Libertad vs Emelec Prediction & Tips | Liga Pro | FootballTips.app
Libertad
HomeFull Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 0
Friday 4 September
Emelec
AwayLibertadTimelineEmelec
1st Half
Valverde J.
16'
Valencia C.
sports_soccer
45+1'
2nd Half
Morinigo R.
51'
Napoli G.Out: Ruiz J.
sync_alt
56'
Cevallos J.Out: Mina A.
sync_alt
56'
Saya R.Out: Pizzini F.
sync_alt
56'
Cevallos J. (Carrillo R.)
sports_soccer
61'
Caicedo B.
63'
Bravo J.Out: Pineda Arana X. E.
sync_alt
63'
Cortez Casierra G. J.Out: Coronel D.
sync_alt
70'
Caicedo E.Out: Chere A.
sync_alt
70'
Griffith V.Out: Fragozo L.
sync_alt
76'
Orejuela C.Out: Branda V.
sync_alt
83'
Klimowicz L.Out: Carrillo R.
sync_alt
85'
Top stats
1.26Expected goals (xG)0.64
51%Ball possession49%
16Total shots12
8Shots on target4
1Big chances0
6Corner kicks5
83% (328/396)Passes83% (328/394)
2Yellow cards1
Shots
1.26Expected goals (xG)0.64
1.73xG on target (xGOT)1.05
16Total shots12
8Shots on target4
5Shots off target6
3Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box6
6Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork0
Attack
1Big chances0
6Corner kicks5
25Touches in opposition box10
1Accurate through passes0
0Offsides3
12Free kicks10
Passes
83% (328/396)Passes83% (328/394)
48% (29/61)Long passes40% (21/53)
63% (60/96)Passes in final third54% (53/98)
37% (7/19)Crosses13% (2/16)
1.22Expected assists (xA)0.46
27Throw ins15
Defense
10Fouls12
50% (5/10)Tackles85% (11/13)
38Duels won33
29Clearances24
3Interceptions10
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
3Goalkeeper saves7
1.05xGOT faced1.73
0.05Goals prevented0.73
11Goal kicks13
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.27
X2.83
23.16
Recommended Bet
cancel
Home Win
Odds: 2.25Stake: High (10/10)
95
Opp. Value
Key Factors
⚠️ Using limited statistical data
Attack Quality: Home 33% on target vs Away 31% on target
Standings: Home GD -1 (37pts) vs Away GD -9 (35pts)
Sofascore Stats: Home superiority - Best: Attack (+29), Possession (+27)
donut_small Win Probabilities
65%
Libertad Win
20%
Draw
15%
Emelec Win
Libertad
Draw
Emelec
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.30 | 2.20 | 2.49 | +4.5% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.54 | 1.83 | 1.67 | -16.0% |
| Home Win | 2.25 | 1.54 | 2.36 | +46.6% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 5.05 | 3.36 | -36.7% |
| Away Win | 3.40 | 6.64 | 3.57 | -48.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.72 | 2.03 | 1.86 | -15.2% |
| BTTS - No | 2.00 | 1.97 | 2.16 | +1.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Match Preview
Libertad FC (ECU) encounter CS Emelec in an Ecuador Serie A match at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne on 2026-09-02 GMT.
Libertad FC (ECU) currently occupies seventh place with 37 points, while CS Emelec sits in eleventh position with 35 points.
The home side has secured a 62 percent win rate at their ground this season, whereas CS Emelec has suffered 7 losses in 13 away fixtures.
Previous meetings between these opponents have resulted in 4 draws from their 7 head to head matches.
Prediction: Libertad FC (ECU) and CS Emelec to draw with probability 39%
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 8 / 27 matchesLibertadvsEmelec
1.50Goals / Match0.85
1.13Conceded / Match1.19
2Clean Sheets9
5.63Shots on Target / Match3.41
60.9%Possession %47.0%
83.7%Pass Accuracy %79.0%
radarTeam Profile
Libertad
Emelec
sports_soccer
55Attack26
shield
61Defense57
swap_horiz
67Possession40
gps_fixed
59Efficiency42
auto_fix_high
61Creativity40
gavel
55Discipline38
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
12Goals Scored23
9Goals Conceded32
2Clean Sheets9
19Big Chances57
11Big Chances Missed39
0Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
130Total Shots313
45Shots on Target92
swap_horizPassing & Possession
60.9%Avg Possession47.0%
4,387Total Passes9,294
83.7%Pass Accuracy79.0%
shieldDefending
142Tackles421
88Interceptions241
21Saves80
49.8%Duels Won50.6%
gavelDiscipline
82Fouls294
12Yellow Cards52
1Red Cards6
11Offsides53
analyticsOther
53Corners120
53Successful Dribbles169
2Errors Leading to Goal3
6.84Avg Rating6.74
League Standings Context
For Libertad
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 37 |
| 9 | Libertad FC (ECU) | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37 |
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 36 |
For Emelec
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Guayaquil City | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 36 |
| 11 | CS Emelec | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 35 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 35 |
Advanced Stats (Avg per match)
31.5/ 74.4
Dangerous Attacks
31.9/ 80.2
33.0%
Shots on Target
31.0%
11.3
Total Shots
10.5
44.0%
Possession
47.0%
Team Performance (Avg)
1.0
Goals Scored / Match
0.8
1.2
Goals Conceded / Match
1.2
Head-to-Head Summary
1
Libertad Wins
17%
4
Draws
67%
1
Emelec Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6
Recent Form Stats
| Market | Libertad | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 61%17/28 | 71%20/28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46%13/28 | 21%6/28 |
| Both Teams to Score | 43%12/28 | 39%11/28 |
* Based on last 28 matches
Past Matches
Last 6: Libertad
Ec1
Libertad FC (ECU)
1 - 0
Macará
Ec1
Libertad FC (ECU)
2 - 1
Univ Católica Quito
Ec1
Libertad FC (ECU)
3 - 0
Orense SC
Ec1
Libertad FC (ECU)
1 - 0
Delfin SC
Ec1
Libertad FC (ECU)
1 - 0
Tecnico
Ec1
Libertad FC (ECU)
1 - 3
Leones del Norte
Home Games: Libertad
Ec1
Libertad FC (ECU)
1 - 0
Macará
Ec1
Libertad FC (ECU)
2 - 1
Univ Católica Quito
Ec1
Libertad FC (ECU)
3 - 0
Orense SC
Ec1
Libertad FC (ECU)
1 - 0
Delfin SC
Ec1
Libertad FC (ECU)
1 - 0
Tecnico
Ec1
Libertad FC (ECU)
1 - 3
Leones del Norte
Last 6: Emelec
Ec1
LDU
2 - 0
CS Emelec
Ec1
Guayaquil City
0 - 0
CS Emelec
Ec1
Deportivo Cuenca
2 - 1
CS Emelec
Ec1
Ind del Valle
6 - 1
CS Emelec
Ec1
Orense SC
0 - 2
CS Emelec
Ec1
Delfin SC
1 - 1
CS Emelec
Away Games: Emelec
Ec1
LDU
2 - 0
CS Emelec
Ec1
Guayaquil City
0 - 0
CS Emelec
Ec1
Deportivo Cuenca
2 - 1
CS Emelec
Ec1
Ind del Valle
6 - 1
CS Emelec
Ec1
Orense SC
0 - 2
CS Emelec
Ec1
Delfin SC
1 - 1
CS Emelec
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