouse
0 - 4
Lille
PSG
3 - 1
Toulouse
Toulouse
1 - 0
Lorient
Metz
3 - 4
Toulouse
Toulouse
0 - 1
Olympique Marseille

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