Lexington vs Sacramento Republic Prediction & Tips | USL Championship | FootballTips.app
Lexington
HomeFull Time
0 - 0
HT: 0 - 0
Sunday 15 March
Sacramento Republic
AwayLexingtonTimelineSacramento Republic
1st Half
Benitez M.
34'
2nd Half
Lewis J.Out: Nick Firmino
sync_alt
63'
Brown J.Out: Hafferty J.
sync_alt
63'
Greene J.
65'
Casas J.Out: Rodriguez A.
sync_alt
67'
Wanner D.Out: Malango M.
sync_alt
67'
Edwards K.Out: Ajago F.
sync_alt
75'
Midence A.Out: Adedokun M.
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84'
Ukaegbu C.Out: Spaulding R.
sync_alt
89'
Top stats
0.60Expected goals (xG)0.31
50%Ball possession50%
9Total shots7
1Shots on target2
0Big chances1
2Corner kicks2
84% (399/477)Passes85% (406/478)
1Yellow cards1
Shots
0.60Expected goals (xG)0.31
0.01xG on target (xGOT)0.20
9Total shots7
1Shots on target2
5Shots off target5
3Blocked shots0
6Shots inside the box3
3Shots outside the box4
0Hit the woodwork0
Attack
0Big chances1
2Corner kicks2
18Touches in opposition box10
1Accurate through passes0
0Offsides1
13Free kicks8
Passes
84% (399/477)Passes85% (406/478)
30% (14/47)Long passes45% (18/40)
64% (42/66)Passes in final third66% (75/114)
42% (5/12)Crosses7% (1/14)
0.68Expected assists (xA)0.37
16Throw ins31
Defense
8Fouls13
81% (13/16)Tackles53% (8/15)
46Duels won48
21Clearances11
12Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
2Goalkeeper saves1
0.20xGOT faced0.01
0.20Goals prevented0.01
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AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.48
X2.85
22.84
Recommended Bet
Draw
Stake: Low (4/10)
38
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 34% on target vs Away 27% on target
Standings: Home GD -1 (0pts) vs Away GD +2 (3pts)
👎 LOW OPPORTUNITY (38)
donut_small Win Probabilities
38%
Lexington Win
38%
Draw
24%
Sacramento Republic Win
Lexington
Draw
Sacramento Republic
Match Preview
Lexington will host Sacramento Republic at Lexington SC Stadium in the USL Championship on March 15, 2026 GMT.
Lexington has suffered 2 defeats in their 3 home matches, while Sacramento Republic managed 1 draw in their 2 away games.
In their recent head-to-head fixtures, Lexington has recorded 2 draws against Sacramento Republic.
The prediction favors Sacramento Republic to secure the victory with a 51% probability.
League Standings Context
For Lexington
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Lexington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
For Sacramento Republic
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Switchbacks | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | San Antonio FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
45.7/ 85.0
Dangerous Attacks
46.3/ 73.0
34.0%
Shots on Target
27.0%
11.7
Total Shots
10.5
51.0%
Possession
49.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
0.8
Goals Scored / Match
1.2
2.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0
Head-to-Head Summary
0
Lexington Wins
0%
2
Draws
100%
0
Sacramento Republic Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 2
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Lexington | Sacramento Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 100%6/6 | 50%3/6 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 100%6/6 | 33%2/6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67%4/6 | 33%2/6 |
* Based on last 6 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Lexington
Us2
Lexington
1 - 2
Louisville City
Us2
Lexington
2 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Us2
Lexington
1 - 2
El Paso Locomotive
Home Games: Lexington
Us2
Lexington
1 - 2
Louisville City
Us2
Lexington
2 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Us2
Lexington
1 - 2
El Paso Locomotive
Last 6: Sacramento Republic
Us2
Lexington
2 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Us2
Hartford Athletic
3 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Away Games: Sacramento Republic
Us2
Lexington
2 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Us2
Hartford Athletic
3 - 2
Sacramento Republic
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AI Prediction
verified Low Confidence
12.48
X2.85
22.84
Recommended Bet
Draw
Stake: Low (4/10)
38
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 34% on target vs Away 27% on target
Standings: Home GD -1 (0pts) vs Away GD +2 (3pts)
👎 LOW OPPORTUNITY (38)
Match Preview
Lexington will host Sacramento Republic at Lexington SC Stadium in the USL Championship on March 15, 2026 GMT.
Lexington has suffered 2 defeats in their 3 home matches, while Sacramento Republic managed 1 draw in their 2 away games.
In their recent head-to-head fixtures, Lexington has recorded 2 draws against Sacramento Republic.
The prediction favors Sacramento Republic to secure the victory with a 51% probability.
League Standings Context
For Lexington
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Lexington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
For Sacramento Republic
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Switchbacks | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | San Antonio FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Team Performance (Avg)
0.8
Goals Scored / Match
1.2
2.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.0
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Lexington | Sacramento Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 100%6/6 | 50%3/6 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 100%6/6 | 33%2/6 |
| Both Teams to Score | 67%4/6 | 33%2/6 |
* Based on last 6 matches
donut_small Win Probabilities
38%
Lexington Win
38%
Draw
24%
Sacramento Republic Win
Lexington
Draw
Sacramento Republic
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
45.7/ 85.0
Dangerous Attacks
46.3/ 73.0
34.0%
Shots on Target
27.0%
11.7
Total Shots
10.5
51.0%
Possession
49.0%
Head-to-Head Summary
0
Lexington Wins
0%
2
Draws
100%
0
Sacramento Republic Wins
0%
Total H2H Matches: 2
Past Matches
Last 6: Lexington
Us2
Lexington
1 - 2
Louisville City
Us2
Lexington
2 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Us2
Lexington
1 - 2
El Paso Locomotive
Home Games: Lexington
Us2
Lexington
1 - 2
Louisville City
Us2
Lexington
2 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Us2
Lexington
1 - 2
El Paso Locomotive
Last 6: Sacramento Republic
Us2
Lexington
2 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Us2
Hartford Athletic
3 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Away Games: Sacramento Republic
Us2
Lexington
2 - 2
Sacramento Republic
Us2
Hartford Athletic
3 - 2
Sacramento Republic
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