Liverpool vs Atl. Madrid Prediction & Tips | Champions League - League phase | FootballTips.app
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AI Prediction
verified High Confidence
11.73
X4.11
24.56
Recommended Bet
No tip
No qualifying edge — see Value Comparison below
Key Factors
Season: Home 1.60 PPG vs Away 1.60 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.80 PPG vs Away 1.56 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.75 GPG vs Away 1.33 GPG
Defense (venue): Home 1.50 conc vs Away 2.50 conc
donut_small Win Probabilities
48%
25%
27%
Liverpool
Draw
Atl. Madrid
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.62 | 1.72 | — | -6.0% |
| Liverpool Win | 1.68 | 2.07 | 1.79 | -18.9% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4.25 | +0.1% |
| Atlético Madrid Win | 4.60 | 3.75 | 4.89 | +22.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.67 | 1.79 | — | -6.8% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 3 / 4 matchesLiverpoolvsAtl. Madrid
2.00Goals / Match1.75
1.33Conceded / Match1.50
1Clean Sheets1
6.00Shots on Target / Match5.00
61.7%Possession %56.3%
87.6%Pass Accuracy %88.1%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
6Goals Scored7
4Goals Conceded6
1Clean Sheets1
4Big Chances5
2Big Chances Missed4
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
50Total Shots61
18Shots on Target20
swap_horizPassing & Possession
61.7%Avg Possession56.3%
1,607Total Passes2,203
87.6%Pass Accuracy88.1%
shieldDefending
53Tackles69
24Interceptions44
9Saves10
50.2%Duels Won51.4%
gavelDiscipline
41Fouls51
10Yellow Cards8
0Red Cards1
8Offsides8
analyticsOther
12Corners21
26Successful Dribbles40
0Errors Leading to Goal1
7.70Avg Rating7.40
history Recent Form
LiverpoolW
D
D
Atl. MadridL
W
D
W
group Head to Head
PL17 Sept 2025
3-2
PL3 Nov 2021
2-0
PL19 Oct 2021
2-3
PL11 Mar 2020
2-3
PL18 Feb 2020
1-0
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
5 / 7 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4 / 7 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
3 / 7 matches
Both Teams to Score
57%
4 / 7 matches
Liverpool CS
14%
Clean Sheets
Atl. Madrid CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
17 Sept 2025
Liverpool
3 - 2
Atlético Madrid
3 Nov 2021
Liverpool
2 - 0
Atlético Madrid
19 Oct 2021
Atlético Madrid
2 - 3
Liverpool
11 Mar 2020
Liverpool
2 - 3
Atlético Madrid
18 Feb 2020
Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Liverpool
29 Apr 2010
Liverpool
2 - 1
Atlético Madrid
22 Apr 2010
Atlético Madrid
1 - 0
Liverpool
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.60
Form (Overall)
1.60
Both teams have equal form.
Ipswich Town
0 - 2
Liverpool
Liverpool
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle United
2 - 2
Liverpool
Athletic Club Bilbao
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
Sevilla FC
1 - 3
Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid
2 - 2
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
2 - 0
Málaga CF
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