Lexington vs Louisville City Prediction & Tips | USL Championship | FootballTips.app
Lexington
HomeFull Time
1 - 2
HT: 1 - 0
Saturday 7 March
Louisville City
AwayLexingtonTimelineLouisville City
1st Half
Duncan Z.
15'
Molloy A.
sports_soccer
16'
2nd Half
Lambert K.Out: Duncan Z.
sync_alt
46'
Akale M.Out: Huerman Q.
sync_alt
46'
Donovan C.Out: Showunmi T.
sync_alt
46'
Akale M. (Totsch S.)
sports_soccer
52'
Midence A.Out: Adedokun M.
sync_alt
65'
McFadden A.Out: Perez E.
sync_alt
65'
Brown J.Out: Ordonez A.
sync_alt
72'
Lewis J.Out: Nick Firmino
sync_alt
73'
Jones J.Out: Dayes B.
sync_alt
79'
McFadden A. ()
sports_soccer
85'
Henry-Scott M.Out: Ferri B.
sync_alt
88'
Hafferty J.
90'
Top stats
1.01Expected goals (xG)0.94
47%Ball possession53%
11Total shots15
2Shots on target4
0Big chances2
1Corner kicks7
80% (354/443)Passes83% (401/481)
1Yellow cards1
Shots
1.01Expected goals (xG)0.94
0.47xG on target (xGOT)1.21
11Total shots15
2Shots on target4
7Shots off target5
2Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box10
4Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork1
Attack
0Big chances2
1Corner kicks7
18Touches in opposition box27
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
11Free kicks13
Passes
80% (354/443)Passes83% (401/481)
42% (30/71)Long passes58% (38/65)
57% (53/93)Passes in final third70% (91/130)
80% (4/5)Crosses37% (7/19)
0.75Expected assists (xA)0.80
23Throw ins19
Defense
13Fouls11
44% (8/18)Tackles86% (6/7)
55Duels won57
27Clearances14
7Interceptions12
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves1
1.21xGOT faced0.47
-0.79Goals prevented-0.53
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.34
X3.15
22.02
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 35% on target vs Away 21% on target
Standings: Home GD +0 (0pts) vs Away GD +0 (0pts)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Attack (+29), Defense (+29)
donut_small Win Probabilities
5%
Lexington Win
5%
Draw
90%
Louisville City Win
Lexington
Draw
Louisville City
Match Preview
On March 7th, 2026, at the Lexington SC Stadium, Lexington will face Louisville City in a USL Championship match-up.
Statistical data shows Lexington has lost 4 out of their last 6 league matches, while Louisville City has secured 4 wins in their recent 6 fixtures across all leagues.
In their head-to-head history in the USL Championship, Lexington has lost their last encounter against Louisville City.
Prediction: Louisville City to win by 0-2.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 30 / 31 matchesLexingtonvsLouisville City
radarTeam Profile
Lexington
Louisville City
sports_soccer
28Attack57
shield
35Defense64
swap_horiz
58Possession25
gps_fixed
49Efficiency71
auto_fix_high
37Creativity44
gavel
34Discipline44
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
31Goals Scored56
42Goals Conceded20
8Clean Sheets14
63Big Chances64
46Big Chances Missed35
0Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
328Total Shots440
99Shots on Target142
swap_horizPassing & Possession
51.3%Avg Possession46.4%
12,518Total Passes10,202
84.8%Pass Accuracy73.1%
shieldDefending
387Tackles388
193Interceptions257
59Saves82
49.1%Duels Won51.1%
gavelDiscipline
392Fouls423
59Yellow Cards54
5Red Cards2
46Offsides64
analyticsOther
154Corners199
222Successful Dribbles150
6Errors Leading to Goal1
6.81Avg Rating6.97
League Standings Context
For Lexington
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Lexington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
For Louisville City
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Charleston Battery | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
47.3/ 89.5
Dangerous Attacks
72.3/ 103.2
35.0%
Shots on Target
21.0%
10.8
Total Shots
16.7
51.0%
Possession
49.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
0.8
Goals Scored / Match
0.8
2.0
Goals Conceded / Match
0.2
Head-to-Head Summary
0
Lexington Wins
0%
0
Draws
0%
2
Louisville City Wins
100%
Total H2H Matches: 2
