Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction & Tips | Copa de Primera - Apertura

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Libertad Asuncion

Home

Full Time

2 - 1

HT: 1 - 0

Thursday 19 March

Nacional Asuncion

Away

Libertad AsuncionTimelineNacional Asuncion

1st Half

Villalba E.

Melgarejo L. (Fretes A.)

sports_soccer

38'

2nd Half

Gaona Lugo O.Out: Diaz F.

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46'

Santacruz J.Out: Ramirez Antunez R. C.

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46'

Molinas A.Out: Martinez H.

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46'

Ramirez I.Out: Villalba E.

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46'

Feliu J.

57'

Almeida M.Out: Benitez H. A.

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62'

Samudio A.Out: Jara F.

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62'

Melgarejo L.(Penalty)

sports_soccer

63'

Delvalle S.Out: Espinoza Acosta M. D.

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65'

Melgarejo L.

68'

Aguilar G.Out: Melgarejo L.

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68'

Bailone I.Out: Meza L.

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73'

Campuzano A.Out: Carrizo F.

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79'

Valdez I. (Santacruz J.)

sports_soccer

90'

Top stats

0.96Expected goals (xG)0.60

47%Ball possession53%

5Total shots11

2Shots on target2

1Big chances1

1Corner kicks7

82% (314/382)Passes79% (330/416)

2Yellow cards1

Shots

0.96Expected goals (xG)0.60

1.60xG on target (xGOT)0.29

5Total shots11

2Shots on target2

3Shots off target6

0Blocked shots3

3Shots inside the box5

2Shots outside the box6

0Hit the woodwork0

0Headed goals1

Attack

1Big chances1

1Corner kicks7

8Touches in opposition box13

1Accurate through passes0

1Offsides1

15Free kicks11

Passes

82% (314/382)Passes79% (330/416)

45% (24/53)Long passes51% (24/47)

53% (41/78)Passes in final third64% (59/92)

29% (2/7)Crosses22% (5/23)

0.21Expected assists (xA)0.95

12Throw ins19

Defense

11Fouls15

58% (7/12)Tackles54% (7/13)

50Duels won37

35Clearances7

14Interceptions11

0Errors leading to shot0

0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

1Goalkeeper saves0

0.29xGOT faced1.60

-0.71Goals prevented-0.40

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AI Prediction

verified Medium Confidence

12.16

X2.82

23.41

Recommended Bet

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Home Win

Stake: Low (4/10)

Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #5 vs Away #4

Season: Home 1.30 PPG vs Away 1.50 PPG

Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.56 PPG vs Away 1.67 PPG

Goals (venue): Home 1.50 GPG vs Away 0.60 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

42%

35%

23%

Libertad Asuncion

Draw

Nacional Asuncion

Match Preview

Libertad and Nacional Asunción are set to clash in a Primera Division match at Estadio Tigo La Huerta on March 22, 2026 GMT.

Libertad occupies the 4th position in the standings with 14 points, while Nacional Asunción trails closely behind in 3rd place with 19 points.

In their head-to-head history spanning various leagues, Libertad has emerged victorious in 3 out of their last 6 encounters against Nacional Asunción.

Libertad has secured 3 wins in their recent 6 league matches, while Nacional Asunción has settled for draws in 50% of their last 4 away games.

With both teams aiming to secure crucial points in the league, the upcoming face-off promises to be an intriguing battle between Libertad and Nacional Asunción.

Will Libertad continue their winning trend against Nacional Asunción, or will Nacional Asunción manage to tip the scales in their favor? Under 2.5 goals are anticipated to be scored in this closely contested match.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 10 matches

Libertad AsuncionvsNacional Asuncion

1.60Goals / Match1.70

0.90Conceded / Match0.90

4Clean Sheets3

5.80Shots on Target / Match4.00

56.5%Possession %55.7%

81.9%Pass Accuracy %80.2%

radarTeam Profile

Libertad Asuncion

Nacional Asuncion

sports_soccer

57Attack42

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56Defense61

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57Possession53

gps_fixed

66Efficiency89

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54Creativity32

gavel

52Discipline53

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

16Goals Scored17

9Goals Conceded9

4Clean Sheets3

23Big Chances18

15Big Chances Missed7

1Penalty Goals3

gps_fixedShooting

152Total Shots111

58Shots on Target40

swap_horizPassing & Possession

56.5%Avg Possession55.7%

4,329Total Passes4,226

81.9%Pass Accuracy80.2%

shieldDefending

142Tackles164

63Interceptions95

29Saves27

49.4%Duels Won50.6%

gavelDiscipline

110Fouls115

22Yellow Cards20

14Offsides8

analyticsOther

52Corners35

69Successful Dribbles66

2Errors Leading to Goal1

6.87Avg Rating6.83

League Standings Context

For Libertad Asuncion

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
4	Club Rubio Ñu	11	4	3	4	15
5	Libertad	10	4	2	4	14
6	Sportivo Ameliano	10	3	4	3	13

For Nacional Asuncion

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
2	Cerro Porteño	11	6	2	3	20
3	Nacional Asunción	10	5	4	1	19
4	Club Rubio Ñu	11	4	3	4	15

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

31.7/ 101.0

Dangerous Attacks

29.3/ 95.1

38.0%

Shots on Target

38.0%

14.6

Total Shots

11.0

56.0%

Possession

56.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.6

Goals Scored / Match

1.6

0.9

Goals Conceded / Match

0.9

Head-to-Head Summary

Libertad Asuncion Wins

50%

Draws

Nacional Asuncion Wins

50%

Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

Market	Libertad Asuncion	Nacional Asuncion
Over 1.5 Goals	50%5/10	90%9/10
Over 2.5 Goals	30%3/10	40%4/10
Both Teams to Score	30%3/10	80%8/10

* Based on last 10 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Libertad Asuncion

Home Games: Libertad Asuncion

Last 6: Nacional Asuncion

Away Games: Nacional Asuncion

history Recent Form

Libertad Asuncion

1.3 GPG

Nacional Asuncion

1.5 GPG

group Head to Head

PL30 Nov 2025

1-1

PL25 Oct 2025

1-0

PL28 Jun 2025

3-3

PL2 Mar 2025

1-4

PL29 Sept 2024

0-0

50%

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals

63%

5 / 8 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

50%

4 / 8 matches

Over 3.5 Goals

38%

3 / 8 matches

Both Teams to Score

50%

4 / 8 matches

Libertad Asuncion CS

13%

Clean Sheets

Nacional Asuncion CS

50%

Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

30 Nov 2025

Libertad

1 - 1

Barcelona

25 Oct 2025

Barcelona

1 - 0

Libertad

28 Jun 2025

Barcelona

3 - 3

Libertad

2 Mar 2025

Libertad

1 - 4

Barcelona

29 Sept 2024

Barcelona

0 - 0

Libertad

15 Apr 2024

Libertad

0 - 3

Barcelona

22 Oct 2023

Barcelona

1 - 0

Libertad

14 May 2023

Libertad

2 - 2

Barcelona

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)

1.30

Form (Overall)

1.50

Nacional Asuncion is +15% better in terms of Points Per Game

Técnico Universitario

2 - 1

Libertad

2 - 1

LDU Quito

Leones del Norte

1 - 1

Libertad

1 - 0

Manta FC

Guayaquil City FC

0 - 0

Barcelona

1 - 0

CS Emelec

Deportivo Cuenca

2 - 1

Barcelona

1 - 0

Técnico Universitario

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Libertad Asuncion vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction & Tips | Copa de Primera - Apertura | FootballTips.app