Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Prediction & Tips | UEFA Nations League - League D | FootballTips.app
Lithuania
HomeFull Time
1 - 1
HT: 1 - 1
Sunday 27 September
Azerbaijan
Awayauto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Medium Model Confidence
12.51
X2.83
23.16
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 0.80 PPG vs Away 1.10 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 2.10 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 0.60 GPG vs Away 0.50 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.60 conc vs Away 2.50 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
47%
26%
27%
Lithuania
Draw
Azerbaijan
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 2.53 | 1.96 | 2.69 | +28.8% |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 1.50 | 2.04 | 1.59 | -26.4% |
| Lithuania Win | 2.45 | 2.12 | 2.57 | +15.6% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 3.83 | 3.30 | -17.9% |
| Azerbaijan Win | 3.10 | 3.74 | 3.25 | -17.1% |
| BTTS - Yes | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.22 | 0.0% |
| BTTS - No | 1.67 | 1.96 | 1.82 | -14.8% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 1 / 6 matchesLithuaniavsAzerbaijan
2.00Goals / Match0.50
0.00Conceded / Match2.67
1Clean Sheets0
7.00Shots on Target / Match1.00
72.0%Possession %30.8%
88.9%Pass Accuracy %73.2%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
2Goals Scored3
0Goals Conceded16
1Clean Sheets0
2Big Chances5
1Big Chances Missed3
0Penalty Goals1
gps_fixedShooting
16Total Shots24
7Shots on Target6
swap_horizPassing & Possession
72.0%Avg Possession30.8%
760Total Passes1,669
88.9%Pass Accuracy73.2%
shieldDefending
13Tackles111
7Interceptions57
0Saves25
50.6%Duels Won48.2%
gavelDiscipline
14Fouls69
1Yellow Cards14
1Offsides10
analyticsOther
8Corners13
5Successful Dribbles36
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.43Avg Rating6.59
history Recent Form
LithuaniaW
L
W
L
D
AzerbaijanW
W
L
D
W
group Head to Head
PL25 Mar 2019
0-0
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
0%
0 / 1 matches
Both Teams to Score
0%
0 / 1 matches
Lithuania CS
100%
Clean Sheets
Azerbaijan CS
100%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
25 Mar 2019
Azerbaijan
0 - 0
Lithuania
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
0.80
Form (Overall)
1.10
Azerbaijan is +38% better in terms of Points Per Game
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1 - 0
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0 - 2
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