Lille vs Brest Prediction & Tips | Ligue 1 | FootballTips.app

Lille

Lille

Home
Full Time
1 - 1
HT: 0 - 0
Saturday 14 February
Brest

Brest

Away
LilleTimelineBrest
1st Half
Roy E.
12'
2nd Half
Labeau Lascary R. (Ajorque L.)
sports_soccer
58'
Ajorque L.
64'
Bentaleb N.Out: Mukau N.
sync_alt
66'
Perrin G.Out: Diaoune S.
sync_alt
66'
Mboup P.Out: Labeau Lascary R.
sync_alt
70'
Perrin G. (Correia F.)
sports_soccer
71'
Giroud O.Out: Haraldsson H.
sync_alt
74'
Broholm M.Out: Correia F.
sync_alt
74'
Tousart L.Out: Dina Ebimbe J.
sync_alt
77'
Santos T.Out: Bouaddi A.
sync_alt
85'

Top stats

1.54Expected goals (xG)0.68
70%Ball possession30%
20Total shots11
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
13Corner kicks1
87% (534/615)Passes69% (188/271)
0Yellow cards2

Shots

1.54Expected goals (xG)0.68
1.07xG on target (xGOT)0.39
20Total shots11
5Shots on target4
7Shots off target3
8Blocked shots4
15Shots inside the box6
5Shots outside the box5
0Hit the woodwork0

Attack

2Big chances1
13Corner kicks1
42Touches in opposition box17
1Accurate through passes0
2Offsides0
12Free kicks6

Passes

87% (534/615)Passes69% (188/271)
59% (22/37)Long passes46% (26/56)
77% (167/218)Passes in final third58% (50/86)
19% (6/31)Crosses11% (1/9)
1.59Expected assists (xA)0.47
21Throw ins22

Defense

6Fouls12
67% (10/15)Tackles52% (11/21)
50Duels won39
26Clearances40
9Interceptions20
0Errors leading to shot0
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

3Goalkeeper saves4
0.39xGOT faced1.07
-0.61Goals prevented0.07
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
11.69
X3.99
25.28

Recommended Bet

cancel
Home Win
Stake: High (9/10)
85
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #6 vs Away #12
Season: Home 1.57 PPG vs Away 1.24 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.30 PPG vs Away 1.45 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.70 GPG vs Away 1.20 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

74%
12%
14%
Lille
Draw
Brest

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Lille

Starting 11
-Berke Özer
GK6.72
-Romain Perraud
DL6.87
-Alexsandro Ribeiro
DC7.10
-Chancel Mbemba
DC6.69
-Tiago Santos
DR6.15
-Benjamin André
DMC7.07
-Ayyoub Bouaddi
DMC6.61
-Matias Fernandez-Pardo
AML6.79
-Hákon Haraldsson
AMC6.77
-Noah Edjouma
AMR6.24
-Olivier Giroud
FW6.46

Brest

Starting 11
-Grégoire Coudert
GK6.65
-Daouda Guindo
DL6.45
-Brendan Chardonnet
DC6.89
-Soumaïla Coulibaly
DC6.45
-Kenny Lala
DR6.47
-Joris Chotard
DMC6.72
-Hugo Magnetti
DMC6.55
-Rémy Labeau Lascary
AML6.41
-Lucas Tousart
AMC6.37
-Romain Del Castillo
AMR7.03
-Ludovic Ajorque
FW7.02
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

Lille and Brest are gearing up to face each other in a Ligue 1 match at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy on February 14th, 2026.

Lille, holding the 5th position with 33 points, will take on Brest, placed 12th with 26 points in the standings.

Lille has secured 3 wins in their last 6 home matches across all leagues, while Brest has struggled on the road with a 67% loss rate in their last 6 Ligue 1 away games.

In past encounters, Lille has emerged victoriously 50% of the time against Brest in Ligue 1 matches.

Prediction: Lille to win 3-1

Lille have failed to win in their previous five games in Ligue 1, picking up just four points in their last six. Only three sides have picked up fewer points during that period.

Brest have struggled on the road this season, winning just twice away from home. They've won just once in their last six away trips, but a win this weekend could take them into the top half.

When these two sides met earlier in the season, back in August, a 3-3 draw was played out. Lille have been dominant at home against Brest in recent years, winning the last three meetings.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 21 matches
LillevsBrest
1.62Goals / Match1.33
1.43Conceded / Match1.57
6Clean Sheets6
4.71Shots on Target / Match3.95
54.2%Possession %43.7%
84.9%Pass Accuracy %78.8%

radarTeam Profile

Lille
Brest
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
56Attack38
shield
46Defense55
swap_horiz
61Possession36
gps_fixed
64Efficiency66
auto_fix_high
42Creativity28
gavel
30Discipline36

