Lincoln vs Burnley Prediction & Tips | Championship | FootballTips.app

Lincoln

Lincoln

Home
Full Time
4:1
Saturday 24 October
Burnley

Burnley

Away
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Low Model Confidence
12.87
X3.41
22.36

Recommended Bet

No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
63
Best near-miss

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #18 vs Away #22
Season: Home 1.09 PPG vs Away 0.73 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.35 PPG vs Away 1.20 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.60 GPG vs Away 1.60 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

29%
23%
47%
Lincoln
Draw
Burnley
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.851.87-0.8%
Under 2.5 Goals1.902.16-11.8%
Lincoln City Win2.763.41-19.0%
Draw3.424.26-19.6%
Burnley Win2.272.12+7.0%
BTTS - Yes1.661.77-6.4%
BTTS - No2.102.29-8.4%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Lincoln

Starting 11
-George Wickens
GK6.47
-Callum Elder
DC6.62
-Sonny Bradley
DC6.74
-Ryley Towler
DC6.57
-Adam Reach
DML6.90
-Ivan Varfolomeev
MC6.58
-Conor McGrandles
MC6.50
-Andrei Coubis
DMR6.65
-Chiedozie Ogbene
FWL6.26
-Rob Street
FW6.35
-Reeco Hackett
FWR6.74

Burnley

Starting 11
-Grégoire Coudert
GK6.92
-Lucas Pires
DL6.95
-Igor Julio
DC6.87
-Hjalmar Ekdal
DC6.33
-Kyle Walker
DR6.54
-Reo Hatate
DMC6.62
-Max Alleyne
DMC6.50
-Dastan Satpaev
AML6.41
-Josh Laurent
AMC6.42
-Largie Ramazani
AMR6.76
-Jamie Vardy
FW6.24
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

Match Preview

A Lincoln red card impacted the outcome for the second game running last weekend as the Imps surrendered a 2-0 lead in an away draw with Millwall. The reigning League One champions have picked up just one point from the last 12 available.

Jamie Vardy gave Burnley an early lead against Wolves in gameweek 11, but the Clarets couldn't hold on for a positive result, losing 2-1 at Turf Moor. Nicky Hayen's side remain in the relegation zone with just one win from 11 league outings.

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 11 matches
LincolnvsBurnley
0.82Goals / Match1.45
1.73Conceded / Match1.91
4Clean Sheets1
2.73Shots on Target / Match4.09
34.4%Possession %49.0%
67.1%Pass Accuracy %81.8%

radarTeam Profile

Lincoln
Burnley
AttackDefensePossessionEfficiencyCreativityDiscipline
sports_soccer
21Attack48
shield
59Defense26
swap_horiz
8Possession51
gps_fixed
36Efficiency50
auto_fix_high
19Creativity55
gavel
18Discipline50

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

9Goals Scored16
19Goals Conceded21
4Clean Sheets1
18Big Chances23
12Big Chances Missed17
2Penalty Goals1

gps_fixedShooting

127Total Shots156
30Shots on Target45

swap_horizPassing & Possession

34.4%Avg Possession49.0%
2,814Total Passes4,896
67.1%Pass Accuracy81.8%

shieldDefending

182Tackles154
112Interceptions89
39Saves31
50.0%Duels Won46.2%

gavelDiscipline

144Fouls112
27Yellow Cards22
3Red Cards1
32Offsides27

analyticsOther

40Corners51
47Successful Dribbles74
2Errors Leading to Goal6
7.03Avg Rating7.01

Statistical Comparison

LincolnMetricBurnley
9
Goals
15
6
Assists
13
6.5
Average Ratings
6.4
27.7
Average Age
27.8
187.1
Average Height (cm)
181.5
0.8
Shots pg
1.2
49%
Aerial Duel Success
43%
0.4
Dribbles pg
0.6
1.2
Tackles pg
1.1

history Recent Form

LincolnLincoln
0.4 GPG
L
L
D
D
L
BurnleyBurnley
0.8 GPG
W
L
D
L
D

group Head to Head

PL18 Feb 2017
Burnley
0-1
Lincoln City
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Both Teams to Score
0%
0 / 1 matches
Lincoln CS
100%
Clean Sheets
Burnley CS
0%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

18 Feb 2017
Burnley
0 - 1
Lincoln City

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Lincoln
0.40
Form (Overall)
Burnley
0.80

Burnley is +100% better in terms of Points Per Game

Lincoln City
0 - 6
West Ham United
Lincoln City
1 - 2
Swansea City
Lincoln City
1 - 1
Southampton
Lincoln City
0 - 0
Blackburn Rovers
Lincoln City
1 - 3
Portsmouth
Watford
0 - 4
Burnley
Swansea City
3 - 1
Burnley
Wrexham
1 - 1
Burnley
Norwich City
4 - 1
Burnley
Bradford City
0 - 0
Burnley

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