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Lexington | Louisville City |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 83%5/6 | 17%1/6 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 83%5/6 | 0%0/6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50%3/6 | 0%0/6 |
* Based on last 6 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Lexington
Us2
Lexington
2 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Us2
Lexington
1 - 2
El Paso Locomotive
Home Games: Lexington
Us2
Lexington
2 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Us2
Lexington
1 - 2
El Paso Locomotive
Last 6: Louisville City
Us2
Orange County SC
0 - 0
Louisville City
Us2
Detroit City FC
0 - 1
Louisville City
Away Games: Louisville City
Us2
Orange County SC
0 - 0
Louisville City
Us2
Detroit City FC
0 - 1
Louisville City
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
13.34
X3.15
22.02
Recommended Bet
Away Win
Stake: High (10/10)
100
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 35% on target vs Away 21% on target
Standings: Home GD +0 (0pts) vs Away GD +0 (0pts)
Sofascore Stats: Away superiority - Best: Attack (+29), Defense (+29)
Match Preview
On March 7th, 2026, at the Lexington SC Stadium, Lexington will face Louisville City in a USL Championship match-up.
Statistical data shows Lexington has lost 4 out of their last 6 league matches, while Louisville City has secured 4 wins in their recent 6 fixtures across all leagues.
In their head-to-head history in the USL Championship, Lexington has lost their last encounter against Louisville City.
Prediction: Louisville City to win by 0-2.
League Standings Context
For Lexington
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Lexington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
For Louisville City
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Charleston Battery | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Performance (Avg)
0.8
Goals Scored / Match
0.8
2.0
Goals Conceded / Match
0.2
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Lexington | Louisville City |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 83%5/6 | 17%1/6 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 83%5/6 | 0%0/6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 50%3/6 | 0%0/6 |
* Based on last 6 matches
donut_small Win Probabilities
5%
Lexington Win
5%
Draw
90%
Louisville City Win
Lexington
Draw
Louisville City
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 30 / 31 matchesLexingtonvsLouisville City
radarTeam Profile
Lexington
Louisville City
sports_soccer
28Attack57
shield
35Defense64
swap_horiz
58Possession25
gps_fixed
49Efficiency71
auto_fix_high
37Creativity44
gavel
34Discipline44
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
31Goals Scored56
42Goals Conceded20
8Clean Sheets14
63Big Chances64
46Big Chances Missed35
0Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
328Total Shots440
99Shots on Target142
swap_horizPassing & Possession
51.3%Avg Possession46.4%
12,518Total Passes10,202
84.8%Pass Accuracy73.1%
shieldDefending
387Tackles388
193Interceptions257
59Saves82
49.1%Duels Won51.1%
gavelDiscipline
392Fouls423
59Yellow Cards54
5Red Cards2
46Offsides64
analyticsOther
154Corners199
222Successful Dribbles150
6Errors Leading to Goal1
6.81Avg Rating6.97
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
47.3/ 89.5
Dangerous Attacks
72.3/ 103.2
35.0%
Shots on Target
21.0%
10.8
Total Shots
16.7
51.0%
Possession
49.0%
Head-to-Head Summary
0
Lexington Wins
0%
0
Draws
0%
2
Louisville City Wins
100%
Total H2H Matches: 2
Past Matches
Last 6: Lexington
Us2
Lexington
2 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Us2
Lexington
1 - 2
El Paso Locomotive
Home Games: Lexington
Us2
Lexington
2 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Us2
Lexington
1 - 2
El Paso Locomotive
Last 6: Louisville City
Us2
Orange County SC
0 - 0
Louisville City
Us2
Detroit City FC
0 - 1
Louisville City
Away Games: Louisville City
Us2
Orange County SC
0 - 0
Louisville City
Us2
Detroit City FC
0 - 1
Louisville City
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