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

34Goals Scored28
30Goals Conceded33
6Clean Sheets6
56Big Chances46
34Big Chances Missed26
3Penalty Goals6

gps_fixedShooting

301Total Shots248
99Shots on Target83

swap_horizPassing & Possession

54.2%Avg Possession43.7%
10,075Total Passes7,986
84.9%Pass Accuracy78.8%

shieldDefending

307Tackles386
181Interceptions197
51Saves61
50.7%Duels Won50.3%

gavelDiscipline

247Fouls288
45Yellow Cards38
5Red Cards3
26Offsides25

analyticsOther

126Corners92
141Successful Dribbles116
4Errors Leading to Goal7
6.81Avg Rating6.75

Statistical Comparison

LilleMetricBrest
34
Goals
27
23
Assists
17
6.5
Average Ratings
6.5
26.2
Average Age
27
182.9
Average Height (cm)
183.5
1
Shots pg
0.9
53%
Aerial Duel Success
53%
0.5
Dribbles pg
0.4
1.3
Tackles pg
1.3

League Standings Context

For Lille

PosTeamPWDLPts
5Rennes2297634
6Lille21103833
7Monaco2294931

For Brest

PosTeamPWDLPts
11Lorient2177728
12Brest2175926
13Le Havre2158823

Advanced Stats (Avg per match)

48.8/ 93.0
Dangerous Attacks
36.1/ 81.5
34.0%
Shots on Target
33.0%
12.4
Total Shots
9.8
57.0%
Possession
44.0%

Team Performance (Avg)

1.6
Goals Scored / Match
1.3
1.3
Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

Head-to-Head Summary

3
Lille Wins
50%
2
Draws
33%
1
Brest Wins
17%
Total H2H Matches: 6

Recent Form Stats

MarketLilleBrest
Over 1.5 Goals
61%19/31
58%18/31
Over 2.5 Goals
45%14/31
39%12/31
Both Teams to Score
39%12/31
35%11/31
* Based on last 31 matches

Past Matches

Last 6: Lille

Fr1
Metz
0 - 0
Lille
Fr1
Lyon
1 - 0
Lille
UEL
Lille
1 - 0
Freiburg
Fr1
Lille
1 - 4
Strasbourg
UEL
Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Lille
Fr1
PSG
3 - 0
Lille

Home Games: Lille

UEL
Lille
1 - 0
Freiburg
Fr1
Lille
1 - 4
Strasbourg
CdF
Lille
1 - 2
Lyon
Fr1
Lille
0 - 2
Rennes
Fr1
Lille
1 - 0
Olympique Marseille
UEL
Lille
4 - 0
Dinamo Zagreb

Last 6: Brest

Fr1
Brest
2 - 0
Lorient
Fr1
Nice
2 - 2
Brest
Fr1
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse
Fr1
Lyon
2 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Brest
2 - 0
Auxerre
CdF
US Avranches
1 - 1
Brest

Away Games: Brest

Fr1
Nice
2 - 2
Brest
Fr1
Lyon
2 - 1
Brest
CdF
US Avranches
1 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Rennes
3 - 1
Brest
Fr1
Strasbourg
1 - 2
Brest
Fr1
Olympique Marseille
3 - 0
Brest

history Recent Form

LilleLille
1.6 GPG
D
L
L
L
L
BrestBrest
1.2 GPG
W
D
L
L
W

group Head to Head

PL17 Aug 2025
Brest
3-3
Lille
PL10 May 2025
Brest
2-0
Lille
PL6 Dec 2024
Lille
3-1
Brest
PL17 Mar 2024
Brest
1-1
Lille
PL22 Oct 2023
Lille
1-0
Brest
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
72%
13 / 18 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
8 / 18 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5 / 18 matches
Both Teams to Score
56%
10 / 18 matches
Lille CS
33%
Clean Sheets
Brest CS
22%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

17 Aug 2025
Brest
3 - 3
Lille
10 May 2025
Brest
2 - 0
Lille
6 Dec 2024
Lille
3 - 1
Brest
17 Mar 2024
Brest
1 - 1
Lille
22 Oct 2023
Lille
1 - 0
Brest
24 Feb 2023
Lille
2 - 1
Brest
11 Jan 2023
Brest
0 - 0
Lille
22 Jan 2022
Brest
2 - 0
Lille
23 Oct 2021
Lille
1 - 1
Brest
14 Feb 2021
Lille
0 - 0
Brest
8 Nov 2020
Brest
3 - 2
Lille
6 Dec 2019
Lille
1 - 0
Brest

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Lille
1.57
Form (Overall)
Brest
1.24

Lille is +27% better in terms of Points Per Game

Metz
0 - 0
Lille
Olympique Lyonnais
1 - 0
Lille
Lille
1 - 4
Strasbourg
PSG
3 - 0
Lille
Lille
0 - 2
Rennes
Brest
2 - 0
Lorient
Nice
2 - 2
Brest
Brest
0 - 2
Toulouse
Olympique Lyonnais
2 - 1
Brest
Brest
2 - 0
Auxerre

Subscribe for Betting Tips

Get exclusive predictions delivered to your inbox.

No spam, unsubscribe at any time.